domain:alexberenson.substack.com
Hoffmeister25
American Bukelismo Enthusiast
2hr ago
As I’ve made clear before, I don’t believe that there is such thing as “the red tribe”, nor do I believe that there is any meaningful number of progressives in positions of power who believe in executing people for expressing conservative opinions.
SubstackNecron
2hr ago
conclusively demonstrated, numerous times over an extended duration, that they’re unwilling and/or incapable of participating non-parasitically in society
To play devils advocate this would describe the red tribe to people who will very likley end up in charge of the US in the long term.
SubstackNecron
2hr ago
In a scenario where Taiwan goes hot in the near future
China is rapidly building up there arsenal. Taiwan won't go hot until they know they can slag the US as a going concern.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
2hr ago
The undersea SCS sensor stuff is interesting, make a lot of sense for both sides to lay sensors there. I wonder if it would make sense to just fill the whole area with them willy-nilly, dumping them out of ships and aircraft just before going in? For China, if both sides can see eachother's submarines and their missile subs are safe in the Sea of Bohai, it might even the gap.
magic9mushroom
If you're going to downvote me, and nobody's already voiced your objection, please reply and tell me
2hr ago
In a scenario where Taiwan goes hot in the near future and the Chinese arsenal is deployed, I'd expect probably a few dozen mushroom clouds over the USA, due to destruction on the ground + ABM + other targets (Taiwan itself, Japan, South Korea, Australia, possibly others). The USA would probably survive, although things'd be tough for a while.
The Russian arsenal, assuming for the sake of argument that it works, is a different kettle of fish.
magic9mushroom
If you're going to downvote me, and nobody's already voiced your objection, please reply and tell me
2hr ago
Moreover, nuclear targeting is not done on the basis of a list of largest cities in the enemy’s homeland, it’s done by targeting military and command installations and war critical infrastructure as well as strategic forces. A lot of that is pretty red, although admittedly DC and San Diego are not.
I'd expect both in actual practice; a lot of the point of a deterrent (short of the US/Russian lolhuge arsenals) is that you threaten to go countervalue in response to an attack out of spite, and it's likely that things going nuclear will be the result of a false alarm saying the other side's attempting alpha strike.
Quantumfreakonomics
2hr ago
It is entirely possible that I am too election-brained to understand the logic here at the moment, but I am a bit confused at the premise. If there is a relatively large percentage of third party votes in safe blue (or safe red) states, but a very low percentage of third party votes in swing states, literally nobody who matters will be fooled. It will be plainly obvious that voters who have a strong preference for one party over the other, and who could be relied upon to turn out for their preferred side in the event of a close election, are casting meaningless throwaway votes.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
2hr ago
I've seen it reference on here more than once, have not seen it anywhere else.
faceh
2hr ago
If I know the identify of my counterparty, it should in theory be possible to check whether they cast a vote or stayed home as agreed.
Not sure what the proper penalty would be.
FCfromSSC
Nuclear levels of sour
2hr ago
Glad to help. But your claim was that Trump killed that movement, and as I pointed out above, it actually killed itself. Trump did not discredit foreign interventionism; his predecessors did that for him. Trump did not discredit fiscal responsibility; his predecessors did that for him. Trump did not establish that personal character is irrelevant in the presidency; his predecessors did that for him. He is the effect, not the cause, and it seems to me that you are speaking as though this all could have gone some other way, if only his supporters had possessed the necessary moral fortitude.
If you want to argue that foreign interventionism was a sound policy, by all means, take the floor. If you want to argue that the fiscally-responsible promised land was just over the next hilltop in 2016 or even right now, by all means make your case. But it seems to me that you are painting the GOP elite with virtues the historical record cannot remotely support. They lost, and they lost for concrete, obvious reasons. What benefit is derived from ignoring or papering-over their failures?
Foreign interventionism made a hell of a lot more sense when we were fighting the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union is gone, and you think nothing should have changed? Why?
Spookykou
2hr ago
I remember not too long ago, a bunch of conservatives got excited because the audience for whatever show Colbert hosts now, booed when the CNN affiliated host said something about them being impartial. It was amusing to me, because the conservatives took it to mean, even this progressive audience knows how biased (against Trump) CNN is. Of course, the reality was that they were booing CNN for being biased in favor of Trump, because this was within about a month of the debate and that was the normie progressive take, that CNN was basically in league with Trump.
crushedoranges
3hr ago
Really? Huh. Hm. Shows what I know.
Lewis2
3hr ago
The timing for that doesn’t work out at all. The Second Great Awakening burnt out by the 1830s–40s, several generations before most states eliminated or severely restricted the death penalty. Also, Christians support the death penalty at higher rates than non-Christians, at least in the United States.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
3hr ago
Vance was not the announced VP pick yet and did not yet have a SS detail.
Does that make his story too paranoid? Only a vanishing few people would know he was going to be the ultimate pick. But his name was being thrown around.
anti_dan
3hr ago
I mean. Its not really about the article itself, although the article is good. The point is true. Gay and transgender ideology have become akin to the pagan/satanic religions of old. Many people have noticed. Scott just figured out the best headline.
stolen_brawnze
I am the way Sia says "batteries" in that one song.
3hr ago
Fuck, and he ended up outside fucking Baton Rouge? We should have given him more slack.
Tenaz
3hr ago
I just don't see how you could expect people to follow through. There's no possible enforcement mechanism.
laxam
3hr ago
Because the entire great desideratum is gone.
The one good thing that has come out of it so far is to get you people to admit you're against everything conservatism has stood for since the 1950's.
crushedoranges
3hr ago
What I think was likely was that he was escorted off premises with Secret Service agents and sheltered in place in his home. Machismo aside, perhaps he thought it was like Lincoln in that there was a coordinated conspiracy with shooters assigned to him and Trump. Of course there was no such thing but you can't fault a man for having family on his mind.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3hr ago
If that one passes, I am reliably informed that most of the prison jobs will go away due to lack of funding, leaving prisoners without any options to make money.
Why? If the prisoners wish to work, they'll keep working. If the prisoners largely don't wish to work, I don't think it makes sense to make them work so that a small minority can fulfill their preferences.
faceh
3hr ago
Eh. Find a website that matches me with someone in my state who is voting the exact opposite slate that I am so we can both stay home rather than wasting time on a vote that would just cancel each other out.
Hoffmeister25
American Bukelismo Enthusiast
3hr ago
Slovak.
NewCharlesInCharge
3hr ago
Reminds me of the summer of 2020 when the mall a few miles from my home, closed for months due to the pandemic, was overrun with looters in broad daylight, and police were ordered to stand by and do nothing. We were less than week into the George Floyd riots. As night fell there were postings on social media that there were guys with guns breaking into shops just a few blocks from me.
I stayed up all night with my guns ready and my eyes on my security cameras.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/10/19/1010646/campaign-stop-covid-19-vaccine-trump-election-day/
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