Ioper
2d ago
Crime has been falling steadily, well before (decades) the the renaissance. If anything it bottomed out before the renaissance.
Ioper
3d ago
Looking at the metropolitan area, which has a largely unchanged population, the murder rate per 100k is down from some 13-14 to 6.6.
Ioper
3d ago
Blacks in Detroit can’t get jobs at ford anymore, so they deal drugs and form gangs.
Except of course that crime in Detroit has fallen greatly since the 70s/80s.
Ioper
5d ago
Probably instantly because males gravitate towards tools and machines in general as toddlers, weapons of war is a subcategory of that.
Ioper
5d ago
Wasn't it similar to the recent Disney thing of making a movie and then essentially remaking it in post? That way you can spend essentially any amount of money and come out with something lackluster at the end.
Sweden did in the 90s. The fiscal consolidation during the period of 94-98 amounted to some 7.5% of GDP. This led to a sustainable surplus, growth and sustainable entitlements, including pensions.
For America that would equal about $2.2T and a bit more than Musk promised.
Of course, you're never ever going to get there by firing government employees. You need to cut entitlements.
Ioper
7d ago
My uncle worked as an electrician his entire life and he was none of that. He's in his 70s now and still does regular part time work for fun and money. Perhaps you just worked for a terrible company?
I mean, it's not glamorous but it's not that bad either. Something like firefighting on the other hand... Now that is truly backbreaking work and everyone is physically worn out decades before retirement and there are only a few desk positions available for dozens of aging firemen.
Ioper
7d ago
I felt like this fell within the realm of social science (especially since authors weren't doctors) rather than medicine even when it came out and as such should have been treated with extreme skepticism just the same as other social "science". No need to really update beyond the already existing heuristic of social scientists are lying charlatans who shouldn't be trusted.
That is not to say that there isn't problems within medicine but this felt a bit orthogonal to that.
You could try any of the sleep inducing antihistamines like Promethazine or Hydroxyzine. You'll likely need a prescription but in my experience doctors are happy to prescribe these because they're not habit forming or have any recreational uses. The worst thing that can happen is that the side effects are uncomfortable or that one builds tolerance.
I've tried Propiomazine (another antihistamine used in Sweden) and they've worked for me, albeit leaving me a little groggy in the morning when on a higher dose. I found the sleep to not be as good as regular sleep but when the option is between little to no sleep and substandard sleep the choice is easy.
As with pharmacological treatment for insomnia, these are not supposed to be used for some kind chronic treatment where you take them every day of the year, but if you have occasional periods of insomnia they work well.
The economy itself is doing well, its the government budget that is unsustainable. Extremely high levels of government spending as a percentage of GDP (literally the highest in the world) and high taxes makes taxation not really a viable solution to balance the budget but cutting the drivers of the large deficit (mostly unsustainable pensions and elderly entitlements) is extremely unpopular and there probably needs to be a severe financial crisis for there to be sufficient legitimacy to balance the budget, so kind of similar to America in that sense.
Except of course the median iq of columbia freshmen (meaning including AA) is an entire standard deviation above that, which if one assumes an Ashkenazi median iq of 115 would imply a bit more than 1 Jew for every 2 whites if the population percentages are 60% and 2.4% of the population respectively.
Maybe American Jewish iq isn't that high but I don't know what looking at such an incredibly low example of 125 iq would accomplish other than deceive.
AI cannot convincingly do anything that can be described as "humanities": the art, writing, and music that it produces can best be described as slop.
A lot of the commercial production in those areas is slop though and the ambition isn't higher and my impression is that AI is at least good enough (or rapidly closing in on being good enough) to radically increase productivity for these kinds of slop products (think stockphotos, unlicensed background music, jingles, logos, (indie)book covers, icon/thumbnail art, loose concept art etc).
Even for higher effort productions there are obvious areas where ai can help immensely, like at the very least, why have humans do (all) the transition frames in animation?
Ioper
14d ago
Same. The more new models come out and i test them the less worried i get. It seems to me that the current types of models will lead to modest to moderate productivity increases for most sectors and radical improvements for a few, having possibly catastrophic effects on in employment, like commercial art production and lowish level offshoring.
Perhaps I'm wrong or things will change but this is where my thoughts are converging. If things don't change then I don't think this will be the society wide transformation people hope/fear.
Was that really I case in the middle/upper middle class though when people are pair bonding? People who were fat before their mid twenties/thirties or their first pregnancy was very rare ime, maybe 1/25 tops, and then we're counting mere overweightedness, obesity was at least less than half of that. I remember in my middle school there was the one obese guy everyone knew because he was obese and we were like 1000 students. In my university class there was one in two hundred that was fat. Going around campus almost no one was fat.
I'd wager that childhood/youth (over)weight problems is very, very weighted towards the lower working class and underclass (although this might be different in America, I don't know) and becomes relatively common as people enter middle age, with some people who were normal weight in their twenties swelling up like balloons, but at that point they're already in long-term relationships and most have kids.
Ioper
21d ago
This is pretty much telling the stupid neo-nazi tinfoil hats that yes, they were right, the establishment is entirely willing to conspire against the people,
"The people" are only the 20% that voted for AfD?
It sounds to me like the CDU gave away nothing and got everything they wanted. Support for abortion in germany is in excess of 70% and as for the green stuff thats far away and the constitution can obviously just be changed (like this time) if it becomes a problem.
Ioper
21d ago
That post reminds me of how my uncle once was stabbed through his had and into a table with a fork at lunch by a co-worker for chewing loudly. It was such an insane overreaction that my uncle was more confused than angry. The co-worker was still fired though.
Ioper
23d ago
I think the possibly most interesting aspect of Hangul was that it was primarily a product of the King himself, with great opposition from the powerful bureaucracy, and was subsequently discarded for classist reasons and then re-embraced hundreds of years later due to it's value.
It feels like a made up story about a wise benevolent monarch but isn't.
Ioper
24d ago
Wasn't Pdf scanning just fine as far back as in 2015?
It seems to me that major advances have been in the cameras and the video/photo processing. If you don't care about that then there is little to no functional difference between the current phones and phones from 2013.
Ioper
25d ago
Is the lord of the rings American? Most of the cast is British and almost everyone involved in making of the movie is commonwealth.
What is American is the financing.
Ioper
25d ago
Not that big a premium. I'd have to buy groceries in excess of $5000 a month for car to just break even with home delivery.
You need other frequent or important uses of the car for it to be remotely economical.
Ioper
25d ago
But I prefer planning my meals.
I thought i did too, because that was how my mother taught me, but when i stopped it was as if a massive weight came off my shoulders. Now i just shop every other day, buy what's on sale and make something from that. If me or the family happen to crave something specific I can adjust on the day. I plan like 1 meal a week and I love it.
I have three sons, do practically all the shopping and I have been doing just fine without a car for the past 4 years. If I lived in a suburb it would probably not be fun but I live in an urban area with a medium sized shop between me and the subway station. An alternative is of course having your groceries delivered, which is still far cheaper than owning a car.
On the rare occasion we actually need a car we just borrow or rent one. We found owning one was excessive for our current needs.
Ioper
26d ago
And what is their plan for the future? What percentage of GDP is manufacturing? What percentage of global manufacturing is in china? Who are their customers?
China's plan is to increase manufacturing from an already very inflated state in a world where their customers are increasingly hostile to them. This is not a risk free state of affairs.
It is not the military that makes the USG "insolvent", it's generous unfunded (mostly elderly) entitlements. Neither America nor much of western Europe ran up these massive deficits during the cold war when military spending was much higher than today. The issue clearly isn't military spending.
And even if one wanted to make cuts to the military it could easily be done without endangering freedom of navigation, by for example making cuts to the army rather than the navy.
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