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100ProofTollBooth

Dumber than a man, but faster than a dog.

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joined 2023 January 03 23:53:57 UTC

				

User ID: 2039

100ProofTollBooth

Dumber than a man, but faster than a dog.

1 follower   follows 2 users   joined 2023 January 03 23:53:57 UTC

					

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User ID: 2039

  • Re: Protein. Genuinely curious about what a good range is. I've always seen .5 g / lb as the benchmark for "minimum" for a semi-active person.
  • Re: Sleep timing. I hear you. I would be in bed at 9pm everynight if this wasn't the equivalent of social suicide. Artifical light literally changed the species and I think the consequence is that early oriented cronotypes are slowly dying out over generations. Sorry, dude.
  • Re: Religion. I'll plug the Catholic Land Movement. I don't have a ton of experience with it but it seems to be split between TradCaths (my strain) and very woke Liberal Catholics (who .... aren't catholics). So, YMMV, but at least something to consider.

Relationships are all about compromise, and give and take.

This is one of those generic pieces of casual advice that literally leads people into hell.

I'm not writing this to attack you, @FtttG, but to attack that idea.

Relationships are not about compromise unless there is a greater goal to compromise for. Otherwise, this is a circular argument that is also negatively compounding. Think about this rephrase;

"Relationships are all about compromise. When I want to do something that my wife doesn't want to do, she compromises her own happiness (just a little!) to make me happy. Likewise, when she wants to do something that I don't, I do it, and compromise my own happiness (just a little!), to make her happy. The relationship net happiness is totally the same, right? Not at all slowly degraded."

The intent, genuine as it is, is to maintain system stability in the relationship. But if the "goal" is the current state of affairs, then every possible choice becomes overweight in risk because every possible choice represents a potential change to the system. Soon enough you get into defection problems. Think of this scene; Guy wants to go our for guys night, has already informed his girlfriend / wife of his intention days before, she has agreed, but, then, at the moment he is pocketing his keys to leave, she hits him with the puppy dog eyes and asks if, maybe, just this one time he can stay home and watch Netflix with her. Why? Because there is no direct relationship upside to him hanging out with the guys. Sure, sure, he needs time with his friends and all, but there's the much higher risk that some bar slut will make a move (or is that just a perceived risk?). The point stands.

My counter is that relationships are about two people working towards a defined mission. Usually, thats the having and rearing of children. When it isn't, there has to be something beyond mutual emotional support (which is stasis). Perhaps that something is being the DINK couple that travels a bunch. "Babe, we're going to hit 50 countries this year if we save and budget!" maybe it's the fitness couple - they run marathons together. It doesn't matter what the particular goal is just that The Goal is there and third party to mutual emotional support. Then, you can "compromise" because both parties can see it as a positive sum sacrifice for that external goal. The guy stays home from boys night because the drinking will impair his training. The girl doesn't nest up the couch and binge watch netflix because that means missing a training session.

Thank you for the write-up.

Longevity / health has been an interest since I read Lustig's Metabolical. FWIW, Lustig does a good job of getting into the details of how the macros (fat, protein, and carbohydrates) interact to fuel you - or to cause metabolic syndrome, "leak gut", and all sorts of insulin issues. The transfats section was particularly scary.

  1. On the Zone 2 exercise claims. I've seen these floating around health twitter for sometime. I cannot at all claim to be an expert, but I think some of the confusion may come down to the fact that the difference between Z2 for multi-year trained folks and those just coming off the couch can be massive. The reality is that most people, even those who go to the gym regularly, are actually very undertrained in a whole-of-athlete sense. Gym Bros can move big weight, but they have the cardio of smokers. Treadmill bunnies can stomp out 7 min miles for ever, but have heart palpitations after doing a few box jumps or kettlebell swings. Casual gym goers train themselves into hyperspecialization which leads to overall system brittleness. I think that's hard for people to deal with because it means treating your fitness as a dynamic system that changes meaningfully every six or so months. The only people who are going to be able to keep up with that are already in the top 20% of executive function / discipline / planning capability - which means they likely are already doing it! It's such a hard problem for that 50% - 80%. It's an impossibility for < 50%.

  2. Agree broadly on nutrition. There's no special diet. You eat whole, minimally processed foods, with roughly balanced fat-protein-carbs. I think anything from 40-30-30 (fat protein carbs) to 20-50-30 (fat protein carbs) is probably fine and mostly rests on an individuals particular sensitivities and situation. Any diet where a macro is less than 15% if total calories seems suspicious to me. The protein cult is real. You cite 1g / lb of bodyweight as a max. I've seen references to 0.8 g / lb as where diminishing returns start. If you're really getting after it in the gym or elsewhere (marathon runner etc.) then going above 0.8 can have benefit.

  3. Sleep is king. Got disciplined with it about 18 months ago. Perhaps as much of an impact on mental and physical health as a good gym routine. After a while, I started to really enjoy the end of day pattern I had constructed for myself to signal sleep to my brain and body.

  4. Emotional. Again, person to person. There are recluses out there who do perfectly fine on their own, but they are an exception. Definitely against the "everyone should go to therapy" line. Pretty good way to develop neuroticism. I think the gold standard is a religious community. You get a deeply committed community aligned to a transcendental or metaphysical "goal." That's self-sustaining in a permanent way that a softball beer league or trivia night group is not.

New Jersey State Troopers.

Kidd killed Kilcullen

Just had to point that out.

Next week, on This American Life, we take a look at the quiet life of Cell Block D in Rikers Island. Enjoy this early preview:

_Tuesday is canteen day. Always a bustle of activity then. My cellie (for the week I am visiting) is named Bullwhip. He's a white supremacist who murdered a latino woman and her child. He's got a rugged complexion and a strong gaze that reminds me of my grandfather. I'd spend summers on grandpa's farm as a child, working on spiceracks in his woodshop that never turned out quite level.

Bullwhip leads me out of our cell with a friendly, "get your shit, faggot" to urge me on to the day. "Lead on", I think. Maybe this will be like one of my childhood summer adventures. When we get in line for canteen, a member of the Piru Crips steps on Bullwhips foot. I can't quite make out if its accidental, intentional as to make a point, or the kind of juvenile horseplay that is common in locker rooms. As I puzzle over this, Bullwhip gouges out the man's eyes. His shrieks of pain bounce of the concrete walls as the Correctional Officers - "screws" my fellow inmates call them - charge the scene. Bullwhip, covered in the other man's blood, keeps shouting "That's what you get, frog! That's what you fucking get!" while I lie prone and try to keep from tearing up due to the pepperspray that's been deployed.

Or ... am I misty eyed because maybe, just maybe, I can hear the bullfrogs from Grandpa's farm once again."_

My only reaction to this is a very demonstrative lol, whut.

Is this dude seriously trying to weave together:

  1. Touring Cambodian art exhibits,
  2. Minneapolis Foodie subculture,
  3. "I liked it before it was cool" hipster vinyl collecting.

With:

  1. My wife is the paragon of moral virtue. I get to keep her lunch schedule.
  2. Good and Pretti. Dramatic pause continuing into solemn whisper.... "they died just blocks from my house."
  3. THEY STEALIN THE KIDS!

IFeelLikeI'mTakingCrazyPills.gif

This person isn't a serious person. I don't know if they're a real person. I do know that they don't actually like Cambodian bronze art and Middle Eastern food (if they did, they would've dropped that they knew about the specific time period of the Cambodian art and would've narrowed "Middle Eastern" food down to, you know, an actual country. Maybe he means Somali!)

But he really want you to know he likes these things - and Thin Lizzy - and that he is also so dedicated to the protestors cause but can also, like, you know, take a step back and see the bigger picture.

I don't trust this guy at all. I don't think he'd have anyone's back in a real fight. I feel like if his wife got into it with ICE, he might cause somewhat of a scene but then find some interesting way to get tackled by ICE preventing him, don't you know, from doing the heroic thing he was totally about to do.

Mostly, this is a shake my head moment. Whatever, Bro is the gut reaction.

Were it not for:

God help you if you were a normal guy in a pick-up truck.

Fuck you, dude. (Mods: I am talking to the guy in the quoted article, not any other poster here). I'm a normal (enough) guy in a pick-up. I am driving through Minneapolis because I have to go to work, or get groceries, or pick up my kid. You're literally saying "Ha! Sucks to be you, boy, should've stayed home where you belong, boy, might not make it back if you stay out after dark, boy!"

Like @OracleOutlook said below, facial expressions are part of sign language. Not doing them, or doing them too subtly, is the literal equivalent of poor diction.

The hyper theatrical nature of the interpreters is largely due to the fact that they might not have the best camera angle on them. In ASL, squaring up to talk to whomever you are talking to is best practice. If the camera is often an angle, or there are multiple cameras and you are signing to the "primary" but maybe the broadcast jumps around to different camera angles, you have be extra demonstrative.

However, you're still right that it's in group virtue signaling. First because sometimes no one checks the credentials of the interpreter. And, second, because deaf people who do watch TV are going to used closed captions. Or they're going to read whatever the press release is five minutes after the press conference comes to its conclusion.


There's actually an interesting culture war going on within the deaf community. Cochlear implants are seen, by some deaf folks, as betrayals to the culture and they will not let their deaf children get them. You may have heard terms like "gold star" gays - men who have never had sex with a woman ever, only other men. There's a kind of equivalent for deaf families. When two deaf people have a baby, if that baby is deaf, in some circles, that's a special awesome superstar deaf baby. Dating outside of the community is sometimes looked at with suspicion. At all deaf events (parties and the like) if it is discovered that someone signing can hear (i.e. they learned ASL for some reason beyond necessity) they're often quite rudely booted from the party.

I watched the whole video.

Self-linking may be gauche, but what I wrote about the Renee Good video seems bang on for this as well.

The videographer gives us a couple dozen "what the fuck"s and "oh my god"s. After the gnashing of teeth, we get the performative righteousness slogan; "You're killing US!"

Us? Us?

Lady, did you you just get shot? Or did the dead guy who got shot get shot?

The "us" is the tribe, the team, the cause. The videographer gets to self-identify as an innocent victim but also gets to go on living. She will receive accolades and tribute from the other members of the tribe for her volume and repetitive efforts.

60g of cooked chicken is damn close to a full pound of it depending on the exact fat content / blend.

Edit: I am a dumb. A full pound is closer to 90 - 100g of protein. Carry on.

I imagine Chipotle chicken is probably a bulk blend of mostly thigh meat with some breast met. Almost certainty skinless (for better storage and easier prep).

I've seen the advertisements for the extra protein, but haven't tried it myself. Did your eyeball on it say "yep that's probably about 60?" or did it seem light?

Posting this here and specifically not in the culture war thread.

You're gonna get what I mean; It's not bananas and rice. It's more like bananas and rice

Because this is the fun thread, leave aside the somali stuff. The awkward circular dialog is fun to laugh at regardless of context. This had a base of Arrested Development with a playful side dish of Curb Your Enthusiasm. The garnish was the cringing awkwardness of I Think You Should Leave. 5/5 would recommend. Zagat nominee 2026.

I see what you did there, friendo.

Better phrasing than mine, for sure.

Maybe it's more the tyranny of metrics as product. If the point of measurements, and tolerances is to "make things work" that's fine. It seems to me that, in this case, the point of measurements was to point at the measurements.

Agreed.

I was thinking about Minnesota and this comment a day or two ago. It's part of a kind of memetic that I think of as "Stop making Scott Adams look like Nostradamus."

Scott Adams, Dilbert comic creator turned online politico commentator and, recently, dead, made some not PC comments in 2023.

They're nothing special. A bit of breathless hyper-noticing and juiced up with a Very Online Person kind of flair. Ho-hum, as far as it goes. But the media pounced and Scott took a lot of flak for it. Elon defended him, which is kind of cool, I guess. Everyone moved on.

And then, at the end of 2025, he turned out to be completely right, at least directionally. Roving gangs of private citizens are harassing people - well, white men - for just kinda sorta looking like ICE agents. Which, I guess, consists primarily in ... being a white male.

While I am firmly on the right, I've never liked Trump. He's economically illiterate, a populist Dixiecrat rather than a conservative, and has no actual worldview other than an interesting and admittedly successful (in some sense) set of boomer "vibes."

But he keeps not trying to kill me or brand me as the devil. Which puts him materially ahead of half of the country, and the leadership and majority of the democrat party. And yet, they keep being astounded that I don't want to get my membership card in the "Kill Everyone who is like TollBooth" club.

"Don't be hypersensitive"

"Most people are normal"

"Except all people on the right. Who are hypersensitive"

And, the parting morality shot - "Don't introduce data and ask me to review it, that would be ... unbecoming"


I'm not going to try to change your mind on anything. I'm only going to try to suggest that you read what you write before posting and ask yourself the question "am I making any arguments here or am I just kind of teasing my opponent?"

You might as well say any form of redistribution is a UBI.

I explicitly said that in my original post.

I applaud your deep reading of the article, because it shows how bureaucratic thinking can infiltrate any job.

Notice the language of Bell - "everyone did it this way", "I was just doing what I had been told" - It's the "I followed orders and The Process" defense. I'd be much happier if a technician or supervisory one at that actually had a technician's mindset and pride in his/her work that would lead them to think "You know, if these rails are always a little off, that's probably a bad thing, even if 1/8th of an inch isn't Big Bad on its own." No, instead, there's citing of reports and approvals and procedure.

This is your brain on PMC+Bureaucracy. This is how they want you to think because then capital-C Compliance is the way to a "respectable" job.

Even if that job is making sure everyone is in alphabetical order before going into the culling machine.

There are different kinds of not making a profit.

I wish my accountant would see it like this.

Links to Chinese and Indian government crackdowns? Ok. I mean, there's a reason I don't live there and call both of those regimes authoritarian.

Let that not bother you, the government has enough money to hire a thousand of lawyers and let them outplay you in any rule-lawyering contest - given that they will actually be judging who won anyway.

So the system is already irrevocably rigged against me. But ...

But you will never get a seat at the table itself while being a rat. And that's the goal.

I should want to have a seat at the corruption table?

If they want 99.99% of people using government-controlled identity-linked devices to access the internet - that's what will happen

Why would "they" (I think you mean legislators) want this? If you're going to answer with "because they want total control!" Then you're just feeding into a straw man archetype.


I'm interested in preventing a censored future. And I also think there is a very real chance it could happen - look at England arresting people for tweets. But what you're presenting is an "you're already fucked!" blackpill doomer scenario that relies on a lot of circular argumentation and conspiracy thinking. There's a lot of logical leaps - they're gonna find a way to fuck you, bud! - without a lot of well thought out causal chains for how it would all actually happen. I find so little value in this.

A Live Fire Experiment in UBI

This is a link to the 2026 Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority (WMATA) Budget.

Note: I'll make number page references to it throughout this post. This means when I say "p. 6" I mean the page that has "6" in its lower left or right hand corner, not the page number in your browser's PDF viewer.

1. WMATA is not self sustaining.

WMATA annually serves 268 million riders and makes approximately $2.03 in revenue per rider. Their revenue is ~$545 million, which is 1/10th of their budget. (p.1) By comparison, New York's MTA makes up about 35% of its operating budget via fares and tolls. 23% is from fares alone. (Note: I'm pretty sure I'm doing a mostly apples-to-apples comparison here. I'd be thankful if anyone finds that I am not and can point out any error.)

Public transit in the US is always a money losing operation. Everywhere, it is existentially dependent on taxes for basic operational support, let alone capital improvements or system expansion. The idea, however, is that providing a low cost transportation system "pays for itself" (indirectly) by providing more economic dynamism and potential for growth in a given area. Therefore, at best, and most charitably, public transportation is a public good in the textbook economic theory sense.

There are, however, economists who would debate the ROI of public transportation and more still who would question the efficiency with which the tax dollars that fund public transportation are spent. This leads us to;

2. WMATA cannot pay its own employees

ALL of WMATA's revenue can only pay for about 31% of personnel costs (p.6). Total personnel costs for FY2026 is forecast at $1.746 bn (compared to a forecast revenue of approx $545 mm). This personnel cost is separate from "services", materials, fuels, utilities, casualties and liability, leases, and miscellaneous. It is, by far, the single largest expense. "Personnel" is 6.6x the size of the second place "services less paratransit." Combining the two different "services" line items, Personnel is still 4.16x the size. Personnel expenses represent almost 70% of operating expenses for WMATA, whereas NY's MTA (link above) pegs theirs at 58% of operating expenses.

Grim, to say the least. To keep this post focused, I'm not going to go into a detailed analysis of WMATA's performance. Suffice it to say, however, that it is notorious for being late, delayed, always running incomplete or rerouted service due to maintenance and repair issues, and highly vulnerable to fair evasion. For a while over the past 5 - 10 years, WMATA stations were notorious for often catching on fire.

3. WMATA's tax based funding is pure redistributionism

Page 10 shows the operating subsidy for the key areas that support WMATA:

  • Whole of DC.
  • Maryland. Two counties; Montgomery and Prince George's
  • Virginia. Six municipalities; City of Alexandria, City of Fairfax, City of Falls Church, Fairfax County, Arlington County, and Loudoun county.

For some context, with the exception of Prince George's county, all of these municipalities have median household incomes well over $100,000. The Virginia counties (not cities) rank in the top 10 of income for the entire country nearly every year.

The net operating contribution of all of these subsidies is about $1.996bn, about 14% more than the $1.746bn necessary to meet the "Personnel" operating budget.

Looking at the contributions by municipality, and without digging into service levels (i.e. number of trains and buses) versus population and/or tax base in each one, it doesn't look like anyone is getting "hosed." The only thing that sticks out to me is that metroBUS subsidy in Prince George's County seems meaningfully higher than elsewhere.

Staying focused on personnel, however, it is remarkable how close the local area subsidy is to that personnel budget figure.

** 4. Analysis and Opinion **

I think WMATA can best be thought of as a jobs program that redistributes tax money from several local jurisdictions to its 13,646 employees (p.19). That's an average "personnel" cost per employee of about $127, 949.58.

Then, using a combination of federal grants, about $800 mn of debt issuance, and its modest $545mn of revenue, it then actually finances, you know, running the trains and buses on time. Except that service, as stated before, is notoriously sub-par.

As an interesting comparative, the DC localized Federal Gov't Pay Scale link here would put $127,000 towards the lower steps of the GS-13 level. For anyone who has had exposure to Federal Contracting in the Northern VA, Southern MD, DC area, a GS-13 is pretty much where a white collar professional with anywhere from 5 - 10+ years of experience ends up depending on technical skill, advanced degrees, security clearance level, etc. It isn't a particularly special pay grade. GS-14 is where the "adults" live and GS-15 is meaningful (it's the equivalent to a colonel in the U.S. army in terms of seniority alone).

Now, to be fair, the $127k cost for WMATA employees is almost certainly salary plus benefits, whereas the GS scale is straight salary. Also, I will note that my $127k calculation is an average instead of a median. A WMATA bus driver isn't going to be anywhere near $127k. Still, I think the rough comparison is still informative.

WMATA is a jobs program for 13,000 people. It sinks tax dollars from some of the most wealthy parts of the country - and Prince George's county - into a workforce that fails to perform the basics. Its operating model - I hesitate to call it a business model - is so poor that it can only generate 1/10th of the revenue needed to keep itself afloat. The positive externalities it generates for the DC area economy are questionable because most of the local economy is inextricably tied into Federal dollars already - mostly through direct federal contracting. For the outer suburbs - Northern Montgomery County, Fairfax County, Loudoun County, Falls Church, western Alexandria City - Metro stations and bus stops are so spread out and so infrequently serviced that people living there will definitely have a car. Traffic on 495, 66, 270, and 50 are testament to this.

Thinking ahead to discussions about UBI, I think that the WMATA example is a far more accurate preview of what a UBI program would actually look like; horribly inefficient government allocation of capital for do nothing jobs but at a level of "basic income" that is actually quite high.

A simple plan like "government check for $1k shows up in your bank account every month" is still a very shaky proposition. The quick math there is something like 220 million working age adults x $1k per month x 12 months = $2.2 trillion per year. This is about 1/3rd of the total federal budget. And this is assuming incredibly minimal overhead. Would that be the case, or would the "Department of American Income" be staffed with, oh, let's say about 13,000 "administrators" who each make between $100k - $125k? The IRS has about 90,000 employees, for reference

Furthermore, the WMATA example is also an example of the PMC-Bureucratic machine carrying out its mission perfectly. That is to say invisibly. Who really cares about a $5bn budget of a regional transit system besides turbo autists on internet forums? Ho-hum. Boring. But then you dig in and see that this is $129k/employee being siphoned away from the tax payers in suburban areas. It's wealth redistribution in exchange for political patronage and non-productive labor activity. It's a serfdom of laziness and fealty at the ballot box. And that' the end state for UBI in the American political-economy.

it seems pretty clear in hindsight that Good was just trying to get away.

Is this exculpatory evidence? I don't think so. If it were, then every criminal who starts running from the police "because they got scared" would then have, at the very least, a get-out-of-evading-arrest-free card to play at all times.

Non-compliance with law enforcement orders has to remain chargeable. Otherwise, we get into a situation in which subjective interpretations in the moment bear the same evidentiary weight as objective facts. Again, I'd recommend everyone watch an hour of police bodycam videos and not just the ones that result in discharge of a weapon - I mean basic traffic stops / drug possession chargers. You see a pattern after a while of the cop going through this process of information elucidation to begin to establish facts and intent and also to suss out obvious self-contradicting lies. They're doing this so that, should they need to testify later, their evidence and procedure is as tight as possible.

I don't think you'd be surprised to hear me call this a slippery slope argument. There's a lot of implied necessary changes and conditionalities baked into your scenario.

finding an unlocked phone on somebody would be universally treated as a sign that person is a criminal.

This stretches credulity. And how does "phone" and "unlocked" get defined in a legal sense. If I assemble an old hobby kit radio, do I possess an unlocked phone in principle?

I think the more likely answer is that a lot of legislation is going to fall apart because of a technical illiteracy. Look at New York State's RAISE act (Recently passed):

  1. "SAFETY INCIDENT" MEANS AN INCIDENT OF THE FOLLOWING KINDS THAT OCCURS IN SUCH A WAY THAT IT PROVIDES DEMONSTRABLE EVIDENCE OF AN INCREASED RISK OF CRITICAL HARM: (A) A FRONTIER MODEL AUTONOMOUSLY ENGAGING IN BEHAVIOR OTHER THAN AT THE REQUEST OF A USER; (B) THEFT, MISAPPROPRIATION, MALICIOUS USE, INADVERTENT RELEASE, UNAU- THORIZED ACCESS, OR ESCAPE OF THE MODEL WEIGHTS OF A FRONTIER MODEL;

How can model weights "escape"? How is that different than inadvertent release and/or unauthorized access.

The entire "demonstrable evidence of an increased risk" is ambiguity on ambiguity. And this is being linked to model weights; giant matrices of very long numbers. How in the world can you create a direct causal line here?

That's a choice people make. There's always going to be some sort of radical, free linux distro that the technically capable can load onto third party hardware.

Again, if you're buying fully integrated hardware, firmware, software from a corporation that puts these kind of things in place - that's a choice. There will always be bad faith actors out there. We should do our best not to reward them for that behavior.

Do it! You don't need the $200 / month out of the gate. Pro is $20 (I think?) and it's hard to burn through a days limit unless you're hammering on it constantly or using sub agents.

Take a half a Saturday / Sunday and read a good prompt engineering guide. "Spec Driven Development" is one of the good keywords to use on Google or X.

(including @MachineElfPaladin as well)

Ah, got it!

Yes, this is absolutely a massive potential problem. We will mandate that a human is put in the loop to slow down AI work in the name of safetyism.

I think, however, that this can only go so far and I know it is self-defeating.

Crypto (specifically Bitcoin) showed that even with something as hyperregulated as literal currency, people will find a way around it. You can't outlaw math, which means you can't outlaw encryption and cryptography in the digital world. It was a matter of time before people figured out the precise mechanisms to turn this into permissionless money. Are there still issues with BitCoin? Of course. Is it going to replace the USD? No. But it's already broken contain - MicroStrategy, a publicly traded "old" tech firm - is now effectively a Crypto Hedge fund that uses real USD from public markets as fuel for fake internet money scheming.

I expect that several companies will willingly hire their armies of "AI compliance people" and then will be defeated - fast or slow, doesn't matter - by new companies (DAOs?) that say "fuck that" to compliance and, instead, rely on new technologies to just get shit done.

Will this result in a wild west and semi-to-totally unregulated economy? Yes. Will there be a lot of chaos in the interim? Yes. But I do believe it's not only the only choice, but inevitable. The only alternative is slow death by bureaucracy.