anon_
2d ago
I don’t think it’s that coherent. Certainly, much of the left populace isn’t willing to do what’s necessary for energy and environmental review in order to restore.
Look at the pretty mild permitting bill that’s presumably now DOA. The left wing is up in arms against it because in relaxing the permits for clean energy, it would also relax those for natural gas
anon_
2d ago
Google tells me that gas and diesel for vehicles on the road is about 10% US energy expenditures by dollar.
So while I’m not in favor of a gas tax or defending California policy here, it’s not a fair comparison. You can double the cost of gas at the pump and still not be as impactful as a 33% rise in energy prices across the board
anon_
2d ago
The city doesn’t decide what rotisserie chickens cost, the grocery store does.
The city can't decide what it costs, but it can burden the chicken farm with endless NEPA/CEQA paperwork and plaintiff's lawyers. It can have its planning and inspection department add 25% to the cost of any construction of renovation, plus unbounded amounts of downtime. The State can chose not to build power generation or distribution leading to a grocery store paying more for power.
anon_
2d ago
nobody gets into politics to lower consumer prices
Remember when it was trendy in Blue circles to decry Walmart for having too low prices? The high cost of low prices. There was a whole fucking cultural thing about it.
I'm not pointing fingers at the specific readers on TheMotte or anything, but after 3 decades of observing American politics, I might be forgiven for concluding that we have the historical attention span of a lemming. Every few years something hits the zeitgeist and it's as if ever happened before.
anon_
2d ago
I mean, RDS scares the hoes too. Probably more than Trump with his totally lack of anything resembling human charm.
But looking back, nominating a man that didn't have the inclination or attention to govern just to own the libs, what else could happen. I guess gloating over the triggered left for a bit.
anon_
6d ago
A 14 year old can certainly be trusted to keep the house for a few days alone.
It's the responsibility over younger children that binds more tightly here.
anon_
7d ago
There have been disputes since. Tusk says that the PiS appointed judges are illegitimate, President Nawrocki has refused to swear in recent nominations from the Tusk lead parliament. Tusk says that doesn't matter.
Judges are appointed by the Sejm (legislature) but must (by regular law) be sworn in by the President. The law is really not clear whether the President is absolutely required to administer the oath to any judge or whether that functions as an effective veto by simply refusing to schedule such a swearing-in.
I'm sad to say because I don't support Tusk politically, but the former is probably the better read at least on a purely (autistic) legal reason. A clause intending to create a substantive power such as a veto should be explicit, not implicit in procedural steps.
Then again, I'm also inclined to say that if lawfare is fine for one side then it's fine for the other too. But that logic is what burns institutions down.
This is kicking off now because the EU wants it's eastern nations to be fully on board for war with Russia.
The EU wants that from Tusk. I don't think the courts have much to say about it, so it's just blowback from that.
anon_
7d ago
Teens babysitting is now illegal in Florida. Well, not technically, but practically so. A mother has been charged for leaving her 14 year old to watch her other kids (9, 11, 12) for a few days while she was on a work trip.
Holy motte and bailey. "Teen babysitting" sure. But a few days while on a trip???
I'd happily leave our kids for an afternoon or an evening with a teenager.
anon_
7d ago
Both sexes think it sucks, and there are people of both sexes who want to match with MMV peers and are unable to.
I generally agree with your post. But if both men and women want (on average) a 5 year gap, then it is is true that the folks in a cohort don't (on average) want to marry each other
anon_
7d ago
The men that listen to the message are not those that need it.
The men that need the message are not those that listen to it.
[ This post makes no claim as to the relative ratios here. Only Scott's longstanding observation. ]
anon_
25d ago
I think there is a narrow path that leads to at least a conviction for perjury -- she was actually 18 at the point her father immigrated and the search turns up solid proof of it. In that case, she's have been obligated to apply for citizenship on her own and would have been perjuring herself on various official documents in the decades since.
Despite the chud dreams, I think denaturalization is not likely even in this scenario. But a charge for perjury or some other falsification-of-documents offense is advantageous for the DOJ: easy to try and prove, makes their point.
anon_
1mo ago
I have probably indirectly been affected by the higher oil prices, but I'm not sure to what extent. I imagine probably badly, but I haven't done the research to find out for sure.
It's hard to believe that higher oil prices are ever a good thing, at least within the normal range. It's directly and broadly inflationary.
You can maybe construct a few exceptions: the obvious folks with direct investment in oil/gas/refining, a family with a huge mortgage at pandemic rates and salaries that track inflation or a low-end service worker with college debt that's in a hot labor market. Still, those are pretty exceptional.
anon_
1mo ago
Multiple wars happening concurrently is really straining our ability to reason about the world.
I, for one, suggest they take turns having protracted conflicts in order to preserve sense-making.
anon_
1mo ago
I think you're confusing something -- we are paying a toll to the shuttle tankers that are moving oil out of the gulf. Just not to Iran. That's reflected in crude prices and you're right that "open/closed" is not the appropriate metric.
You're right about the great expense and munitions bit tho. War is not cheap and there are real costs.
That said, I think the Houthis routing the make-believe Saudi forces is 100% worth it as a reality check for MBS. He's no doubt had underlings report to him that the military is in good state while he writes huge checks for gear and not-always-existent personnel. Meanwhile, we see videos of massed Houthi vehicles charging unchallenged across an open desert in the way that would make any Ukrainian drone operator (or US A10 pilot) shudder. I think he's smart enough and adept enough to do what's needed after seeing incontrovertible evidence.
anon_
1mo ago
oil transiting the Strait under American protection
This is great news.
One asterisk to the good news (and I'm not a doomer) is that most tanker fleets (or their insurers) still won't cross the strait. So smaller tankers are "shuttling" the oil to the larger ones and then offloading it via ship-to-ship transfers.
It's a great solution, but it's expensive on two levels: first, it's just plain logistically expensive and second the shuttles are charging a risk premium. So I agree with the top line that America is winning, but at the same time we're all paying higher oil prices.
Yah, maybe. Don't know how much it changes
“unknown thing” detects vans, “someone” convinces farmer to go that way so they would stumble on vans. Terror squad arrests browns, finds out they are just petrol thieves.
anon_
1mo ago
Yes, maybe the petrol thieves tripped some other surveillance, although the UK doesn’t have much search and seizure law parallel to the US.
Either way, they’re not the plotters, just completely hapless coincidences
anon_
1mo ago
As far as what I can tell, there was a legit intelligence murmur about an attack.
Then a farmer saw some browns. driving a van, they got the entire terrorism and bomb squads called in on them, and finally they determined they were just regular diesel fuel thieves.
Presumably, at this point, the original attackers, to the extent that they were even ready operationally to go, will lie low for a while or choose a different target.
It’s worthy of a Guy Ritchie movie
anon_
1mo ago
We kind of have that with parole eh? Parolees can be searched for far less than the rest of us.
anon_
1mo ago
I think you've misunderstood the motivation for the doctrine -- it's not "invasion of privacy" but here the court found (debatably, sure) that the officer violated the suspect's physical person. The key part being that the suspect was (in the eyes of the court) physically seized at the moment he was (arguably) not free to leave.
You're free to say that doesn't change your opinion on the ultimate resolution. Maybe it shouldn't, I really don't know.
anon_
3mo ago
anon_
3mo ago
It's a particular subset of the left that is also gunning for the other half of the left.
I claim it remains to the benefit of the nation (not to mention the median mottizen) that they not succeed at shivving the institutional left. I guess we'll see in Michigan how it goes with AES, although I heard Gretch is going to line up against him.
So even if all this is right, what makes you think that after nuking Israel we won't be taken advantage of by the next-most-talented-intelligence-service?
Even within the logic of the universe in your post, there's nothing that prevents some other officially-allied country like New Zealand or Pakistan or Italy from doing the very same thing. What are the logistics here, we gotta nuke Rome too?
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