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I don't really see the appeal for a lot of these migrants coming to the west. Indians who could be making 2000 dollars a month which goes a very long way in India become underpaid engineers in the UK where their after tax salary ends up being 3000 dollars which barely covers rent. My Indian colleagues love sharing photos of the beautiful houses they grew up in, their gardeners bringing in daily tropical fruit and all the family life they have back home. In their new country they live in a cramped apartment in a semi-ghetto.
My predictions is that we are going to see an exodus to India which won't just consist of Indians. Northern European weather is awful, taxes and regulations are high and the cost of living is through the roof. It is better to move to your Indian employees than to move Indians to Europe.
Have you ever been to India? They want to leave the country, not stay there.
Here’s a game; go on google maps and grab the streetview guy and drop him in random places in India. See if you can rotate a full 360 degrees without seeing trash, or crumbling infrastructure of some kind.
Now do the same game in the US.
Thats why they want to leave.
Not just that, the average Indian has terrible hbd metrics, the introduction of castes was to protect virtue and keep fat tails to eek most out of what is here, once you go through the micro minority of good bio capital, what's left is dysfunctional.
Indians hate Indians, anything Anglo is a strong social signal here. People would rather be near homeless in NYC than be in low income ghettos in Chennai or some other city.
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People mock Slough for being a shithole, but a random residential panorama from there looks like this.
The least impoverished state in India is commie Kerala, and a random residential panorama from its capital... let me paste that... Thiruvananthapuram looks like this, which is not a shithole, but it's not the kind of smart, walkable, mixed-use urbanism that will sway American NIMBYs either.
If we go to India proper, aka BIMARU, then the situation looks even worse: a random panorama from Delhi looks like this and I've cheated because Delhi is not technically a BIMARU state. Here's one from a random town in UP.
You're not comparing like for like here. The Slough street is a top 10% (or even higher) nighbourhood. Your first photo of India is an average to below average neighbourhood and your second and third ones are commercial areas with some residences on top rather than pure residential areas which are on average somewhat nicer and look more like your first photo. But even then, it's nowhere near a top 10% neighbourhood and we know this immediately because the street is too narrow for one.
That isn't top 10%. A top 10% neighborhood in the Slough area would be called "Windsor" or "Maidenhead".
Sure, in Slough yes but it's definitely top 10% for England as a whole (even ignoring land value and just looking at house quality).
It’s a 90th percentile (almost exactly) house by price, but this a poor comparison because incomes are so much higher in the Southeast and especially for residents of the affluent green belt suburbs, in which as @MadMonzer suggests this is probably more like 75th percentile.
In the median part of the UK, probably somewhere in the north, £600k can buy you a much nicer place than this.
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Top 10% neighborhoods in India are often still pretty dirty, though, the street outside an apartment building where the average apartment costs $2m will have a broken sidewalk, garbage, a random cow.
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Do you have a link to a top 10% Indian neighborhood? I honestly clicked on random street view streets.
This is like a top 0.1-1% neighbourhood: https://maps.app.goo.gl/BFNzii2e6BT5Vvir5 The houses themselves are so far set back from the street that you can't even see them, but on average they look something like this.
Top 1%-10% looks like this: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Qef6cvBq2HCzgZMc9
Another example: https://maps.app.goo.gl/8MYWxih9nbs7aP14A
I had to click along the road just once to find a pile of trash. The other two are nicer, probably because people living there actually use these streets. I would rate them Russia-tier, though it's more like the penultimate decile, not the ultimate one.
Huh? That Russian neighborhood looks pretty nice. Intact curbs, lots of landscaping, and no piles of trash. There's even an under-construction sign.
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There's still garbage on the street, https://maps.app.goo.gl/kaDQdMq7PXkkycNP9.
Fair enough, it'll probably be picked up and removed within a few days, which is very likely a higher frequency of garbage collection than in Slough given the council funding crisis they have and all...
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This is a very nice middle class street in England, though. One of those 3-bedroom semi-detached houses costs $770,000. The people who are buying those homes today (not 20 years ago) are like young dual-income software engineer or lawyer or accountant couples (especially given the state of British salaries) .For the same price, ie. 65 million rupees or 6.5 crore rupees, you can buy something much nicer than that in Thiruvananthapuram, at least according to some property websites I just googled.
Obviously India's big problem is squalor, even in wealthy neighborhoods, but presumably this bothers Indian expats less. The interiors of the homes are usually spotless, in any case.
Some of our American friends here may not realize when looking on the street that each of those buildings is not one house, but two houses that share a wall in the middle. That half of a building is what's costing three quarters of a million dollars. It's twice as crowded a street as you might think it is if you're only considering one full building as a single house.
As an American I assumed those were all single family homes, God bless America.
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Duplexes are a thing in America, although they do not generally cater to the crowd that buys three quarter million dollar houses.
This is location dependent.
There are new-build duplex 'condominium' in an HOA in our small NE town for $669k (2 bed 2.5 bath 2,165 sqft.)
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Whenever I go on Google Street view in the UK, I'm shocked by how ugly the houses are. Why is everything so grey and depressing looking? I'm used to thinking of it as a rich country, but the quality of housing appears to be extremely low.
That, along with queuing, is basically the UKs brand. There's a reason the original title for Orwell's work was 1948.
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The UK has the worst housing quality in the developed world. My family's house back in our semi rural ancestral village that was build in the 1980s is better built and has more amenities today (AC for example) than those houses in the picture.
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The quality of housing is poor in the UK by first world standards even compared to any other nation with similar income, so it’s not just that Europe is poorer than the US.
There are many reasons but most come back to the mid-1930s which, unlike in most of the world, was a period of great economic growth and development for the UK, which was less affected by the Great Depression than any comparable nation. (This also explains appeasement to some extent.)
Huge numbers of new suburbs were built. The default middle class British suburban house is probably still a 1930s ‘semi’[-detached] property that looks like this.
At the same time, local governments (later guaranteed by the national government) implemented policies that severely restricted suburban construction around all major British cities - seriously, look at the map in that link, especially around London. In addition, many of the wealthy long-standing commuters towns began exercising greater planning control over new developments; British local governments have very little power except over planning, and NIMBYism started early here.
For a long time, this didn’t affect much; the Blitz and postwar reconstruction destroyed a huge amount of housing stock, much of which was hastily and cheaply rebuilt in that era of austerity and rationing. Then, as London’s population declined by millions of people after WW2, there were plenty of beautiful old Victorian and Edwardian stucco townhouses and apartment buildings where homes could be had for cheap. Much of the population moved out into suburban towns build on brownfield sites or which had earlier been earmarked for development, to places like Slough.
After Margaret Thatcher restarted the British economy, millions of people began to return to London in large numbers, and the price of property began to shoot up. In the suburbs and city alike, local councils began to exercise their immense power over applications to prevent most new construction, to avoid loud works or annoyed neighbors or more strain on local schools or hospitals. In the city, much of the surviving pre-1945 stock of housing was ‘listed’ as architecturally important, which in combination with strict height limits meant London has a much lower density than comparable major cities and much less new construction.
That, coupled with the green belt itself, which all levels of government and almost all existing homeowners (who vote) guard zealously, means that British housing stock is largely both poor and expensive, especially in the southeast where most economic activity takes place. When housebuilders do get approval to build on even brownfield land, they cram as many ugly, cheap and small-windowed homes onto it as they can, because approvals can take decades of legal wrangling to achieve, thus the “Barratt box” (named after the largest UK housebuilder) negative descriptor of Deano meme fame.
If you have money and/or live somewhere with no jobs you can avoid all this and live in some of the most beautiful and well-preserved pre-1920s housing in the world. But most people can’t.
I thought those were all post-bombing 1950/60s stock? Those big windows don’t look prewar to me. We let the socialists get control during the crucial rebuilding period.
Yes, the housing stock in this picture is clearly postwar. Either the street was bombed, since Slough was apparently hit quite heavily, or it was new construction. But the reason why we can’t just demolish these houses and replace them with better ones, as happened elsewhere, is due to decisions made earlier and later than that.
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There's also government regulations that require houses to look ugly so that people don't fall out the window.
https://x.com/SCP_Hughes/status/1674006804076920834
I thought they literally don't allow windows to open more than an inch now for the same reason.
There were a lot of window opening loicense jokes on Twitter last summer because of that.
Edit: it's 100mm or ~4"
Haven't heard that. Pretty sure fire regulations require that people can egress out of windows (at least in bedrooms), so maybe it applies only to some windows.
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Yes, that is another BS regulation we have to deal with.
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For comparison, the US's de facto standard prescribes for window-sill heights a minimum of 18 inches (0.46 meter) and a maximum of 44 inches (1.12 meters).
It's even less restrictive than that; you can have floor to ceiling glazing (not uncommon in fixed windows and sliding doors) provided the glass meets the hazardous location standards. That standard isn't about people falling out of open windows, it's about breaking through closed ones.
There's another rule about that, R321.2.1. The minimum is 24 inches (0.61 meter), from the floor to the opening, unless a guard is provided. Obvious thing to do if you want a window lower than that is to make the top panel the operating one, and I think I've seen that. As long as it's above 18 inches you can use regular glass.
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Kerala isn't better than any BIMARU states besides Bihar. The best infrastructure would be Chandigarh which looks like impoverished chiang mai from 20 years ago in the good parts. Although North East of India, the population with east Asian admixture has better infrastructure.
Bihar is the worst, the ironic thing being some of the smartest people come from these parts. South Asia has something cursed to it that it's somehow worse than other comparable nations at the similar gdp.
The only thing I know about Chandigarh is that it was designed as another one of the modernist monstrosities like Brasilia or EUR in Rome. Are the residential parts any better?
Brutalism, yes, it's way better than any Indian city by miles as they simply lack any planning or direction at all.
There's a reason why people are willing to freeze to death to leave, India isn't for beginners. There are some elite enclaves sprinkled here and there that you can only buy after doing shady shit with the government given the absurd prices.
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As I understand it it's true that Indians making, say, $80,000 a year live a much better life in India than in the US. The issue is that India has an ultra-intense rat race for the few (relative to population) good jobs, there's extreme affirmative action in elite college admissions and public sector recruitment, and the 'peak' salary you can make without being a successful entrepreneur (where you're stymied by corruption, graft and socialist overregulation that the government doesn't dare/want to repeal) is much lower than in the US. That means that a lot of these people move more for their kids than themselves. The Indian passport is also bad for international travel, and there's a sense the whole house of cards could collapse at any moment, in which case you're just another poor person in a third-world country with no social safety net whatsoever.
If you move to Canada, the "worst" that could happen financially if you lose your job is much better than the worst that could happen in India, even if you live on average a slightly lower QOL.
And you get to escape the gene pool you dislike to begin with. India isn't for beginners.
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I've recently immigrated from a developed nation to Malaysia for a variety of reasons, and whilst I do agree that frequently a skilled professional is probably losing out in purchasing power by immigrating it's understating how hard it can be to get through the original junior ranks in less developed economies and how brutal the work-life expectations frequently are. It's also frequently ironic that Indians who are enthusiastically arguing for quotas in the West are also likely to be victims of a huge, messy internal Idpol system of caste-based quotas that make it difficult to get on the proverbial treadmill as an upper-middle class scion. Malaysian Chinese also find themselves in a similar spot where there's very-strong preferential hiring and university placement domestically for Malays/Muslims which makes it difficult for fresh grads to get anywhere. And if they're fortunate enough to get into the local chapter of whatever elite Consultancy there's literal 120 hour workweeks.
Not directly related, but I find the whole argument around H1B damaging 'competitiveness' to be absurd when the majority of workers even in tech are still firmly in the bullshit job sphere. I'm paid very well for my digital role, but if my company were hit by a meteor tomorrow the world would not especially notice or care. Yes H1Bs might be able to claim high salaries but having more button-maintainers for the Facebook mines doesn't strike me as particularly beneficial.
While Malaysia is poor, KL is a relatively developed city with a high-for-the-developing-world median income and very developed public services. It's nicer than Bangkok, in my opinion, very clean in the nice parts. A problem is the traffic, but it's no worse than LA. You can absolutely live a first-world-tier lifestyle in KL, especially given the low rents, on a modest (for the US) income.
The issue is more that for most people from developed nations there are no jobs that would hire them at those incomes in KL other than maybe being an English teacher at a private school (where there are many candidates). There are enough PMC Malaysian Chinese in the West who would gladly move back to KL for a job paying more than say (US) $80-90k in a heartbeat. Why would you hire someone with no background/family in Malaysia? I know a couple of Europeans out there who do well, but all are married into wealthy Malaysian families (one converted to Islam for his Malay wife, the other married a Chinese Malaysian woman whose family owns a big brokerage).
My wife's originally from a part of Malaysia just outside of Kuala Lumpur (and plugging into her upper middle class Chinese family network makes the financial/cultural shift way more manageable than if I was proverbially fresh off the plane). Having spent a decent amount of time throughout SEA & other digital nomad hubs (Vietnam, Bali, Dubai, Bangkok, Singapore etc), I think Malaysia's prettymuch the perfect mid-point in terms of expenses, development and cultural vibes. Main issue I could see with Malaysia, ignoring the local economy, is the lack of a night life, which isn't really an issue for me with a young family.
My wife and I are both fortunate to have fairly niche skillsets/equity in remote-friendly companies that let us continue to earn international Western rates with reasonably strong job security, but interacting with my wife's younger siblings I can see the difficulties of being a fresh 20-something in Malaysia, especially if you are not Malay. Entry-level/customer service jobs in Selangor pay like 700-1k USD a month. My wife got out through a generous international scholarship which led her into her current role through a fairly circuitous path.
Yeah, there are a few good bars in KL, but it's the standard SEA issue of Australia being a rich country such that the most annoying Aussie tourists/backpackers can ruin the nice places. The places that are more rich international Chinese are better, and far fewer sexpats than practically anywhere else in SEA. Food scene is excellent too, lots of great spas / hotel gyms you can be a member at. Are you white or ethnically Chinese (or something else) yourself? How do you find you're treated when working with locals as a foreigner?
I'm white and far enough off the beaten tourist track that I've literally been questioned about why I'm going where I'm going by Grab Drivers a few times. I wouldn't say I get stared at perse but have had like Mamak workers come and be very curious a few times. The family's super accommodating, which helps. Generally everybody KL-adjacent will have some English, though I'm not a huge fan of KL itself (It's fine but generic SEA capital).
Food is great, my main personal limitation is I can't really train my preferred combat sports since I'm 99th percentile for size in the West.
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Extremely unlikely because the Indian regime has been driving out people and investors. Indian nation runs on bioleninism as its founding mythos, there are demands of caste based affirmative action in private industries as the public ones are already beyond 70 percent effectively. Beyond the ludicrous taxes which will drive out anyone who is not stupid. The newest political gambit is offering women ubi in multiple different states by all parties. Only 2 percent of India pays taxes.
The likely outcome is more what is there already with euros pushing back more. The Indian state being stupid and most Indians choosing defect as the default will cause a real collapse. Each political faction here is hard left. You will see more Indians leaving for East Asia, the Middle East and maybe Lat Am too as this gets worse. The west is aspirational for most, people will happily live in squalor and die migrating illegally to go there.
Oof, even partial UBI in a third world country is crazy. Flailing state indeed. I'm not the most humanitarian person in the world but it's insane to advance all these high-end initiatives when child wasting is still such a big issue. They've got a space program, hypersonic missiles, plans for aircraft carriers... Fix nutrition and primary education first!
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Have you ever been to India? Have you ever worked there?
While there are large slums and the underclass lives an awful life it is possible to live very well on a decent income. I have been to other developing nations but not to India.
While I think you greatly underestimate the pros of living in northern Europe, even if there was to be an exodus of people from here I doubt they'd go to India. There are plenty of places with better weather that are overall better places to live and that have better long-term prospects.
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India has some of the worst housing problems in the third world, beyond issues like petty theft, dishonesty being the default, high taxes, longer work hours.
It is becoming harder to have a decent life because the political factions need more from the average white-collar worker to fund hare-brained social justice schemes and one-upping other factions each time. You cannot find housing in cities that pay you well.
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