domain:astralcodexten.com
doglatine
5m ago
It’s entirely compatible with active measures or just general FUD tactics for a state to fund groups that have multiple ideological goals at odds with their own. And that’s without considering the possibility of miscalculations; the US funded bin Laden for decades, after all.
SubstackNecron
24m ago
"I know my thumb is broken and if I cut my whole arm off that will defiantly fix the problem" type thinking
Magusoflight
24m ago
Have you ever tried modifying your diet? I have a friend who said their sinutitus improved significantly after eliminating certain foods (dairy I think)
Magusoflight
28m ago
I’m not wishing it to happen, but saying that would be the best future possible from a political perspective
hydroacetylene
36m ago
Well yes, right wing posadism remains stupid.
hydroacetylene
44m ago
The US has fairly generous citizen’s arrest laws for holding suspected shoplifters until the police arrive.
hydroacetylene
46m ago
Draco and the bloody code and the regulator-moderator war were exceptions, most historical societies did not execute petty criminals, although corporal punishment, fines, and public humiliation were common and enslavement slightly less so.
hydroacetylene
49m ago
The death penalty for sex crimes and drug dealers probably has majority support in the U.S., although shoplifting specifically I doubt it.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
51m ago
Christianity.
The Second Great Awakening was a hell of a drug.
hydroacetylene
54m ago
Major HBD confounder, there.
Hoffmeister25
American Bukelismo Enthusiast
55m ago
No, it is not.
However, we’re talking about tradeoffs: on the one hand, reduced standards of evidence and expedition of the trial process is likely to increase false accusations, while also massively reducing the odds that a criminal will avoid prosecution; on the other hand, heightened standards of evidence and the requirement of a full in-person trial process for all accused person is likely to reduce false convictions, while exposing the public to greater levels of crime by allowing criminals to avoid prosecution.
When considering these tradeoffs, it’s important for me to keep in mind which side of that ledger is likely to impact me personally. Am I more likely to be falsely accused of a crime than I am to be the victim of a crime? Almost certainly not. As a matter of fact, I have already been the victim of multiple crimes, whereas I have never been falsely accused of a crime. In fact, I’m not even sure I know anyone who has.
It turns out that the vast majority of people accused of crimes are in fact guilty of those crimes; this is particularly true of crimes like shoplifting which nearly always produce some sort of video record and/or physical evidence. It is generally quite easy for businesses to determine the specific individual responsible for a given act of shoplifting. And if there is the rare instance of mistaken identity, such a thing is unlikely to happen to a person such as myself, who bears little resemblance to any of the demographics responsible for the lion’s share of shoplifting; therefore, I’m extremely unlikely to ever need to avail myself of any of the myriad protections afforded to criminal suspects.
hydroacetylene
57m ago
Isn’t Russian funding for the German Green Party actually literally true, just as it is for most everyone else on a political fringe somewhere?
hydroacetylene
59m ago
Vance is pretty based, and you don’t have to be that based to post here, anyways. I’m convinced that the progressive freak out about him is an instinctive reaction to him hiding his power level.
Goodguy
1hr ago
If Vance really does read Curtis Yarvin and Bronze Age Pervert, as has been reported he does, then nothing here on The Motte would bother him much.
SubstackNecron
1hr ago
abortion likely ends up codified like in every other industrialized nation
This will happen very quickly after most of the boomers are in the ground as any look into pro-life vs pro-choice by age demographics will tell you.
hydroacetylene
1hr ago
The sorts of stores that will still stock physical porn when my children are teenagers are the sort which won’t even let them in the front door without an ID. This isn’t the eighties.
SubstackNecron
1hr ago
A full exchange of nuclear warheads will end the US as a political entity for at least decades and probably forever. If it reforms it will be much later. The current political situation will cease to matter at all to the survivors. Pretending this is not true is deeply silly.
SteveKirk
1hr ago
It's flattering to think that he's involved in the community, but I expect most of these guys read articles that go viral among the VC set. Think this is how most of Scott's famous articles came to be widely known, rather than through dedicated fans.
I don't care if it's not real though because it would be fucking hilarious if it was.
sun_the_second
1hr ago
You’re acting as though getting falsely accused of shoplifting is something that happens to middle-class white people all the time. How likely do you actually think that scenario is? I’ve gone my entire life without ever being accused of shoplifting.
Is this meant to imply that we should accept low-class nonwhite people being falsely accused, because they're not us?
ActuallyATleilaxuGhola
Axolotl Tank Class of '21
1hr ago
Which one of you motherfuckers
Found JD Vance's grandma.
benmmurphy
1hr ago
The motte is the more extreme version of slatestarcodex/astralcodexten. Vance is not based enough to hang out here. He probably hangs out with the normies in the slatestarcodex comments or that other weird vbulletin forum. What you would really hope is Vance is that guy that keeps posting on the reddit split off asking where everyone else is.
-_-_-_-_-
1hr ago
Multiple companies announced the completion of their vaccines immediately after the election.
Which ones? Weren't Pfizer, Moderna, and Johnson & Johnson all in Phase 3 by the time the election happened?
I'm also aware that we can basically do massive climate change on the cheap whenever we want. Sulfur dioxide seeding in the upper atmosphere or a massive sun shade in space are orders of magnitude cheaper than carbon emissions reduction.
And it'd be better to begin geoengineering now than to wait 20 years, wouldn't it?
Hyperbaric is like hyperbolic but with more bathos.
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