zeke5123a
1d ago
Well Brussels can entice migrants and Brussels wants to end opposition to rule. Presumably forcing a bunch of migrants into the country might help.
That’s just silly. Untangling which factor is causing what is incredibly challenging since you can’t really run a natural experiment. But the stats are so extreme that dismissing race because it makes OO uncomfortable is irrational.
That is, both posters make a claim on what causes crime. I respond with stats that show facially a pretty strong issue for OP’s claim. OP cannot simply cite factor analysis without simply privileging his hypothesis.
This is also an area where publishing anything that supports my hypothesis is career suicide (eg see what happened when academics published results showing police killing was not racial predicted). Therefore, you would expect no one in the academy to attempt to prove my hypothesis—it is verboten to even consider it.
zeke5123a
1d ago
The concern with voting against the Orban types is that once you give in, they can easily drop off a few million into your country that practically is impossible to reverse. The devil you know and all.
Hope that doesn’t happen to Hungary.
zeke5123a
1d ago
There also appears to be a timeline where tech people start us g the newest tool, herald it as great, but then the more they use it the more limits it has.
Or perhaps stated differently, there are clear benefits to the tech but it isn’t near term AGI right now.
zeke5123a
1d ago
Except it seems like the military analyst concluded there was a real chance the people would not rise up.
Either way, seems like the military itself has performed fine. Now crediting Hegseth for that is probably unfair but blaming him for a political decision also seems unfair.
zeke5123a
1d ago
One need not be a racist to find obsession with policing alleged racism silly
zeke5123a
1d ago
To add, hospitality is orthogonal to racism.
Let’s say you as a policy never welcome new neighbors. I think that is bad. The woke person would think it’s bad if you only didn’t welcome the black family (or perhaps didn’t welcome the black family regardless of your normal behavior).
My view is that hospitality is virtue and therefore is agnostic as to race. Racism ethics are value neutral and are concerned about fairness (or favoritism). It has nothing to say about hospitality but only about your level of hospitality between races.
zeke5123a
2d ago
So basically the standard for most industries? Outsiders think “surely LLMs can solve this” but insiders point out where it can’t?
zeke5123a
2d ago
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11868975/
Black women murder at a rate higher than Asian men. Black women murder rate similar to white male rate.
zeke5123a
3d ago
Well no. I actually would not want to send my kids to a school with a lot of minorities even if it were a “good” school. I think the cost to diversity is frequently higher than the benefit
zeke5123a
3d ago
She assumes women face oppression qua women. She assumes blacks face discrimination qua black.
Why isn’t that victimhood mentality
zeke5123a
3d ago
I’m just not convinced racism is the big bad. Treating a black family coldly just because violates hospitality which is its own sin.
zeke5123a
3d ago
It’s almost like borrowing and dropping a bunch of cash into certain industries have caused costs to explode.
zeke5123a
3d ago
God Xbox live. Great time to be a teenager. I remember the tea bagging after killing or getting killed.
zeke5123a
3d ago
No. There is a massive difference between a group of young Asian guys and black guys hanging out. Basic stats will tell you this.
Yes there are other indicators (eg if they were all wearing suits you’d feel more comfortable). But if you understand crime stats, being black is highly predictive in the same way being male is.
zeke5123a
3d ago
I actually ran into this in real life. Not contrived. I was dropping my then fiancé off in NYC at our apartment when I was having to drive somewhere else. I was going to drop her off on one end of the block since I would’ve had to drive around a few blocks given the one way nature of streets.
I noticed a group of young black men and re calibrated. My then fiancé asked me why I hadn’t drop her off at that end of the street. When I explained, she thought it was racist. I explained it was Bayesian and in any event did no harm to the young black men.
I’m curious if my now wife would have the same attitude today.
zeke5123a
3d ago
It’s late at night. You are looking for a street parking spot. Nearby an open spot, there are a group of young black men loitering. Is it wrong for you to avoid that spot and try to find another spot?
If it is wrong, then I question why being moral is even worthwhile.
zeke5123a
5d ago
Sure but it also seems the established Church telos isn’t Christ but some vaguely fashionable leftist social project.
zeke5123a
5d ago
Frankly, I think the bigger problem is that the immigrants don’t share the same civic value and frequently benefit from government largesse.
So on the one hand they help destroy the fabric that makes growth possible and on the other hand a not insignificant portion take more than they give (eg Somalians)
zeke5123a
5d ago
Seems like there is a third choice: sometimes paper tigers are actually dogs. Trump attacked Iran and weakened them militarily. He expected to create internal instability leading to regime change within but Iran grouped together like a pack of dogs.
So Trump’s hope for a quick victory was not realized. He was then given the choice of either a prolonged attack against a determined but weakened foe or cutting bait. He seems to have chosen the latter.
The question is how big of a cost was the gambit and what does Iran look like in five years. If the answer is “not much” and “the same or slightly degraded then it’s largely a whole lotta nothing.
I don’t think ending the Iranian civilization (which I take him to mean destroy their energy infrastructure) is more evil than Iranian’s attempt to restrict the global energy infrastructure.
I also think destroying energy infrastructure is relatively commonplace in war and isn’t something particularly heinous. Yes, it would’ve caused significant harm to the Iranian people but that’s war. It is a legit military target which separates it from killing camps.
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