The_Nybbler
If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.
No bio...
User ID: 174
I'm going to ask you the same question I asked the other commenter: Do you believe that SPLC leadership are actually hard-right cryptoracists who have been bilking hapless lefties out of their money and used it to fund white supremacist hate groups?
No, they're straight-up grifters who have been bilking hapless lefties out of their money and spending it both to create a problem and fight it.
How do you have any idea what order of magnitude the impact will be? How do you have any idea what the sign of the impact will be?
And this is why I am extremely skeptical of "Pigouvian" taxes. If you don't know the sign and magnitude of the externality, you can't tax (or subsidize) it to compensate.
It requires more of a stretch compared to the other counts, but if they do get convicted, their reputation is ruined.
No, because they'll just claim it was a witch hunt against them by the Trump administration, and their donors will believe them.
I'm blue tribe by upbringing, though I grew up near the edge of its territory at the time. I was a libertarian politically, not that uncommon in tech where a bunch of weirder blue tribe political positions thrived. My turn to the blackpill was employment at Google, where the progressives came in and basically curb-stomped all the weirdos. I was too cynical to reach for common ground and solidarity with the progressives personally, but I did watch them stomp friends who did so. But the progressives largely weren't Jews (though some were). And certainly not Israelis; I knew some Israelis and some of them were on the stompee side whereas most managed to keep out of it.
I am also Jewish (but in no way Israeli) by matrilineal descent, though I was never religious myself, which probably biases me. And I remember the cheering of the Palestinians in East Jerusalem after 9/11. So I have a side. My opinion obviously doesn't matter, but I do.
At the moment, "not just X, but Y" is a really good tell. Not sure where the LLMs got it but they use it all the time in "persuasive" writing, and I don't see that particular formula organically much. Most of the others are less good. Many steeped in the culture war are likely to use "X wearing a Y suit", for instance. I'm a fan of the em-dash and have been since before transformers were a gleam in Kaiser's eye. And "rounding error", "in real time", "the kicker", "the X is the point" (also very culture war), etc are all common, so only weak tells. (on the other hand, "But here's the thing" seems to be either AI slop or human marketing slop)
How does the vig compare to Fanduel, etc? I'm guessing Polymarket sports betting takes a much smaller rake than the legal stuff labeled as gambling.
This should add credence to the belief that e.g. the groypers are "controlled opposition". But it likely won't; the lesson of ECHELON, AT&T Room 641A, and the Snowden revelations is that conspiracy theories are never credible even when there's precedent.
Fortunately I am not licensed in any jurisdiction and am thus happily free from both credibility in diagnosis and ethical strictures in same.
Nursing assistants do the diaper changes.
The condition that's not mentioned in the article but is the spectre haunting it is not Communism but borderline personality disorder. Or one or more of the Cluster Bs anyway.
Once a suburbanite has gone Democrat they never go back.
When considering the culture war as a whole, would you say that accusations of racism or sexism have generally been false?
There certainly have been more false claims than true ones. Though not evenly distributed. For anti-semitism as applied to those opposing support for Israel, I believe the claims are mostly true in the US -- the bulk of the people actively opposing supporting Israel (as a whole; many will argue over details) are anti-semitic, and most of the rest are useful idiots who don't know which river or what sea.
Software development is higher status than nursing.
Was. The good times for status are over, I think.
It is evident to me that one of the strongest bulwarks against these policies changing has been accusations of antisemitism against those advocating such changes.
This is true, but it does not mean that those accusations have been false.
And certainly there are a lot of American Jews who don't like Netanyahu or don't like various actions Israel has taken. There are very few who want Israel to cease to exist as a Jewish state.
Other wall.
(Israel is a significant outlier in the middle East for having experienced zero civil wars since 1948)
This is a little unfair; as you note, Jordan's civil war was with the Palestinians, and labeling that "civil" while Israeli/Palestinian conflicts are not is defensible but a bit arbitrary.
Anyway, if it's so difficult for Jews to co-exist, it would be great if they could just... have their own country which other people could avoid, right? They could even build a wall to separate them from the other groups so there's no trouble. Of course, we know how that turned out. (and it ignores the Israeli Arabs, who don't seem to be particularly worse off than minorities in many other nations)
There's lots of places Israel would have been better off for practical purposes. But it's where it is now, and the particular land IS significant. And in practice, there was no free land; drop them in Northern Australia and aborigine advocates would hate them today (even if there were insignificant numbers of aborigines in the area).
Icelanders are a small subpopulation of Nordics, but they and their homeland don't seem to be under any particular threat. Except by their own acceptance of Islamic migrants, I suppose, but I suspect their climate (and the availability of better places) will limit that phenomenon. The Baltics main threat is Russia, which fortunately is occupied elsewhere. The others, like the Icelanders, are doing it to themselves. The Israelis, however, have been under near-continuous attack since the founding of their state. If they have a siege mentality (and they do seem to), it is because they have been under siege. It is true that eliminating Israel as a Jewish state wouldn't wipe out the Jews -- if it happens soon the Israeli Jews will mostly end up in the US. If it happens later, I suspect they'd mostly find places, not because the world's so much more accepting than in Hitler's time but because they're resourceful and will prepare. Unless they start a nuclear war instead; Masada wasn't THAT long ago, by geological standards.
This makes the Israeli situation rather different than any of those others. If the Israelis were inviting Hamas-loving Palestinians to join their polity and risking being wiped out that way, well... it would be sad, but totally on them.
Current pravda is that the Jews ethnically cleansed the area of the modern Israeli state in 1948.
What Yglesias stated -- that "that global perceptions of Israel are totally unrelated to Israeli conduct" is false -- is almost vacuously true. The implication -- as you said "the best way for Israel to fix its public relations problem is to change its actions vis-a-vis the Palestinian issue and foreign policy" is false. We're in a situation where Israel is blamed everything it does regardless of reason or justification and many things it hasn't done (in particular, "genocide"). It's opponents are not held responsible for anything they do. Israel changing their actions -- aside from taking actions which would result in them ceasing to exist -- would not fix its public relations problem.
I'm in camp 1.
Maybe I have it all wrong, but I was under the impression that proxy warfare was not graded the same way as direct war.
I thought so too, but then Iran insisted protecting Hezbollah be part of the ceasefire so...
The Iranian foreign minister DID announce the strait was open.
Cyberwarfare, yes. Constant terrorism, no. Iran's proxy Hezbollah has been firing rockets at Israel since October 2023, and never stopped.
- Prev
- Next

So you're saying that even if they did exactly what I said, they'll get away with it because black people will never believe this?
More options
Context Copy link