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The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

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joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

				

User ID: 174

The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

8 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

					

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User ID: 174

If the Iranian people could revolt, they would have. The regime has taken all their weapons and killed all their leaders, over the past 47 years; they are utterly defanged. The diaspora has been hanging out in nice countries enjoying themselves, not training up for military action in third-world shitholes. The dissidents are waiting for the West to save them. Spoiler: we won't.

If either party could stop being idiotic and start actually dealing with our domestic crises like adults, that would be great.

The adults in the room on the Republican side are Mitt Romney, Robert Dole and John McCain, and the latter two are starting to smell a bit. The adults in the room on the Democratic side are Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, which isn't any better.

It's a 2-week ceasefire. Don't get ahead of yourself.

Democrats are currently polling worse than anyone except Iran itself.

Well, either the pollsters are delusional or the Democrats are, because they're already counting the money from the wealth tax and all the other taxes they're going to put in after their landslide.

Also, Iran seems to be winning if you read the NYT, Economist, Free Press, etc.

They are two entirely different entities.

Ideally, perhaps. But in practice if I give out a lever -- for example, suppose I say I'd change my mind if Trump used nuclear weapons -- that lever will be used to abuse me. For what should be a silly example but is actually similar a discussion I've been part of, someone will say I SHOULD change my mind or be foresworn because depleted uranium penetrators were used.

And for something like reverse engineering firmware, I'd venture a guess that somewhere in the range of 50 to 75 percent of the qualified candidates are catboys (or aesthetically similar).

Doubt it; I've known quite a few people good at that kind of thing (including myself) and none of them have been catboys or anything similar. Even SREs, who seem to have more than their share, don't reach 50% catboy. Maybe if you include bronies, but you can't tell all of them by looking.

No, if you want to change my mind it's your job to convince me, not my job to hand you levers with which do to so.

It wasn't Twitter, it was Truth Social. Which is where Trump rants.

Obviously not, since they still have the enriched uranium, a nuclear reactor, and other parts of said program.

That one was the first, but it's not the only suicide bombing by Iranian proxies.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992_Buenos_Aires_Israeli_embassy_bombing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AMIA_bombing

Trump is uncouth. He's more uncouth than any president since Lyndon Baines Johnson. But that is all that it is.

Iran cannot credibly threaten death to America, or even Israel, for it has no means to inflict such death.

Which is why it was working on nuclear weapons.

Sure it is; in the land of the blind the one-eyed man is... err, there's that word again.

He is a gross capering clown who leads a populist interregnum

LOL. Nice choice of words for someone who has been protested by a group called "No Kings".

Yes.

But the hit of the primary school retroactively justifies and explains all the bad things the Iranian regime has ever said or done to the US.

They don't do suicide bombings like Sunnis

No, they get others (including Hezbollah) to do them for them.

they don't deal in over-the-top theatrics

Like Death to America Day

We're not in Kansas any more, this isn't about stutters or being uncouth

Yeah, that's the kind of thing people said when Dubya was compared to his father, whether it be the vomiting incident or the broccoli one. Yes, each Republican will be worse than the last, I understand.

Trump 2.0 is a sui generis in American history, whether in his ineptitude, corruption, or malice (or, yes, aesthetics).

He's not inept at all, but if he were, there's always Herbert Hoover to compare. Corrupt? Warren G. Harding, Nixon, Clinton. Malice? Gonna have to go with Obama and Biden for domestic malice, and FDR for foreign.

And until MAGA people start raping (eww) and killing the libs, I believe Palestinian comparisons are extreme hyperbole.

He actually can't kill the civilization. Islam did that already.

Honestly, the 4d chess argument I can come up with for this is that Trump is actively trying to make sure the war does not come to a diplomatic conclusion, and as such is utilizing a mix of insults and obvious bluffs to convince the Iranians to stay in it.

Agreed, but I don't think it's really 4d chess; it's not a really sophisticated strategy. He doesn't want them to make an offer that sounds reasonable.

The guy who chanted "Bomb Iran" to the tune of "Barbara Ann"?

To be fair, just about everyone of a certain age has to be tempted to do that when the subject of Iran comes up. If the regime falls, the new regime would be well-advised to ask the country be called "Persia" again just to break that association.

Some things really are difficult. And it's often not all about building knowledge and skills; some, or most, people just won't get it.

With trading it's also true that learning is absolutely punishing; you can only get so far learning by "play" trading, because of your own psychology, and real trading means losing real money.

The models are not mostly correct. The IPCC report includes out a whole bunch of estimates... which have on some occasions ALL been high, but just the fact that there are a lot of them suggests chicanery. Unless the same model consistently hits, which is not the case.

I've never seen an earnest accounting of solar with storage accounting for (1) seasonal variation and (2) a full transition to heat-pump heating.

And electric cars. (and ranges and water heaters, though those are likely insignficant) "Get an electric car, bro, you can just charge it at night when demand is low, bro." "Now with solar power electric supply is low at night too bro, you can't charge your car bro".