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domain:alexberenson.substack.com

"Just remember the right one" isn't really advice šŸ˜‚

I just never use either as a verb. Not worth the mental effort.

Iā€™m not so pessimistic. I think Somalians would enjoy living like kings in Somalia, it would just require a ā€œsafe zoneā€ in the country that makes migration attractive. Such a safe zone could conceivably be procured through diplomatic means and pressure campaigns on the Somalian government.

the problem with most AI posts isn't that they're AI, it's that they're bad

My opinion is otherwise.

The problem with 'good' LLM-generated posts is that they introduce an effort asymmetry. They make it possible for an individual to astroturf or gish gallop to a hitherto-unseen level.

In the absence of LLMs a longpost represents a certain minimum bar of 'this person cared enough about this subject to spend the time to write this'. LLMs completely upend this.

Except a big reason we don't have them in the first place is that we have the longpoast filter. It's the number one complaint of dramanauts, and le average redittors (at least the ones that don't run away screaming about Nazis).

If we came across one that managed to string together a longer sentence by himself, but still didn't make the cut of what we expect here, I don't think it would be proper to ban them on sight. They're obviously trying, and the effort should be commended. With AI there is no effort, so it should be banned on sight.

Simply remember that a noun and a verb are different, "effect" for one and "affect" for the other. "Effect" as a verb means something different, and it's never worth it to use it: you'll impress 1%, 49% will smugly and mistakenly correct you, 50% won't notice anything or care.

If there is any AI generated content allowed, I would suggest that it is required to be behind spoiler tags.

If they are not, then itā€™s a policy choice to deport. If they are citizens, it is better to encourage them leave through (1) monetary enticement and (2) permitting Swedes full freedom of choice in businesses and institutions to exclude them if so desired and (3) enhancing native birth rates (which Israel is doing right now in Israel proper, and I donā€™t criticize this).

This isn't going to make people go back to Somalia.

Either you break the citizenship contract (or admit some citizens are more equal than others) or they're staying.

But lots of other posters are arguing that posting AI-generated words is inherently wrong or goes against the purpose of the site.

I know, I'm one of them.

I wouldn't say I'd be offended by a good AI-post, some of my favorite strings of words are AI-generated, like that Doctor Suess poem about whether armed citizens could win against their military, or that sci-fi story passage about human rebels using the n-word to detect android infiltrators.

I know there are ways to use AI in a way that doesn't go against the point of this forum, I even suggested one myself, but:

a) that's not how AI was used so far, even by some of our best posters, which is why we're even having this conversation, and

b) doing it properly would probably make the use of AI undetectable in the first place.

I can even go further and say it's possible for human posters to make discussion pointless in exactly the same way that talking to an AI is (we've had one or two people like that), but that should get the bamhammer just as much as AI-posting.

Beware that this tends to exclude any point that is sufficiently complex that it cannot be simplified to a paragraph without presupposing the audience is already an expert in the topic.

This may be acceptable fallout, but is still worth explicitly noting.

I'm never confident in this one, and just end up using impact instead.

There's nothing left. Within those parameters no solution (besides genocide) except maybe to have stayed in Gaza and controlled enough of the border with Egypt to tamp down on smuggling and perhaps break the whole thing into a bunch of units that'd be expensive to manage in blood and money. But Trump, the alleged ally of Israel, was one of the people to push for the ceasefire because the war had bad headlines and everyone was exhausted.

So going back to the status quo is all that remains.

There's nowhere to put the Palestinians. Forcing them on Egypt or Jordan risks the entire state collapsing or worse, becoming a Palestinian launching pad.

Bring them to the US a la Freddie DeBoer? Even if Trump wasn't who he was, it'll make the American-born Irish's flirtations and funding of the IRA look mild in comparison. Even Europe must have limits to its masochism. There's ample evidence they're bad (or delusional) neighbors.

The displacement - Phase 1 - can't happen, and America simply isn't going to dedicate the necessary troops to manage a non-ethnically cleansed Gaza for Israel. So I guess Israel is just going to have to live with it and the US will send them weapons and a carrier if things get really hairy.

Putting aside the morality of demographic warfare, the Arabs have very successfully put Israel in a box here.

(Nit: you likely meant 'affecting' not 'effecting' in this context.)

But that's qualitatively different from such a containment thread. The posts in such a containment thread would be determined by things like: what type of person would enjoy posting/reading in such a thread, what type of prompts would such people use, what LLMs such people would choose to use, and what text output such people would deem as meeting the threshold of being good enough to share in such a thread. You'd get none of that by simulating a forum via LLM by yourself.

Absolutely - although it is the kind of fraud you are not going to catch at the point of disbursement because the frauds are more sophisticated than that.

The snarky view is that the reason DOGE isn't going after Medicare fraud is that Vivek Ramaswamy was planning to do an awful lot of it with Roviant's bogus Alzheimer's drugs. FWIW, I don't think this is true - if there was fraud at Roviant it was Theranos-style fraud on the investors, who have lost a lot more than Medicare on the whole sorry affair.

I think this is an excellent metric to use.

Ah, the wonders of HTML character entities. Thank you!

~test~

`~test~` ~test~  
`\~test\~` \~test\~  
`/~test/~` /~test/~  
`~~test~~` ~~test~~  
`~~~test~~~ ` ~~~test~~~  
`~~~~test~~~~ ` ~~~~test~~~~

Huh. Doesn't work in the comment preview, but does in the final comment.

Also I really don't trust that comment-parsing code you linked.

Please don't ruin Uruguay. It's one of the few good places in Latin America.

Yes, Alex Jones is selling overpriced gold and supplements. But are the frogs, in fact, gay?

Do you care about pollution or frogs? I do, and I don't want my drinking water to be polluted with atrazine.

Yes, atrazine causes hermaphroditic mutations in amphibians. I'm aware of the actual reality, but I think Alex Jones saying "they're turning the frogs gay" is close enough to the truth to excuse its inaccuracy in favor of the sheer shock value.

Also, I enjoy demonstrating that I know what atrazine is, that I know what it does to amphibians, and I still prefer the AJ description.

As for bisexual, hermaphroditic, transsexual, intersexed, gay, well. The leftists have deliberately conflated all of these, and lumped them together. That's what makes the quip work.

Minor aside, but I was in the gym last night and they had CNN on. My favorite part was that the chyron read: ā€œKaitlin presses Trump on Gaza.ā€

There is a reason media is dying.

You can literally already do that by just having a conversation with your AI of choice.

You can even tell it to pretend to be different people to simulate the real forum experience!

I hate hate hate modern journalism.

This is a small point in your broader post, but it is an important one. Things like this make journalism and media untrusted and untrustworthy, and it has been getting worse over the past ~10 years.

I don't think this is a realistic solution but somehow think it's still more realistic than just going back to the pre-10/7 status quo of waiting until a bunch of Islamists launch another attack on Israel. If you start with the presuppositions that Israel should exist as a Jewish state, that Israel is an important American ally, and that coexistence with a Palestinian state isn't possible, what are you left with? I'm not saying you should adopt those presuppositions, but they seem to be what Trump is working from.

I hate hate hate modern journalism.

Direct quote from the press conference:

Being in its presence just has not been good and it should not go through a process of rebuilding and occupation by the same people that have really stood there and fought for it and lived there and died there and lived a miserable existence there. Instead, we should go to other countries of interest with humanitarian hearts, and there are many of them that want to do this and build various domains that will ultimately be occupied by the million Palestinians living in Gaza, ending the death and destruction and frankly bad luck.

I think Haaretz' paraphrasing is fine. You can try to put a positive gloss on it, but the plan is explicitly that Palestinians would be moved elsewhere. Trump isn't pretending that it's going to be temporary, and even if he was, once the Palestinians are gone I doubt the Israelis are going to let them back.

He is calling for the construction of an international zone in Gaza

Is he? Trump reiterates that the US will own the Gaza strip