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Like you, I kinda hate the whole conversation around this, but how sure are we of this? Everybody's screaming at each other with high amounts of confidence, and little evidence.
Homosexuality and gender transition are definitely illegal in Algeria. It's not an Iran situation where Persians are weirdly fine with transition as a solution to Homosexuality.
It's not technically impossible that it's a birth certificate identity fraud or Balls-at-twelve situation, but I'm pretty comfortable putting the onus on those looking to disqualify. The assumption should be that someone who was born as female is female.
None of which changes the outcome of the Carini fight.
Irrelevant. Figuring out whether this is a dude or not is a simple question, and should not require going into the legal status of homosexuality or gender transitions in Algeria.
I disagree, any argument that relies on trust in mainstream institutions in politically fraught cases is inherently flawed.
In any case I did not ask about assumptions and what they should be, I asked for evidence. It's downright absurd how both sides are Leroy-Jenkinsing into this, on the basis of absolutely nothing.
Is the argument not that many biological women in the same weight class have already defeated Khelif?
I should also note that I have sparred with guys much bigger and stronger, I was a wimpy 16yo training with grown male amateurs. Which is where my point came from, cover up run away and survive to the bell if you can't hang.
Many were the times the round timer went off and I had to tell the guy "Hey look I think we're going too hard for me."
I genuinely think that Khelif's opponent here worked herself into a bit of hysteria since there's ample proof that Khelif isn't some world-ending super hitter with her 11% KO rate in amateurs.
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What evidence am I supposed to have if we're not trusting institutions? Am I supposed to go grope her? The evidence I offered was the analysis of the fights she was in, if you want to dispute that evidence it is on you to offer evidence that she is intersex.
Just so we're clear, I'm talking about "benefit of the doubt" arguments, like yours above. There should be no assumption of "someone would have noticed by now" or "let's go with the passport / birth ceritificate". This is a very easily testable thing, and she should be made to take such a test (a chromosomal one, for example).
You were putting the onus on the disqualifiers a second ago, are they supposed to grope her?
The results of the fight do not prove anything one way or the other, so I have no idea why you even bring it up.
My claim isn't that this person is either male, female, intersex, or something else entirely, my claim is "we don't know", and my evidence for the fact that we don't know, is that no one can seem to come up with any specific evidence in either direction.
There is a non-invasive test for having a Y chromosome (you just need a DNA sample, and before DNA testing there was a histological test for the presence of multiple X chromosomes which could be done with a cheek swab). The IOC used karyotype testing from 1958 to 1999 - it was abandoned after a small number of false positives of which the famous ones were cases of Complete Androgen Insensitivity Syndrome - CAIS women have XY chromosomes and testicles which produce testosterone, but their body doesn't respond to the testosterone so they develop female external genitalia in utero and female physiology after puberty. Everyone agreed that in principle CAIS women should be allowed to compete as women because they don't have an unfair advantage, and people who opposed sex testing used this as a lever.
But the practical protocol of "include a karyotype test in the standard battery of medical tests that elite athletes undergo, and discretely make further enquiries about XY women" works if you let it. The problem is that you have to adjudicate borderline cases like Caster Semeneya, and in the rare genuine intersex cases people will hate you for good reasons whichever way you rule. If you say "no gatekeeping - anyone AFAB can compete as a woman" then you are giving the competition away to countries willing to modify birth certificates.
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The proof of the pudding is in the eating. If she has overwhelming physical advantages, such that they are unfair to allow in competition, then it would show up in her fight with Broadhurst. It doesn't, Broadhurst bullies her around the ring. I've never heard of a hormone that doesn't work against the Irish. That's the most objective evidence we can have about unfairness in boxing: the boxing!
I guess I see your point that we could all refrain from any discussion on the topic absent personal knowledge, but the standard of proof has to place the onus somewhere, and there's significant moral hazard in a "believe all women accusers" standard. It seems morally obvious to me that the requirement should be on the party crying unfairness to offer evidence of unfairness. Given that the record in the ring is mixed at best and offers no clear support for disqualifying Khelif, additional evidence must be offered on that side.
I think there's limitations here in the sense that if a random average 5'3 male were to play in the WNBA they'd have a noted baseline advantage but they still wouldn't be the best player in the league due to height handicap.
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The way this works is a lot more complex than you're describing, and the question of whether Khelif is a woman is very simple, that's why I asked for evidence, and you're doing everything you can to avoid providing for some reason.
No. If you're going to say something like "Am I supposed to go grope her?" and act outraged at someone asking you for evidence, you have no right to demand it.
My request is simple - make her take a chromosomal test, and publish it. Until then, stop making confident claims about her being a woman.
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Lance didn't win every race, doesn't mean he didn't dope. Card counting doesn't allow you to win every hand, but it still gives you an advantage. All that that Broadhurst's win reveals is the advantage of her opponent isn't insurmountable, not that it doesn't exist or that it isn't unfair.
Basically everybody Lance competed against at the highest level was also doping.
It radically changes the debate to say the advantage is routinely surmounted. It also undermines Carini's testimony that "she's just too strong."
Indeed, until his doping was discovered Lance had a reputation as "the only one not doping".
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They're medics in a sports eligibility testing org, they draw her blood and look at her piss in a lab. Yes, it is reasonable to expect them to grope her more so than a poster here.
Ok, and what do they say?
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What kind of evidence would convince you of either side of the argument?
The results of a specific test confirming XX or XY chromosomes, or presence of testicles / ovaries, for example. No, arguments to the effect of "some would have already done this and disqualified them by now" do not count.
You're presumably aware that the [organizations in charge of] official tests do not confirm anything on that matter, and you wouldn't trust them if they did. How exactly do you think /r/themotte should get our hands on unofficial tests?
Ok, if no one has any evidence either way, how do you justify a claim like:
You have no idea whether or not this is a woman, or whether they're born female, so just admit it. And before you try to say the onus is somehow on the other side, bear in mind you just made the argument for why they don't have access to that evidence either.
That would be the issue we're having then - someone should confirm something on the matter, and until that happens, people should stop acting like they know anything about this.
If you don't see a difference between unspecified "several testing committees" supposedly making a determination based on an unspecified test, and specific people making explicit claims based on specific tests and staking their reputation on it, I don't know how to help you.
Doesn't that prove too much?
By this standard, no one on the Motte should ever be allowed to claim anybody's biological sex.
I'm just saying people shouldn't get to make these wildly confident triumphant jabs at the outgroup, without having something in hand that actually proves the outgroup wrong, otherwise we'll devolve into "you should be talking about real issues, like the attack on Jussie Smollet" really quickly.
From what I understand it turned out Khelif's sex is very plausibly contestable, though there's also reasons for skepticism of the claim they're male.
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Her country and several testing committees would have to cover up the fact that she was born and raised male, all to enter a relatively mediocre (as I understand it - she's no undefeated unsurpassable champion) fighter into the women's Olympic boxing. What for?
Arguments from likelihood / unlikelihood based on disputable priors are lame. Just post evidence, please, this is not a complicated question.
Arguments from likelihood are extremely reasonable and in fact the best way of approaching this kind of debate where facts are thin on the ground.
They're not. They're just a way of saying "I should win by default".
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It seems like nobody was aware of her being XY until the genetic test took place. I'd be very surprised if Algeria was just cool with her having gone through their entire womens' sport pathway if she'd been packing masculine equipment the entire time.
She undoubtedly gets a bit of an advantage from her hormonal profile compared to 'average woman', but practically everybody in the Olympics is going to have some degree of that going on. She's had a good-but-not-great amateur boxing career to this point with years in the ring, and the Italian woman quitting instantly to a woman with a 11% KO rate just doesn't seem at all logical unless there's literal hysteria going around here. I agree that trans athletes shouldn't be able to compete with women, but in this case I believe she's largely unaware of her own intersex status and the contest seems reasonably fair.
I disagree here. When the goal is national glory and Olympic gold you will be surprised how many people will willingly turn blind eye or say inshallah.
And national federations do have incentives to both juice people and push any kind of anomalously developed people forward. A joke left from soviet time - when in power sports the Eastern European block female athletes were suspiciously butch.
— Why aren't you allowing our female weightlifters to compete?
— They have too much testosterone...
— Oh, really? How did you figure that out?
— Because of the hair.
— Where are they hairy?
— Around the testicles...
Is there any proof of the old weight room legends about East German female weightlifters transitioning to male after their careers ended because they had shot so much test into their bodies that they were mostly there already?
Probably a reference to Andreas Krieger, though that was shotput rather than weightlifting (and East Germany, rather than Eastern Europe).
That said, the East German stuff, specifically, was often done without the consent or knowledge of the doped athlete, so while it says a lot about what governments will do for an Olympic Gold, it's less helpful for talking about individual people.
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Proof? Of course not. But FWIW, Communists entering biological men into women's sporting competitions as a means to pwn the West is a meme that significantly predates the current Trans movement
It's not a meme, the clip you linked was making fun of an IRL event where East Germany was doping women athletes with testosterone. FiveHourMaraton is asking whether or not they decided to transition afterwards, because of the side effects.
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I was shown it in the 'please don't do steroids kids' lesson in high school health class but can't locate it.
Damn. I've always just heard it as a legend.
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My question goes both ways, how sure are we about the XY thing? TERF Twitter keeps citing the IBA tests, but they're cagey about the details for some reason:
I even skimmed their minutes, and they just mention "one of the eligibility criteria", never stating which one it was.
I'm no expert, and there are apparently many more disorders of sexual development than I was previously aware of, but the XY thing is the only thing that makes sense. It's not like Algeria does karyotypes on newborn infants before asigning sex at birth. They just look at what's between the legs.
There are likely legal reasons that the IBA can't release the specifics of the test (medical privacy laws are a bitch), but they seem to be hinting as much as possible that this was in fact a DNA test.
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God. If this turns out to be a hoax I’m going to be…mildly…something.
On one hand, a cloud of partisans referring to one test that isn’t actually public, possibly without even knowing their evidence sprang fully formed from Twitter. On the other, a different cloud who can’t make their most obvious argument—does she have a penis?—because it’d be exclusionary etc. etc.
I think that’s still unlikely, and that her chromosome results probably exist somewhere, but it would explain this shitshow.
Something something toxoplasma of rage... almost makes me nostalgic, because it's the classical type that we haven't seen in a while.
I don't even hold it against Twitter, but I am miffed that even here one can't ask a simple question like "how do we know this" without being covered in Reddit-tier slop.
Now that you put it that way, I keep entertaining myself with "both sides are wrong" conspiracy theories. The test didn't show Khelif has XY chromosomes, but the glowies bullied the IBA to keep a lid on it because it conclusively proves that she has... ALIEN DNA!!!
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