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Elon Musk’s DOGE Uses Police to Seize Independent Nonprofit
Obviously, if you wanted to paint Trump as a dangerous authoritarian fascist, this is exactly the sort of thing you'd point to as Exhibit A. So I'm trying to determine if this is actually as bad as it sounds, what the steelman is here, and the extent to which this may or may not have been under the purview of the executive branch's legitimate authority.
The linked article and their website describe USIP as a "private" nonprofit that was "founded by Congress". Obviously, the government using the police to forcibly seize private property due to political differences is not a good look. Presumably there are legal minutiae here that would determine the extent to which this organization is or is not still subject to the government's authority (is any organization "founded by Congress" subject to federal government control in perpetuity?).
As a side note, the Trump administration seems to REALLY hate US assistance to foreign countries and they're doing their damndest to shut it off. USIP describes itself as an "independent organization dedicated to protecting U.S. interests by helping to prevent violent conflicts and broker peace deals abroad".
I checked their website on the wayback machine but it wasn't loading fully me so I don't know if they claimed to be "private" or you misunderstood but according to Wikipedia at least they weren't just "founded" by Congress they're also "funded" by Congress.
I don't understand what the word "private" is supposed to mean in the context of a publicly funded organization.
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They probably signed a grant contract that has a right to audit, this is probably backed by a court order to allow access to perform the audit. Pretty standard, although usually it doesn't come to police.
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Verily, it seems like things are proceeding about as I predicted over a year ago. I pointed out in a parent comment that the #Resisters suffer a coordination game problem, and they lack any clear object to coordinate around. There is unlikely to be a singular event that causes all of the resisting bureaucrats to all simultaneously stick their necks out to create a large conflagration where they plausibly have more resources and power that they can bring to bear than the President. Instead, when USIP tries to resist, other bureaucrats sit on the sidelines and watch, perhaps wondering what will happen to them or if they can come up with a plan on their own. But they will not rush to allocate some alternative police force to protect USIP HQ. The head of USIP basically has to decide whether he or she is going to, on his/her own, resist and refuse to let the President's political will prevail.
...but most like I predicted, if and when it comes to the point of, "We're not going to let you into the building," the President can clearly muster the raw force of boots to force the issue. There is roundable-to-zero chance that USIP's paltry security team is going to muster enough force or start shooting bullets. This just isn't the way that the war with the bureaucracy will be fought. If an agency pulls a minor stunt to not let them into the building, the President can and will have his team show up with a very minor show of force, and that will basically be the end of that form of resistance.
Of course, they will take it to the courts, and there, battles can go different ways. Different agencies have different statutes passed by Congress, and different particular legal battles may be resolved in different ways. For the most part, the primary questions are going to revolve around the judiciary, to what extent the executive complies, on what timescales, etc. We see that playing out in other domains. "Some silly bureaucrats think they can #resist by just locking the doors to the building," was never a plausible path.
Postscript. Matt Levine sometimes talks about the question of, "Who really controls a company?" Often, this comes up for him in battles between CEOs and boards, where they're like both trying to fire each other. Similarly, there are about zero successful attempts of the type "he had the keys to the building, so he locked the doors". However, he notes that sometimes, things like, "He's the only one who has the passwords to access their bank accounts," or whatever, tend to be more annoying. Sure, you can eventually go through the courts and get them to order the bank to turn control over to whoever, but banks are reluctant to take that sort of action on their own without a court involved. Obviously, situations like, "They hold the only keys to MicroStrategy's vault of Bitcoin or the encrypted vault that contains their core product," or whatever may be even more contentious. Fun to think about sometimes, but yeah, "We locked the physical doors," is basically never a viable strategy.
and now the anti-Trump movement has lurid footage of the Fascist Authoritarian threatening random bureaucrats and charity workers at gunpoint. Some would count that as a win. (Though of course, "refuse to give in to the resultant shaming, keep doing this until such incidents lose all novelty value and the media cease to bother" is a viable counter-strategy.)
If the board of a company fires the CEO, but he tries to lock the doors to the building and hole up inside, so the board calls the police and has him evicted ("at gunpoint"), does that make them "Fascist Authoritarians"?
Depends upon the relative political positions of the board and the CEO, of course.
It's something I see often. I recall once reading an online discussion of the political slant in Adorno's Authoritarian Personality and "F-scale," and more recent attempts to address left-wing authoritarianism. Specifically, I saw someone defend the political slant, and argue that there's no such thing as "left-wing authoritarianism." Not that the left can't do the things of hold the attitudes that are used to describe authoritarianism, but that these things are not inherently authoritarian, but only depending on who is doing them; and that under the "proper" definition, these things are only "authoritarian" when done by the Right, not the Left, so that "left-wing authoritarianism" is impossible by definition (because it's different when they do it).
It's the slogan of "no bad tactics, only bad targets" taken to it's conclusion, in the naked tribalism of Lenin's "who, whom?" When they, the bad guys, do it, it's fascism; when we, the good guys, do it, it's antifascism.
You might notice that neither side in my example scenario had any political descriptors attached.
Would you, personally, use the form of reasoning you're describing and come to the conclusion that one or the other side in my example scenario is "Fascist Authoritarian"? If so, please describe how you used that reasoning to reach that conclusion.
Which is exactly why your question cannot be answered. It's like asking if a blouse would pair better with a light-colored skirt, or a dark-colored skirt, without specifying the color of the blouse. Since the answer depends entirely on the blouse's color, it's impossible to answer either way without that answer.
Similarly, it's impossible to answer your original question of whether the board's actions against the CEO are "Fascist Authoritarian" or not — because the answer does not lie in the nature of the acts, but their political direction.
I can't recall which book by which historian it was, but I remember many years ago an author writing about the origins of "fascist tactics." He talked about Mussolini's early days with the Communists, and went on to detail about how the tactics used by the early Italian Fascists, the early Nazi party, the early Falangists, so on, had all been used by various Communist groups first, and that all the early 20th century "fascist" movements could be seen as starting with people on the right deciding to use the (far) left's own tactics against them. He did this not to excuse the fascists, or reduce any opprobrium against their methods, but only to argue that methods themselves are not inherently fascist. That there are no "fascist tactics," only tactics that are "fascist" when used by the right against the left (and never when used by the left against the right). That whether these tactics are good or evil depends entirely on whether they are used to "punch right" or "punch left."
Now, in the past, when I was more of a linguistic prescriptivist, I might have pushed back harder against this sort of thing. But at a certain point, one has to bow to common usage. And IME, the common usage of words (again, including by plenty of notable academics) like "fascist" and "authoritarian" defines them in this way.
In your scenario, the acts of the board against the CEO make them "Fascist Authoritarians" if and only if the board is to the right of the CEO and they are "punching left"; and they are not "Fascist Authoritarians" (and the CEO probably is) if they are to the left of the CEO and they are "punching right."
Ok, great. Glad to know that you would not be able to conclude that either side in the example scenario is a "Fascist Authoritarian". Now hopefully we'll find out what @WandererintheWilderness thinks we can conclude.
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It's one of the more effective ways to force an isolationist, and therefore marginally more autarkic, policy on the country and on his successors. Breaking promises (whether or not those promises ought to have been made) and mangling relationships is Good, Actually; because it prevents a future Democratic or normie-Republican president from putting the pieces back together.
It's like if I had control of my blackout drunk friend's phone, and I wanted to use the opportunity to force him to dump his girlfriend, I need to do so in a maximally cruel way that he can't patch up when he sobers up. I need to do and say things so horrible that (assuming that both he and his gf will think he was the one who said them) it will be impossible to get past them.
Trump and Co. aren't just trying to change American foreign policy, they're trying to destroy it, mangle it, leave some future Newsom or Buttigieg admin with no credibility to build it up again. They're not just trying to trim the fat from the federal government, they're trying to make working for the federal government seem both pointless and insecure.
The way you put it here implies that it is OK for prior administrations to bind the current administration by making promises (even improvident ones), but it's terrible for the current administration to effectively bind future administrations by breaking them.
How does my saying that it is Good, Actually imply that it's terrible? I'm in favor of the dismantling of the foreign policy apparatus.
What I'm pointing at is the only way to do it is to be mean, is to be cruel, is to be reckless.
I read "Good, Actually" as inherently sarcastic, kind of like "cool story, bro" doesn't mean that the story is cool, or that they're a bro.
I have no idea why I believe that, though.
That’s the exact opposite of what I’ve always understood it to mean. It can be somewhat exaggerated, but how I’ve seen it used is as a direct counterpoint to someone claiming that something is bad by discussing its advantages.
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I think The_Nybbler interpreted the capital letters on "Good, Actually" as sarcastic.
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I get the sense that going too far into this direction may actually turn out to be counterproductive for that goal, though - unlike in the case of the drunk friend, there is no doubt in the case of the Trump administration who ultimately was at the wheel during the "cruel texts", and so for some future Newsom or Buttigieg admin, any loss of credibility would have to factor through the perception that they could be followed by a Vance or Trump Jr. administration that would renege on its predecessors' promises all over again. But the more exceptional Trump's actions wind up being perceived as, the more credible a Newsom/Buttigieg assertion that this was a one-off and appropriate precautions have been taken to not allow a repeat will be, especially if Trump keeps pushing the envelope and winds up being repudiated/defanged/experience a mysterious heart attack/successfully impeached.
Eh, trump gained ground with everyone except whites, he’s more popular with voters under 25 than any other group, there’s every reason for a foreign observer to believe that Trump-like candidates will get elected again.
Also every President since Bush II regardless of party affiliation has been growing more and more frustrated with Europe while also trying to pivot more resources to the Pacific theater. Even Biden probably would have been, had the Ukraine War not gone hot during his term. So I’m not sure President Newsom would be jumping up and down to climb back into that quagmire either.
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Nah, its his second term and he came back with a bigger win than he had in 2016. Can't point to Trump as being some erroneous figure that mind controlled millions of Americans into voting for him. Even in 2016 this was copium from the establishment, the polling data showed that he was more in tune with the voting base than the old guard neocons. Isolationist populism is here to stay.
If anything Trump is popular enough with his base that the more he pushes the more the Overton window will shift and the more things like torching NATO or militarily taking Greenland become acceptable. I mean we have conservative talk show hosts that are fairly main stream now noticing how odd it is that no other country is expected to be multicultural and to not have a dominant ethnicity or culture. That would've been unthinkable on a major platform 10 years ago. Its the kind of thing citizens had to whisper about anonymously in dark corners of the internet.
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Perhaps. But it certainly indicates that you shouldn't build your country or bet your life on US promises.
Which is what we're asking people to do when we support their opposition movement abroad.
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I think it's more accurate to say that he sees foreign policy as solely within the power of the President and doesn't like the fact that there are a bunch or orgs around DC funded by the US government with official sounding names that are undermining the foreign policy of the White House.
DC loves these para governmental organizations. In the case of USIP the Secretary of State and Secretary of Defence are ex officio board members. The rest of the board members must be appointed by the POTUS and confirmed by the Senate. So it seems like it's sort of part of the executive branch but also not when it comes to oversight.
I think its also been revealed that there's a big grift inherent to most foreign aid where it is used to pay off the same people who are implementing the payments.
Money gets sent overseas and some percentage of it gets laundered right back into the pockets of existing politicians and bureaucrats and other political actors.
Hunter Biden by all appearances was a bagman for this sort of dealing.
So Trump is aiming to cut off a funding source for his enemies. Whether he will redirect it to his friends might be the question.
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Most of these organizations are CIA fronts and sponsor regime changes and some really shady shit. USAID sponsored Operation Phoenix which murdered, assassinated and brutally tortured Vietnamese civilians, and tried to pin these acts on the Viet Cong to turn villagers against the north Vietnamese.
“International development agency” riiiiight…
If these agencies don’t want to get shut down, and actually do legitimate humanitarian projects, then why get mixed up in things like the above? These organizations routinely do evil things and are not run by good people.
What reason is there to think that this agency's actions is analogous to the example agency's actions you cited?
Name sounds the same, same people are screaming and crying about it… seems like Trump and DOGE are right on target with these.
...okay... all I can say is I hope these are not the standards you use to make decisions.
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It looks like USIP is structured to get government money and spend it without oversight. It'd be very surprising if it weren't up to anything shady.
That's not the same thing as assuming that it is specifically a CIA front sponsoring regime change and murder. I have no reason to think that about this org based on anything I have heard thus far.
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What reason is there to think it isn't? He who controls the null hypothesis, controls the world.
Edit: For the record, my personal null hypothesis is that we should always assume the money was mostly wasted with very little to show for it. People are very good at doing minimal, ineffective work in a maximally photogenic way unless you give them good incentives to actually get anything done. And even then they'll try hard to game the incentives anyway.
Sure, but you don't think there is a difference between your null hypothesis being that any government funded non profit is a CiA front and your null hypothesis being that these orgs waste some money? At a certain point you can judge a null hypothesis and find it wanting based on prior evidence and how much of a reach it is
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As a matter of black-letter law, they don't. The law setting up the USIP says that the board members (apart from the three ex-officio ones) can only be fired for cause, with the consent of a majority of the board, or with the consent of the Congressional committees responsible.
Humphrey's Executor is the SCOTUS case saying that this type of law is constitutional. It is a unanimous decision from 1935 (before FDR threatened to pack the Court) holding that FDR couldn't sack Hoover's appointees on the FTC.
So the claim that the Trump administration has the power to fire the board is the claim that a SCOTUS precedent that has been widely followed for 90 years is incorrect.
I’m not sure that is right if USIP is executing executive authority. See the caselaw re CFPB.
Indeed, you'd have to do a Humphrey vs Seila analysis!
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It isn't executing executive authority. The enabling legislation says it has the powers of a nonprofit organised under DC law (so no delegated sovereignty). The stated purposes are all scholarly, except that USIP can advise other government agencies that explicitly seek its advice.
Seila Law relates to directly appointed agency heads. Humphrey's Executor relates to members of multi-member boards. The distinction is silly, but it is the current case law.
It's not just the number of people on the board. Zeke is right that caselaw today also implicates the kind of power the agency has.
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Come on, it's hard not to have a little sympathy for her at least
Not deporting a high profile person openly advertising their illegal status sends the message that you can be shielded from deportation by becoming a pro illegal immigration activist.
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No. Why would any right thinking person without suicidal empathy have any?
It’s easy to see that she should have been expelled in 1997. She doesn’t belong here, and is playing the system at our cost to delay the rightful inevitable for decades. She posts cartoons of Trump getting scalped among other agitprop.
Her children should also be denaturalized and expelled.
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Yeah that’s awful. A reasonable compromise here would be giving people who’ve been here for a certain amount of time amnesty and a green card. Hard to support this
Turning immigration policy into a life size game of hide and seek is not just silly, it's encouraging a parallel economy of crime.
People taking illegal shortcuts can't be tolerated. I'd argue the opposite, that your residence and even citizenship should be revoked if you obtained them fraudulently.
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I think some kind of deal for illegals who turn themselves in might work. No guarantees, but perhaps waiving certain restrictions on them applying for legal entry. It could reduce the workload while getting some of the more sympathetic cases into the legitimate system.
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We tried that compromise in the 80's, and it didn't work then to stem the tide of illegal immigration it only encouraged it. Why would things be any different this time?
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Why do you believe this would be a reasonable- as in, reason-driven- as opposed to a pathetic- as in, pathos-driven- compromise?
Keep in mind that weaponized emotional appeals- including appeals to sympathy for social compact violators and shaming campaigns against those not showing enough pity towards preferred beneficiaries- have been a hallmark of the American culture war for decades now, and which the current political context is part of a political revolt against.
This is particularly relevant to this example, as a 'let's compromise on amnesty for immigration reform' was bargained in the past, except that the amnesty given did not lead to actual immigration enforcement afterwards.
Now your proposal is a compromise of further amnesty instead of enforcement for... what, exactly?
Half of half of half a cake?
I'm no American, so feel free to ignore me, but are you sure about this? Is there a political revolt against those kinds of tactics, or is it merely a political revolution that aims to switch out the old good/bad distinction for a new set?
First one, then the other, seems the most likely way it will go. Or we'll go back to the old set. But there's definitely an at least temporary reduction of pity, helped along by the administration's wise choice of targets (scary-looking tattooed guys).
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Yes. I would re-emphasize the 'part' as in 'is not the whole,' but I would consider it a significant part of the rise of Trump in the Republican party, and later Trump's rise in the broader American electorate.
I don't think you're asking if such tactics were used in the culture-war, so I'll just gloss over the basic point with re-stating that emotional pressures were not only used, but often major elements of the culture war. One of the psychological points of a twitter mob or cancellation campaign is the public shaming ritual dynamic, a significant point of the progressive stack concept is to re-align emotional sympathies for whoever claims the best position deserving of public support against others, and a key function of the 'lived experience' justification was that one's personal views and emotions were on their own basis for deferrence and grounds to dismiss counter points. Resisting these techniques requires resisting the prioritization of emotional appeals / pressures intended to change your position.
For the Republicans, Trump's rise in republican circles was part of a voter-base revolt against what one of our former posters called the Republican patrician class- the Republican elites including the Bush-Cheney dynasties, the Romneys, and other dominant parts of the party in the pre-Trump era. They had been dominant in part because of their alliance with the evangelical / religious-interest wings of the party, i.e. the moralizers of the right. Just from an intra-republican power struggle perspective, Republican party culture would need to develop cultural antibodies to defy and dismiss the religious right moralists (who were a very significant force in the early 2000s, albeit running out as a national movement by that point).
What made the Patrician class discredited to the Republican base, beyond just technocratic failures such as Iraq or the 2008 financial crisis, was their reputation / perception for compromising on Republican base positions for the sake of left-framing media coverage. This was the model of Republican Party wants position A, left-aligned media raises sympathy argument against position A and dares patrician polity to do the unsympathetic thing, Patrician folds / strikes a compromise legislation which trades away base interests for [thing the base doesn't care as much about]. Base was then told it was necessary / just / moral / the best they could expect.
Trump's surge in the Republican primaries for the 2016 cycle was in large part because he was willing to fight on despite to moral condemnations. This was most notable on the topic of immigration, where Trump would do things like counter 'think of the innocent and desperate refugees' with 'rapists and criminals.' This itself was a politized distortion of the full quote, but the reason the quote was a Trump success rather than a slam dunk is because it demonstrated Trump was willing to defy the sympathy-paradigm that was trying to be used. A similar point exists for the failure of the Clinton campaign's October surprise of the lockerroom talk tapes. It could only fail because the electorate was not moved by the attempts to incite and manipulate them via emotional instigation. In other words, the American electorate was sharing in the cultural antibodies against that sort of shame-and-disavow technique.
As the culture war continued, my view is that this tendency got stronger. It's been further by the discreditation of technocrats in the COVID crisis, and with it those covid policy justifications that often ran on emotional appeals (hug a chinese person to show you're not racist; don't protest against covid restrictions because think of others; protest despite covid restrictions for cause more deserving emotional support). But it was also discredited by the people often conveying those emotional appeals (particularly media intermediaries) themselves being discredited as a class, for- among other reasons- pretty transparent attempts to manipulate for political interests. (The conformist pressures against anyone who raised the Biden age-electability issues; the manufactured joy to try and build Harris support during the period of the campaign which ended shortly after she had to commit to public speaking.)
It's a dynamic I feel is visible now with Trump's disruptions to the American federal government, like the shutdown of USAID. This is a policy that is popular despite the stories by anti-Trump/pro-USAID medias about those in desperate need abroad, or think of the former government workers who are living in uncertainty, and so on. These are empathy / sympathy appeal stories. They also are not changing the general electorate- and by extension cultural- willingness to press on despite them.
Because the appeal to emotion is, while not dead, has been scarred as a result of it being used to flagellate the non-compliant. Now the formerly non-compliant are moving against the interests / preferences of those who did, and in many cases still are, attempting to use emotional appeals and emotional pressures and please for compassion / accusations of cruelty.
It is not that 'cruelty is the point'- it is that the accusation of cruelty is no longer sufficiently deterring. And since people tend to attempt to be internally consistent, a resistance to emotional appeals on one front increases the tendency to resist emotional appeals on another front.
It may not be a central part of the electorate revolt, but I would consider it a part of it, in the same sense that destroying the method of abuse is a part of the revolt against an abuser, even if there are more central reasons for the revolt in general.
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Yeah this is definitely a culture war issue. I just feel like being excessively harsh on illegal immigration is punching down. Do you feel intense competition for jobs or homes from illegal immigrants? If you do, then it makes sense to be wary about more immigration.
But this isn't being excessively harsh - this is complying with the laws (and punishments as written). There's nothing "excessive" about it.
That's the thing about national economies - we all experience warped market conditions (for employment, housing, healthcare, and basic goods) because of illegal immigration. That these experience may be more acute in TX,NM,AZ doesn't mean they are not experience elsewhere in the country.
A massive percentage of the American agricultural workforce is of questionable legality. Yet they've become so endemic that any agricultural concern that tries to play fair and not hire illegals finds their production costs are too high and gets competed out of business. Think about that for a second; there is a large American industry wherein the only way to remain viable is to flirt with legally dubious hiring practices.
I would like to see swift and stubborn crackdowns on that. Excessive would be letting illegal employment continue to be de facto all across the country.
Well if a huge portion of ag labor is from illegal immigrants, perhaps we shouldn’t be so hasty in deporting them. Most of us still, uh, need to eat every day.
Issue is that other Anglo ex-colonies have legal migrant farm worker visas, like Aus and Canada. It’s called “wuffing”. While we don’t have that at all, we just had an unspoken agreement that you let in some amount of illegal workers to fill the massive need of agriculture help come harvest time in California and other states. Effectively it does the same thing
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It’s not that their production costs are too high- it’s that they are unable to find legal workers at any reasonable wage for the skill level.
There are parts of the American economy where the only people ‘doing the work’ are 1) on a management track(this is a minority and they will not be doing the actual work for very long) 2) here illegally or 3) working there under court order(often parolees, child support delinquents, etc). Plenty of construction trades(especially roofing), most of agriculture, meatpacking plants, etc. I would rather have meat on the shelves and roofs on the houses than live in a 100% white society(not that deporting the illegals will get us there anyways) and republican lawmakers agree with me.
Also tagging @HughCaulk.
I agree with you. I'm not advocating for deportations because of race animus. I'm advocating for 1) deportations of illegal immigrants AND 2) a massive overhaul of labor laws.
Here's is my big post on that point
I don't buy the idea that natural born Americans "just don't want to work" - I believe that combination of the welfare state and labor laws actively prevent them from easily getting basic level jobs. The only way for these basic level jobs (exactly the ones you listed) to get done is to illegally employ foreigners. To be blunt; we have outlawed cheap labor in this country, so the only way to hire cheap labor is to do it illegally one way or another. Who is going to have an easier time accepting and illegal job; someone who is already violating US law or someone who is not?
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At the risk of pointing out the obvious, if a business isn’t getting the employees it needs in the numbers it wants them, then the business isn’t paying high enough wages. ‘Reasonable’ is something that potential employees decide collectively through the market.
Whether the meat industry can survive paying true market wages for meat packing jobs is another matter. But importing millions of indentured labourers every generation is not going to work as a long term solution.
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Trucking used to be a well-paying job with excellent safety standards, and now it's been destroyed in the US and Canada by illegal immigration. How many parts of the American economy are we going to sacrifice to squeeze an extra few cents of labor costs while the costs get shifted onto society in general?
What's the net gain when we have truckers blasting past construction signs into oncoming traffic because you're allowed to bring an interpreter to the commercial license test now?
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How high have you tried?
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Mercy to the guilty is cruelty to the innocent.
These people knowingly fucked over everyone who actually goes through the legal process. You're being swindled if you think they're victims.
Other counties legally have migrant farm worker visas like Aus and Canada. We don’t have this system in lieu of “illegal” immigrant work. You’d need to set up a similar system here and transition all these workers to it, otherwise food will be rotting on the vine in California
Even if it were true, which it isn't, I fail to see how it's a counter argument in any way.
Did it become acceptable to break the law if your business is not profitable and nobody told me?
I swear, farmers have to fill in tons of paperwork to do the slightest thing and get crucified if they don't, but somehow in this one particular case, everyone should just look the other way?
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We have a farmworker visa system already. Most of the shepherds in the US are from Peru for example; their mountain grazing season is the opposite of ours.
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They broke the law. You can't just have people flagrantly ignoring laws, especially ones as big as illegal entry into a country. It devolves trust in the entire system massively.
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Unfortunately it's the natural and necessary reaction to things like benefits specifically for illegal immigrants and certain states like California bending over backwards to favor illegals over citizens and legal residents.
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That just incentivizes people to have kids tge second they get here. If you can’t deport when the illegal has American kids, you encourage people to cross the border pregnant and once the baby pops out, they get to stay.
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I (UK citizen) married a US citizen in 2023. We started the procedure to get me a green card immediately. There's a good chance it won't be completed until 2026. We're lucky enough that my wife is able to live in the UK so we can be together while we wait. Many of those waiting alongside us for spousal visas to be approved aren't so fortunate and have to stay apart in separate countries. I don't have a huge issue with the slow processing time, i approve of rigorous vetting for green cards. A number of my wife's friends in the US wonder why I don't just enter the country illegally. They even say that they'll find me work on the black market, no problem. Commonplace stories like the Mexican woman above are why they think this. Why play fair and by the rules if there's no penalty for cheating the system. If, instead, you actually get rewarded for cheating the system.
No, I don't agree that this woman should be given a green card. She should be deported and so should her children.
Well her kids are US citizens if they were born here. We aren’t some barbaric European country!
Yeah you get paid for cheating the system. Welcome to America! Seems like you’ve got a lot to learn.
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The pathway to citizenship is out of the country and to the back of the line.
There's your reasonable compromise. Not amnesty, not ever amnesty, not ever again.
There is no line. There is no path to citizenship for random people.
I don't want infinite immigrants, either, but I've always found it disingenuous the way some people act like their only problem with immigrants is that they are coming in illegally and jumping the queue instead of waiting their turn. The implication is that there is some kind of workable immigration process everyone can apply for and that the only reason not to do so is because you are too impatient to wait a few years or too dismissive of law and authority to bother going through the proper channels.
This is totally false. There is no path to immigration for the vast majority of people. If you support enforcing current immigration law, you support denying millions the chance to live and work in the U.S. for no other reason than they were born outside of it, condemning them to a much worse quality of life in countries full of poverty and violence, and you need to own that.
I support it, because allowing unlimited immigration combined with a welfare state, affirmative action, and NIMB zoning is unsustainable, but I'm not missing the proper mood; I feel bad about it, but it has to be done.
(Caplan would chime in with the keyhole solution of denying the immigrants welfare and civil rights, but he's delusional if he thinks that's politically stable)
Yes. The average condition of humanity is indeed full of poverty and violence in an economically disadvantaged country. The fallacy in the pro-immigration-for-all argument is thinking that geographic change (transplanting people from poor countries to rich ones) will solve what is fundamentally a social problem (poor countries are poor and remain so because they have poor-quality people). One only need look at Sweden, Germany, or France to see what happens when you allow in high numbers of low potential immigrants. Current US immigration law as written (very different from what is actually enforced) recognizes this and is designed to filter for only the best, brightest (or at least richest), and highest potential immigrants who will add value to the nation. This is a wise policy that reflects the fundamental instincts of nations through the millenia. It is only recently that society has become peaceful enough for suicidal empathy not to be exterminated by Darwinistic processes, though the jury is perhaps still out on that in the long term.
I firmly believe that if you advocate for less restrictive immigration rules, you should be legally obligated to support those immigrants at your own expense, in your own house. If you cannot put your money and life where your mouth is, you have no business telling the rest of us to do so.
It's also not self-evidently more just even if it were true.
A lot of the criticisms of hardline immigration positions on the grounds of geographic luck count just as much against most migrants themselves.
Why do central Americans have a disproportionate right to see their living standards improved, even if we agree borders are unjust? There are poorer people who couldn't even conceive of making journey. Clearly, nothing about de facto not enforcing the law eliminates the problem either.
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There's a line, it just might be decades or centuries long. If you apply now and life extension is invented within your lifetime, you just might make it in.
(Some of the later Japanese emigrants to Brazil must have been kicking themselves a few years onward).
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Or you could put your skills to use making your home country less of a shithole so that you don't need to immigrate
This is simply not doable in Venezuela, short of an armed takeover. Mexico has some bright spots but it’s not the sort of thing talented individuals can improve.
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Seriously? Your advice to someone born in Venezuela or in Mexico is to stay and use their skills to fix their countries? Those places are like San Francisco on steroids. The government stops any value from being built or protected, and if against all odds you do manage to build some wealth it will immediately get stolen from you by the government or by criminals.
Just because it is in our best rational interest to stop them from immigrating doesn't mean it isn't in their best rational interest to try escape from those hellholes. Even if, democracy being what it is, a large enough number of them will turn first world countries into more of the same, much like Californians escaping to Texas and Florida vote for the same policies that made them leave.
From "Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-Sided" by Eliezer Yudkowsky:
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Nobody's got that much skill in some countries (e.g. Haiti), and almost nobody has it anywhere.
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I don't think "fake it 'til you make it" is a very good basis for a legal system. Continuously breaking the law for years is worse than breaking it for days, all else being equal.
Yeah I just don’t think these petty deportations are good politics though. There are 10+M immigrants under Biden, and we are selectively going to deport the criminals (good) or the well known ones in their community? Doesn’t seem wise.
Next Dem president likely to let 20M in next round, at this rate…
What constitutes "Good Politics" is indeed the core of the disagreement here. You and others arguing for accepting the illegals appear to believe that Reds should accept large-scale, chronic violation of the law as a fiat accompli, because what can we do about it, after all?
One thing we could do about it would be to, as Blues have a long history of doing, simply stop pretending that laws mean anything when they contradict what we perceive to be desirable or necessary outcomes. And then you and others who make arguments similar to the above can offer your "sure what they did was grossly illegal, but it's done and it'd be far too much effort to fix" arguments to the Blues instead, and see how receptive they are.
I understand that you might not think this sounds like a good idea. What I'm curious about is why specifically it would not be a good idea.
It’s not a good idea because some industries like Ag are completely dependent on this “illegal” labor. If you could snap your fingers tomorrow and instantly deport them all, you’re going to have food shortages and food rotting on the vine in California.
Trust me, I’d rather have a few more Mexican neighbors than have food shortages!
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Maybe they think this is a battered wife approach to politics and are just tired of it.
I’m sure this tit-for-tat escalation will be our new reality
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Highly-publicized deportations seem like meat for the base, and also serve as a chilling effect for illegal immigrants. It's also a wedge issue where the Right gets to paint the Left as opposing the Rule of Law.
I don't see any reason to deport immigrants who applied and were accepted. At worst, the government could stop approving new applications and let any existing temporary ones expire without renewal.
Immigrants who commit normal crimes (like murder) or break immigration law should be deported and/or punished in other ways. Just like anyone else.
That sounds like a call to deport 20M extra so that the immigrant numbers are at the right level at the end of their term. (jk?)
There were over 10M illegal immigrants under Biden, so that would need ~4k daily deportations for the entire presidency to undo. Seems unlikely/impossible to happen.
Unfortunately it’s a lot easier to let people in than kick them out.
I believe a statement like this would technically be illegal in large parts of the world as it would effectively constitute holocaust denial. You probably don't want to go on the record as stating that it is "impossible" for governments to remove millions of people in a few years.
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Why? When it comes to the capacity of modern states for mass deportations, I like to point to the example of the post-War "flight and expulsion" of Germans:
So it looks to me that the real question is one of will.
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The thing is you don't even need to directly deport most of them. Like people said upthread, this is very unphotogenic and faces contest opposition on multiple levels. What you need to do is make them virtually unhireable.
A Haitian you hired caused a vehicular manslaughter ? Great, the trucking company CEO gets tried for something like felony murder, and the company pays a fine high enough that they'll be in the red for the next quarter. A bunch of Mexicans built a house which doesn't have a single right angle? Great, we'll make it so it makes fines for every code violation raise exponentially. You knowingly helped people cross the border illegally so that you'll hire them? Great, your company gets dissolved and auctioned off.
Within weeks, 75-90% would deport themselves.
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Well, shucks. Guess it's best to just give up completely, then. /s
If it's hard, then that just means it takes more work. Might as well get started now.
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Making a very large fine an alternative to deportation works. Basically what the IRS does in most cases.
Why pay for a visa the slow legal way, or a million dollar trump gold card when you can just pay a fine?
Great incentives.
Edit: Edited the fine size, you did say 'very large fine'.
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Well it’s unlikely these people can pay a fine. They often do menial labor tasks for below minimum wage (main reason you hire undocumented labor in the first place)
They do not work for below minimum wage. They work for somewhat less than American citizens that would be doing those jobs(mostly ex-cons anyways). This is well above the legal minimum wage, even if it’s still not a very nice salary in either case.
Here in South Florida at least a lot of waitresses are illegal immigrants who don't even get paid any wage at all; tips are literally all they get. If you are already violating labor law by hiring someone, you might as well go all the way.
I’ve never seen that, but, you know, it doesn’t really surprise me- more of a violation of the letter of the law than the spirit.
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This is fundamentally driven by the Trump administration's attempt to overturn Humphrey's Executor. The law setting up USIP says that the non-ex officio members of the Board can only be fired for cause. Trump attempted to fire them anyway. If Humphrey's Executor is good law, then Trump can't fire the board members, three random board members can't pass a resolution at a meeting from which the majority of the board is excluded, Moose was never fired, Jackson is some rando trying to break into an office building, and the DOGE employees and the police protecting them are common burglars. If Humphrey's Executor is wrong, then Trump fired most of the board, the remaining board members fired Moose, Jackson is the new president, the DOGE employees are his invited guests, and the police were quite properly escorting a fired employee off the premises.
This is an uncommonly silly way to set up a hard-to-punt test case, but if anyone involved sues then it will indeed do so. The litigation is a slam-dunk for Moose unless Humphrey's Executor is overruled. And the fate of Humphrey's Executor can only be decided by SCOTUS.
I mentioned this up thread but Humphrey’s Executor has been pretty extremely narrowed over the years. It isn’t clear to me one needs to overrule it to conclude Trump’s actions were fine.
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Maybe the Trump team knows they have a malfeasance case in USIP sponsoring overseas violence other intellegience agency shenanigans.
If the board members stay fired, they keep their secrets.
If they press the issue, then Trump is forced to show his cards.
Given that Trump's people have repeatedly said that they believe Humphrey's Executor was wrongly decided, I don't think a complex explanation is needed. The administration is unapologetically breaking the law because they believe the law they are violating is unconstitutional and that SCOUTUS will eventually rule in their favour.
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What? If they're independent, why didn't they laugh off his powerless bluster and stay on the job? That's what I would do if Trump told me I was fired.
If he has the power to fire them, he probably has the power to access the building. I find it suspicious that they aren't debating the first point.
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I'm not sure how USIP can reasonably be described as a "private" organization given:
Further, in its own 2023 Congressional Budget Justification they request:
USIP presents itself as something a little more than think tank, but less than full blown diplomatic corps. Funded by Congress, so non-profit yes. Private? I don't think so. It's an NGO, minus the non- requirement. In the Justification PDF I can find a few reasons why it'd be targeted.
Standard fare. I don't see anything particularly woke in their "classroom materials" though this is unlikely to be a primary function which is supported by the (dated) learning modules.
They do have their 2025 Justification out which is about the same as the 2023 one. 2023 was just the first result. In 2025 they say:
USIP appears to be general blobbery. Maybe it is CIA spooky, but who can say? Small amount of funding at 55 million/yr to create reports and contribute something to US diplomacy and propaganda efforts. The claim that they maintain active dialogues and "informal" channels in 100 different conflicts sounds substantial. It is a justification after all. Might provide comfortable sinecures for blob affiliates to do think tanky legwork or diplomacy for Congressmen. They might do so in a way that is more convenient, more discrete, or more something than dealing with the State Department. Another set of eyes and ears to the ground with another set of mouths to spread the good word.
Any or all of the above would be on brand for targeting by this administration. Consolidate all the various diplomatic blobbery under the State Department, steamroll resistance, and probably destroy quite a bit on the way.
Yes, probably. I hope so at least.
Presumably they think that they are either doing a bad job of it or not actually doing this job-- or, they consider this redundant because of other government organs.
I doubt they looked at their work very carefully, no. We can't know. It might be a case where there is not much tangible evidence of their work.
No idea.
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The most likely explanation is that when DOGE asked about the work USIP tried to play the "private organization" card instead of answering questions.
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It is as bad as it sounds, there is no steelman.
I hope so. If I ever try to take over the world, I can’t imagine seeing all these comments steelmanning my endeavor as some bureaucratic trifle.
I am burning the Erdtree, goddammit! I intend to ascend to Elden Lord and reforge the shattered Elden Ring!
Moon atheist waifu supremacy over anti-horn golden crybabies any day.
Every time you post something like this...
How many layers of 4chan are you on, anyway?
It’s a humorous reference to Elden Ring.
Are they just gonna be allowed to insult me? I thought that was against the rules?
What exactly was the insult?
Presumably that she spends too much time on 4chan to the extent that her perception is skewed by a similar degree to being literally intoxicated.
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If I was going to mod one of the many, many quips and insults thrown your way, it probably wouldn't be this one.
Frankly, I'm not even sure what Listening was going for.
What? So you're saying that it was an instance of rule breaking...you just won't mod it? Huh??
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Sorry, that was insensitive. How much Crystal Cafe are you on?
I'm going to have to ask you to explain the joke.
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Context, my dear roadhouse, context.
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Moon simping and being a pawn of women in general is Reddit.
True based and redpilled anons aren't afraid to inherit the frenzied flame and crash the lands between with no survivors.
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The Crazed Caca Consumer and the three fingers > all
Who wants to be ugly forever????
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I know this is a troll but again the facts are that a fired president tried to keep people out of the building the acting president wanted in. That is, the only bad thing is that a crazy person illegally tried to seize a government building until the police came.
It's not a troll, it's her honest opinion. It's not well argued (in that it's not argued at all), but she's not being disingenuous to rile people up.
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This isn't actually true. The Trump administration LOVES giving assistance to foreign countries, even foreign countries that actively murder US servicemen and is even willing to send US forces to die in order to make sure those foreign countries can continue to violate ceasefire agreements. This might sound glib, but I feel like pointing out that it obviously isn't foreign aid itself that Trump is objecting to - there's clearly some other criteria being used here, otherwise policy towards Israel and Ukraine would be very different.
Wait, Ukraine has actively murdered US servicemen? Huh?
Paraconsistent is right - I was referring to the USS Liberty incident. Ukraine to the best of my knowledge hasn't killed US servicemen, just US journalists and citizens (not that many people care about Gonzalo Lira). That said, I do think it plausible that several of the US "mercenaries" serving in Ukraine would have been killed for reasons of friendly fire or corruption - it's just that there won't be any way to confirm those rumors until the war is over, and legally they aren't actually actively serving.
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I believe he is referring to Israel and the USS Liberty Incident: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Liberty_incident
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I admit I had never heard of USIP before yesterday, but there seems to be a critical disagreement over basic facts about what USIP actually is. I see sources saying it is an "independent" "private" organization, and therefore DOGE and Trump have no authority over it. Meanwhile, it seems to be funded by direct Congressional appropriation, forbidden from accepting private funding, and its board has to be nominated by the President and approved by the Senate. Those two sets of facts do not seem compatible to me, even given that there is a spectrum of organizations between fully public and fully private.
Whether the Administration's actions here are legal depends on which set of facts is really true.
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Another QUANGO put to the sword. 'independent' organizations are really just stealthy ways to hide from public scrutiny while taking public money. How can you be a 'private' entity if you were founded by Congress?
100% this
Private organization clearly does not mean what I think it means if you are funded wholly from public funds. “Independent” lol, how can I get one of these organizations for myself?
You probably need to start off with a secret or higher security clearance.
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It's a great grift. Someone somewhere sometime did a deal to get their own little fiefdom set up and paid for by the US taxpayer. Great while it lasts.
I think the blob of these leeches/ticks is what is behind the funding of the anti-tesla movement.
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Another way of framing this is that a fired president illegally tried to bar people permitted to enter the building from entering the building and the police intervened to preclude the fired president from illegally barricading the building.
Here is DOGE post: https://x.com/doge/status/1901810390323048756?s=46
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AP article: https://apnews.com/article/doge-trump-us-institute-of-peace-03362c3440884c6b29e28ad0d88f5014
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Private entity, whose board of directors is appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate. Except for the Secretary of Defense, Secretary of State and President of the National Defense University who are ex officio members. Very private industry. Definitely not another CIA front trying to keep its regime change operations hidden away from public oversight.
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How woke are they?
Is that relevant to your evaluation of whether DOGE should be allowed to seize their headquarters?
Honestly yes.
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