domain:arjunpanickssery.substack.com
naraburns
nihil supernum
2hr ago
If you're not aware, there are a ton of "pred-catcher" YouTube and Rumble channels.
I was not aware, but your explanation seems quite plausible to me, and all the more so if such content is presently en vogue.
Chattooga
2hr ago
I don’t see how this makes him a republican. There’s plenty of issues that differentiate the two parties, and his point in this case is a set of changes/tweaks that the current party should make. It’s not an exhaustive list of what the democrats should be.
anon_
2hr ago
I can imagine a DA who wants to make it a hate crime arguing that they were specifically targeting gay men.
This seems pretty obviously true: they were on Grindr and so they were targeting gay men.
Which I guess goes to the general incoherence of hate crime enhancements in general.
naraburns
nihil supernum
2hr ago
What am I missing here?
Honestly, just looks like bad drafting. It's clearly intended to parallel the language of 11-208(a) and would, I expect, be enforced in that way. But on this topic perhaps more than any other, people will avoid pointing out even obvious drafting issues for fear of being accused of being opposed to such laws.
KingOfTheBailey
2hr ago
From the "... and giving my GPU a well-deserved rest", I take it to mean he's been having a lot of fun prompting local (and presumably less censored) image generation models.
anon_
2hr ago
I agree there is a kind of DOS attack here where a bad actor can sow chaos. I think we also agree that this probably wouldn't work at any kind of scale or reliability.
anon_
2hr ago
Previous centuries didn't have a 9 minutes video of a handcuffed man dying in front of a crowd.
whenhaveiever
2hr ago
Could they get the new justice through in time? 56 days until the next Congress convenes. From Ginsburg's death to Barrett's confirmation was 38 days but from Breyer's announcement to Jackson's confirmation was 70. Biden would just about need someone ready to go already and then they could only lose one of Manchin or Sinema to still confirm the new nominee. Republicans would pull out all the stops and they don't have to delay things all that long, especially over the holidays and with the debt ceiling fight coming up too.
Edit: It would be quite a risk for Sotomayor to voluntarily step down at this point, and she may judge that it's less of a risk to stay in.
cae_jones
3hr ago
That sounds more dangerous to me, but it really depends on the amount in the bottles. AFAIK, the only known death from fluoride poisoning was a 3-year-old chugging a bottle of fluoride solution, but it was a bigger one at a dentist's office.
The main thing is that swallowing fluoride is fairly useless, and where the risks are. You want it to stay in your mouth.
VoxelVexillologist
Multidimensional Radical Centrist
3hr ago
Color me also skeptical, because otherwise one might expect to see noticeable IQ differences between the towns that don't add fluoride (famously, Portland) and the rest of the country.
Now, I have heard people suggest that "there must be something [not] in the water in Portland", but that is never followed by "and it's making them smarter than the rest of us."
cae_jones
3hr ago
Its functions appear to be neutralizing acids produced by mouth bacteria, and remineralizing enamel. Adding more mostly seems to counteract the higher acid levels generated by the modern diet. Fluoride apparently increases the effectiveness of both these functions better than just throwing morehydroxyapatite at the problem.
I expect it'd actually be a good idea for mothers anyway, since pregnancy makes it easier to lose teeth, but I'm going off anecdotes for that one.
Glassnoser
3hr ago
I would say almost everyone. I almost exclusively drink tap water.
Glassnoser
3hr ago
The two questions I have are
- Did the study convincingly show a causal link?
- Is it a priori plausible that IQ is so sensitive to a naturally varying element which is sometimes found in much greater concentrations?
zeke5123a
3hr ago
They wrote articles before the switch about her terrible of a candidate she was including how vapid she was.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3hr ago
Covers still live. But also sampling serves a similar function.
Glassnoser
3hr ago
Just walking around a seeing the number of old people who don't have any teeth makes me think cavaties are actually a massive problem, still, despite water fluoridation. I'm sure it would be much worse without it.
Glassnoser
3hr ago
I think it's next Friday.
Glassnoser
3hr ago
The original point was never to compare American workers to those across the rest of the world.
My point was that if the rest of the world gets by on much less, then they clearly get paid enough to keep up with basic necessities.
Wages are up, but the price of goods in the United States is outpacing that growth to the point that lower- and middle-class people making decent wages still can barely afford the necessities, e.g., rent, groceries, gas, childcare.
The word "real" means the numbers are adjusted for inflation, so if real wages are going up, that means that nominal wages are increasing faster than the price of goods. This is especially true for lower and middle class people. Their earnings have risen more than those of upper class people. The wages of the poorest have risen the most.
Swing state voters said this was their biggest concern and hope (and believe) Trump and the Republicans will come to the rescue.
If you look at polls that have been done over the last few years, most Americans say they're doing fine but believe most other people are not. These economic problems are completely imaginary. This has been the best period for the increase in the standard of living of the American poor in a very long time,
SubstantialFrivolity
I'm not even supposed to be here today
3hr ago
For what it's worth there is a grid if you build on foundations. But I don't disagree that it's a hassle. Building stuff is a veritable chore in Satisfactory, not helped by the fact that the devs have refused to implement blueprints big enough to actually be useful.
whenhaveiever
3hr ago
I think the defining centerpoint of Biden's legacy will be choosing to run for re-election then dropping out after the first debate. Lots of other things happened in the world while Biden was nearby but that's the one where his personal actions had the most impact and where he most deviated from historical norms.
And I don't think he can redefine his legacy at this point. Nothing requiring physically moving or making anything could possibly be finished in time unless it was already started. Nothing requiring negotiation is going to succeed because there's no point in negotiating with him now. And anything that doesn't require negotiation will either be completely insignificant or immediately overturned by a Trump executive order. Maybe Biden will be nearby during some other significant thing in the next two months but otherwise I think his legacy is set.
TitaniumButterfly
3hr ago
There's another level, which is that actually the thing I just said is the bailey and the real motte is spending money for the sake of it (for those who become enriched).
The_Nybbler
Does not have a yacht
3hr ago
You don't have to convince people to go along. Just send cops to close down the businesses.
roystgnr
3hr ago
Stop believing the propaganda.
This is a good message. I've called out more-liberal friends on this one, at least when the propaganda is really obviously objectively false, to good effect. I don't think I've completely convinced anyone that "the fact that someone as smart as you falls for this stuff so easily once you identify it as being on Our Side is also why you should cut Trump voters a little more slack about the stuff they fall for", but at least there's motion in the right direction. I think this comes easier from me (Libertarian voter, can steelman Trump but would still pick Harris for "lesser of two evils" if I was in a swing state) than it would from an actual Trump supporter, but if you actually cast your vote for Harris then you're in an even better position to insist that you're offering constructive rather than malicious criticism. When the Boy Who Cried Wolf finally gets eaten, IMHO it's perfectly fine to point out that his prior lies were part of the problem and that you don't have to be Pro-Wolves-Eating-People to notice.
We're not descending to Christian fascism!
Also probably true, and personally I'd note the "we have to take away Musk's companies" and "we have to ban The Misinformation" style left-wing fascism while I was pointing it out. But I've never gotten the chance, since I'm not friends with anyone this panicked, and if you do then being very careful about how you try to calm them down might indeed be the way to go here for the sake of the friendships.
We're not going to have a national abortion ban!
Maybe not? Probably not anything sweeping. But I wouldn't be surprised to see something relatively weak, third trimester with rape/incest exceptions or something. With a decent Republican lead in the Senate and probably a small lead in the house, there's at least a chance.
This will almost certainly not affect your life in any way!
And this is almost certainly wrong. It won't be the most important thing in most people's lives, but the federal government writes laws by the thousand and writes regulations by the million and spends dollars by the trillion. Even the second and third order effects on people not directly impacted can be huge.
He can't do (1) because Putin knows that and so he's in a shit position to negotiate. You can't do anything where you want it more than the other guy.
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