anon_
23d ago
I have probably indirectly been affected by the higher oil prices, but I'm not sure to what extent. I imagine probably badly, but I haven't done the research to find out for sure.
It's hard to believe that higher oil prices are ever a good thing, at least within the normal range. It's directly and broadly inflationary.
You can maybe construct a few exceptions: the obvious folks with direct investment in oil/gas/refining, a family with a huge mortgage at pandemic rates and salaries that track inflation or a low-end service worker with college debt that's in a hot labor market. Still, those are pretty exceptional.
anon_
23d ago
Multiple wars happening concurrently is really straining our ability to reason about the world.
I, for one, suggest they take turns having protracted conflicts in order to preserve sense-making.
anon_
23d ago
I think you're confusing something -- we are paying a toll to the shuttle tankers that are moving oil out of the gulf. Just not to Iran. That's reflected in crude prices and you're right that "open/closed" is not the appropriate metric.
You're right about the great expense and munitions bit tho. War is not cheap and there are real costs.
That said, I think the Houthis routing the make-believe Saudi forces is 100% worth it as a reality check for MBS. He's no doubt had underlings report to him that the military is in good state while he writes huge checks for gear and not-always-existent personnel. Meanwhile, we see videos of massed Houthi vehicles charging unchallenged across an open desert in the way that would make any Ukrainian drone operator (or US A10 pilot) shudder. I think he's smart enough and adept enough to do what's needed after seeing incontrovertible evidence.
anon_
23d ago
oil transiting the Strait under American protection
This is great news.
One asterisk to the good news (and I'm not a doomer) is that most tanker fleets (or their insurers) still won't cross the strait. So smaller tankers are "shuttling" the oil to the larger ones and then offloading it via ship-to-ship transfers.
It's a great solution, but it's expensive on two levels: first, it's just plain logistically expensive and second the shuttles are charging a risk premium. So I agree with the top line that America is winning, but at the same time we're all paying higher oil prices.
Yah, maybe. Don't know how much it changes
“unknown thing” detects vans, “someone” convinces farmer to go that way so they would stumble on vans. Terror squad arrests browns, finds out they are just petrol thieves.
anon_
25d ago
Yes, maybe the petrol thieves tripped some other surveillance, although the UK doesn’t have much search and seizure law parallel to the US.
Either way, they’re not the plotters, just completely hapless coincidences
anon_
25d ago
As far as what I can tell, there was a legit intelligence murmur about an attack.
Then a farmer saw some browns. driving a van, they got the entire terrorism and bomb squads called in on them, and finally they determined they were just regular diesel fuel thieves.
Presumably, at this point, the original attackers, to the extent that they were even ready operationally to go, will lie low for a while or choose a different target.
It’s worthy of a Guy Ritchie movie
anon_
27d ago
We kind of have that with parole eh? Parolees can be searched for far less than the rest of us.
anon_
27d ago
I think you've misunderstood the motivation for the doctrine -- it's not "invasion of privacy" but here the court found (debatably, sure) that the officer violated the suspect's physical person. The key part being that the suspect was (in the eyes of the court) physically seized at the moment he was (arguably) not free to leave.
You're free to say that doesn't change your opinion on the ultimate resolution. Maybe it shouldn't, I really don't know.
anon_
2mo ago
anon_
2mo ago
It's a particular subset of the left that is also gunning for the other half of the left.
I claim it remains to the benefit of the nation (not to mention the median mottizen) that they not succeed at shivving the institutional left. I guess we'll see in Michigan how it goes with AES, although I heard Gretch is going to line up against him.
anon_
2mo ago
result in Minnesota's disorderly conduct statute being nullified with regard to offenses that are limited to speech and no other disruptive behavior.
This is "as applied", so it would only cover specific applications.
There is also, perhaps unfortunately, the "fighting words" doctrine in which speech that any reasonable person would anticipate to imminently cause affray can be criminalized, at least as to directly uttering them in public (as opposed to, say, on a podcast). It's not totally beyond reason to imagine that racial slurs could be considered in that frame.
anon_
3mo ago
I suppose I'm on team "let kids have interests." Probably because that's the kind of attitude my parents took towards me and it seems to have worked out fine.
This is overly simplistic. Let kids have interests, unless those interests are truly beyond the pale. Everyquest, Star Trek, soccer, whatever. But not toasterfucking.
And indeed I think it's worthwhile for parents to teach children where appreciating something begins and where it ends up into fandom.
anon_
3mo ago
Does it? I don't think the Israeli police can wander directly through the center of Gaza City and arrest whoever they like.
But even moreso, many military forces have held a foreign territory without automatically annexing it to their state. The US occupation of Japan went on, and the solution was a Japanese government, not Japanese representation in the US system.
It's even more outlandish given that such annexation would be against the manifest will of both populations. It runs directly contrary to any norm of self determination to tell both the Gazans and the Israelis that we've just gone and decided that it's now a part of the Israeli state.
anon_
3mo ago
partitioning your state to exclude a specific citizenry
Which is question-begging. Asking that question doesn't resolve the antecedent question of what is part of the State.
anon_
3mo ago
ANJRPC finally dropped, in about the most expansive way possible.
More importantly, I think there is now a circuit split with the 7th that is more likely to merit cert. The Court presumptively (although, who knows) denied cert in a previous case (Highland Park?) to let things percolate. They have now definitely percolated.
anon_
3mo ago
Yeah, but it's also why not every deliberate legislative action that materially impacts a business, even if it causes real harm, can be a taking. That would imply that once those laws are passed, they can never be repealed.
anon_
3mo ago
It's not even an option in any traditional sense. It pegs the option to the auction's strike price, which is nonsensical.
anon_
3mo ago
It's not one body, it's every locality!
If your argument here is "the optimal size of a town is somewhat smaller than the current size", I can see that.
anon_
3mo ago
The reason I say this is because when Anthropic and GPT hiked their prices – which was probably aligning the value closer to their overall cost to manufacture the product – there was (apparently) an immediate and noticeable climb-down from high-volume AI use on the part of corporate America.
This is because, prior, corporate America told everyone to go and experiment with potential AI uses.
The climb-down was almost entirely pruning the bad/wasteful rather than actual narrowing the scope.
anon_
3mo ago
FWIW, I would get rid of zoning and permit restrictive deeds including racial.
This is incoherent. There's no philosophical difference between "I am buying this land and subdividing it with a restrictive covenant that it may only have single family homes" and "I am founding a town and passing a zoning ordinance that only allows SFH".
I think there is a narrow path that leads to at least a conviction for perjury -- she was actually 18 at the point her father immigrated and the search turns up solid proof of it. In that case, she's have been obligated to apply for citizenship on her own and would have been perjuring herself on various official documents in the decades since.
Despite the chud dreams, I think denaturalization is not likely even in this scenario. But a charge for perjury or some other falsification-of-documents offense is advantageous for the DOJ: easy to try and prove, makes their point.
More options
Context Copy link