domain:apollomindset.substack.com
anon_
50m ago
And yet there is a large part of the base that has been reliably turning out and will feel jilted if the GOP abandons them.
magic9mushroom
If you're going to downvote me, and nobody's already voiced your objection, please reply and tell me
55m ago
IIRC city turnout was up. I suppose the Democrats in the cities could have stayed home more while the Republicans in the cities turned out more, but it does look like swing voters to a reasonable extent.
magic9mushroom
If you're going to downvote me, and nobody's already voiced your objection, please reply and tell me
56m ago
So, if by positive you mean that a majority of Americans have a favorable view of them,
"Net approval" = %approve - %disapprove. "Literally who?" counts zero, as does neutrality.
urquan
1hr ago
This is an earnest question: could you clarify this? I'm confused what exactly you're saying the field was cleared of and what it is they cared about.
urquan
1hr ago
You know, I planned to write a comment that disagreed with you, but after looking into it, I've come to agree with you quite a lot. While there is a big gender gap, the more significant gap continues to be the racial gap. (But the gender gap among Latinos and African-Americans was particularly large -- no wonder Obama came out to try and get black men to vote for Harris!)
The real battle of the sexes story always seemed to me to be the success of Trump among younger men (older men and women were already locked-in): men 18-29 overall voted for Trump slightly more than Harris (49-47%), not just white men, but all of them together. Young women broke massively for Harris, though, 61-37%.
But then I dug a little deeper.
White men 18-29 voted 63%-35% (!) for Trump, white women 18-29 were split 49-49 (also a !). This should mollify all of us a little bit -- from media coverage you'd expect that young white women voted for Harris 80-20, but the reality is they were split down the middle. I'm fascinated by these young women -- where are they? Why aren't we hearing more from them? Would they have also shaved their heads if Harris had won? Perhaps there's hope for the younger men dumped by their girlfriends over voting for Trump after all. God bless America. 🇺🇸
I continue to believe there's some dark force out there trying to get men and women to hate each other. Ginsberg and Scott did very well appropriating the ancient Carthaginian demon, maybe there's some other evil creature whose name we could apply to the feminism-redpill-abortion-Tinder-FDS-Fuentes-industrial complex? Whatever it is, we need to kill it.
HalloweenSnarry
1hr ago
Nick Fuentes doesn't even like girls. I don't just mean that he's a mysoginist. I don't even think he likes them sexually.
Wasn't he confirmed as gay, or am I just getting him mixed up with other far-right figures?
(Wait, no, it was that he liked femboys, wasn't it?)
[cw: all links involve pretty crude jokes with audio]
Do locker-room lads generally respond with twinkling eyes...
I don't think it's universal, but there's absolutely some spaces where variants of gay chicken that get that direction. It's... actually kinda awkward in mixed-orientation environments, especially where not everyone knows each other's orientation is common knowledge (conversation starts at 20:00, relevant bit continuing to 21:30).
Just in the last two weeks, I've had a male co-volunteer at an IRL project I've helped with set up,and continue a joke where the punchline involved him asking me to punch his v-card, and me responding 'I'd have to buy you dinner after', and him laughing at it. I'm pretty sure he's straight? But it's an education-focused IRL project, so it's not like I'm out, there, anyway.
((That said, even those spaces require pretty specific levels of familiarity and have other specific taboos; Fuentes, here, is just being an ass.))
A sincere question: if sexual-assault jokes are an essential and universal part of male bonding, do gay dudes joke about raping each other's dads?
Uh... at least for 'fucked your mom' level jokes, absolutely positively yes.
DiscourseMagnus
1hr ago
It is obviously the duty of the government to prevent its own people, and particularly children, from being murdered.
Celestial-body-NOS
🟦 All human beings are equal, **even when they aren't.**
2hr ago
They gave it to Henry bloody Kissinger of all people!
urquan
2hr ago
Yeah, sometimes that is the case, depending on the structure and personalities of the friend group. What I've outlined is how it tends to be in my own friend groups, which have been very nerdy, and tended towards playfulness and silliness rather than combativeness and dominance-testing.
SubstantialFrivolity
I'm not even supposed to be here today
2hr ago
Such an amendment would discredit the government for obvious reasons.
Not obvious to me, can you elaborate? I personally think that there doesn't need to be an amendment because the federal government doesn't have authority to restrict abortion anyways, but I don't see how it would be bad to include an amendment to explicitly prohibit it.
octopus_eats_platypus
2hr ago
Being taller is one of those things I'd basically take 100% of the time up to probably 6'4-5 or so. It's not a cure-all, but it's like being richer in the sense that it's virtually all upside. That's not to say you can't or don't have other downsides that vastly outweigh it; I wouldn't take being incredibly rich if I were also a paraplegic. Nor would I be made incredibly handsome if I gained agoraphobia as a result.
But if I could get a height boost, a handsomeness boost, or a big pile of money for free I'd take it without reservation.
guy
2hr ago
Oh my God I am just completely mind fucked for the night. It's like a ZHPL story. I just don't even... I'm watching a YouTuber talk about his phone call with Egon Cholokian and I'm just... So confused. My best hypothesis is "low-popularity Youtuber sees this weird story on Destiny's channel and wanted to make a fun stream about it by pretending that he had a phone call with a possibly-AI character" and it makes me crazy because it's so dumb but the least dumb hypothesis I can think of.
non_radical_centrist
2hr ago
Does he want to write about probability and statistics? Does he want to build models to predict events? Does he want to play professional poker?
He wants to do all three. He's built a very succesful substack that earns plenty of money and I think he has a moderately succesful pro poker career too, I don't think he's missing out by not hyper specializing.
And if anyone thinks they have better estimates of who'll win elections than Nate's models, feel free to bet against him. Either through prediction markets, or if you're willing to bet a large sum he'll probably be down to do a direct bet against you through an escrow service.
I'm pretty sure the French gambler could've just bet directly against Nate Silver too and probably could've gotten better odds/smaller fees than going through Polymarkert, for at least a portion of his bet.
Quantumfreakonomics
3hr ago
The purpose of a system is what it does. This is related to the iron law of bureaucracy. The reason campaigns want money isn’t so that they can win elections. The reason campaigns want money is so that they can run the campaign. More money = more stuff for the people running the campaign.
As for why it seems to affect Democrats more than Republicans, guess which party has non-profit employees as a constituency.
Terracotta
3hr ago
Similarly, young men on voicechat on videogames have been talking about fucking each others' moms in various depraved ways for decades, while lots of women experience this as traumatising aggression.
This is such a weirdly off-base comparison, though. The proper analog would be men joking about raping each other "in various depraved ways," not each other's moms (as the saying goes, tragedy is me getting a paper cut, comedy is anyone else besides me getting raped). Do locker-room lads generally respond with twinkling eyes and good-humored grins when their bros graphically describe how they will bend them over, force them to the ground and ravage their assholes as they scream, because their bodies are somebody else's choice? Maybe so, I don't hang out in men's locker rooms. Sounds fun!
A sincere question: if sexual-assault jokes are an essential and universal part of male bonding, do gay dudes joke about raping each other's dads?
DuplexFields
Ask me how the FairTax proposal works. All four Political Compass quadrants should love it.
3hr ago
I’ve been on the IT side of healthcare, helpdesk with a few admin duties, and I do not envy you one bit.
Here are some of Ronald Reagan’s predictions from the 60’s about government-run healthcare:
‘The doctor begins to lose freedoms; it’s like telling a lie, and one leads to another. First you decide that the doctor can have so many patients. They're equally divided among the various doctors by the government. But then the doctors aren’t equally divided geographically, so a doctor decides he wants to practice in one town and the government has to say to him, "You can’t live in that town. They already have enough doctors." You have to go someplace else. And from here it's only a short step to dictating where he will go.’
These concerns seem almost quaint next to the never-ending grind of being at the intersection of public regulation, private underwriting, and technical debt.
It was funny but I don't like this sort of thing. It disturbs me that battle of the sexes has apparently become the leading interpretation of this election result, which is somewhat nonsensical given that Trump won White women. Men vs women strife is much worse than racial strife in my opinion (yes I understand that racial strife can lead to wars and genocides in a way that gender conflict doesn't, but I'm talking about at the non-violent levels we are currently experiencing). I've never had a conversation with a black person in my life, what do I care if they hate me? But I really would rather not see my family divided. I would much rather political battlelines become White vs non-White than man vs woman.
DiscourseMagnus
3hr ago
There's nothing nasty about making fun of the people who practice murdering their children so they can continue having careless sex with no consequences.
Of course not. The nasty thing is agreeing to and promoting their disingenuous framing, as Fuentes did here.
DiscourseMagnus
3hr ago
Such an amendment would discredit the government for obvious reasons. The abortion issue is a reductio ad absurdum of democracy. Apparently the electorate cannot even agree to prohibit the industrialized slaughter of infants.
Trump: Your terms are acceptable.
If Biden were smart, he'd pre-empt Trump and take the exact same deal. He might even win a Nobel Peace Prize if he did.
jeroboam
3hr ago
Kamala wanted to run the country. In the end, she couldn't even run her own campaign.
Apparently, the Harris campaign is $20 million in debt despite spending at least $1 billion over the last 3 months. On the other hand, the Trump campaign was frugal - spending only about 1/3 or 1/2 as much as Kamala (quibble about the exact numbers all you want). Staffing in particular seems to have been a major difference with Harris spending perhaps an order of magnitude more than Trump. Harris hired high paid consultants while Trump relied on free labor from passionate supporters.
It gets worse.
The Harris campaign has been accused of paying celebrities for exposure. Surely, already rich celebrities like Beyoncé and Oprah would be happy to support their favored candidate for free. Right? Apparently not. Fox News has reported that the Harris campaign paid Oprah a million dollars to interview her. Lizzo and Cardi B have also been singled out as receiving payments.
Is it any wonder that these celebrity endorsements don't work when they are so fake?
Contra Scott's too much money in dark almonds piece, I think the reason that political campaign donations are relatively low is that it's really hard to buy an election. Bloomberg tried to back in 2020 and his campaign went nowhere. Money does matter, but the candidate matters a lot more. $1 to Trump makes a bigger difference than $3 to Harris. And Trump appearing on Rogan might have been worth $100 million, but he didn't have to pay a cent.
Is the US funding Qatar in any real way ?
The US's biggest international military base is in Qatar. Qatar sells oil to everyone. If anything, the US doesn't buy much because it sources oil locally.
What leverage does the US have on Qatar ?
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