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Notes -
OSHA Effectiveness: MMTYWTK
In the thread about unions @vorpal_potato linked an excellent Roots of Progress piece on the history of worker’s compensation law. That got me thinking about the history of workplace safety since then, chiefly the top down reform since no-fault compensation: OSHA.
Did OSHA make workers safer?
Since OSHA was founded in 1970 fatal workplace incidents have decreased by 60% according to the Environmental Law Institute (admittedly somewhat confounded by manufacturing employment decreasing by 65%...).
On the other hand, the Mercatus Center has assembled a graph on workplace fatalities from 1933 to 2010 using data from the National Safety Council and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The results show that while fatalities certainly dropped after 1970, they had been falling long before and the trendline did not change following the creation of OSHA.
But prior to 1970 fatalities weren’t falling in some kind of regulatory no man’s land. In the entire period on the graph we had continuously evolving workplace safety rules emerging from the Bureau of Labor Standards founded in 1934. The BLS regularly met with organized labor to help establish new safety rules under State Labor Departments and played an important role in the passage of labor legislation like the Walsh–Healey Public Contracts Act or the Fair Labor Standards Act. And all of this doesn’t even capture all the state level workplace safety legislation that happened in the following decades (look up New York).
Without this context, Mercatus leaves you to imagine workplace safety incidents prior to 1970 were dropping entirely due to capitalist technological progress, as opposed to OSHA being another in a series of many steps of gradually increasing safety regulations.
And when you drill down into the details of specific OSHA policies, they often do show results. A few examples:
There has especially made progress for those concerns that won’t be reflected in raw safety incidents, such as long term exposure to lead, asbestos, and other toxic chemicals “OSHA standards have virtually eliminated some occupational diseases such as “brown lung” disease in the textile industry, and accidental transmission of HIV and hepatitis in healthcare workers”.
What are the economic benefits vs costs of OSHA?
I have no idea why, but I can’t seem to find any present day studies on the compliance costs of OSHA. A number of very out-of-date studies from the 1990s find costs between $10 and $40 billion. Studies on their benefits seem totally clouded by your base assumptions - CATO assumes extremely small benefits because they attribute almost none of the post-1970 drop to OSHA; OSHA itself assumes high benefits because it takes credit for the whole drop. For long term exposure we would also want some way to calculate healthcare costs from ex: respiratory problems. In general I wasn’t able to find a ton useful here but maybe it doesn't matter that much either way; it’s okay if OSHA costs more than it brings in, in terms of dollars and cents, if it plays a large role in reducing human suffering.
Why has OSHA declined in stature?
This piece has a decent quick write up on what works well and not so well about OSHA. Broadly summarized, OSHA has some really well-tailored standards it’s created since the 90s, mixed with a bunch of woefully out-of-date standards from the 60s. The actual inspection trainings are insufficient, and obsolete standards means that sometimes unimportant things are flagged while serious safety hazards are ignored. Why does OSHA use so many out of date standards? It sounds like the same bipartisan dysfunction that’s slowed every agency down since the 70s:
Also, everyone from Mercatus to the AFL-CIO agrees that OSHA’s present day fines are actually too small to encourage much behavior change from companies, at least relative to things like worker’s comp and lawsuits.
Would More Funding Help?
Mercatus Center and CATO claim (without a source) that Quebec funds its equivalent workplace safety agency four times more per staff and gets similar results. I glanced at a few other countries: in France and Britain they both spend less than us; the UK gets much better results and France gets much worse, so make of that what you will! I just divided budgets by staff whereas the Quebec comparison is supposedly measuring “dollars spent on workplace prevention”, which I don’t know how to check for other agencies, but I could easily believe their numbers are better than ours because we waste a ton on administration or paperwork.
Still, whether we do it by spending our funds more effectively or by raising funds, there does seem to be a strong argument that OSHA needs more staff - the UK has about double our inspectors for a country about a fifth of the size, for instance.
tl;dr
Workplace fatalities have fallen by 60% since the passage of OSHA. The rate of workplace fatalities did not fall any faster after OSHA, but it’s hard to disentangle the pre-1970 trendline from the safety regulation and legislation in decades prior, and there’s no reason to assume the trendline would have continued if our standards didn’t continue evolving as well.
OSHA definitely coincided with significant changes in worker pathogen exposure.
OSHA could be improved by:
Simplifying the procedural rules around creating new standards so they take <10 years.
Hiring more inspectors so they’re stretched less thin, and training those inspectors better
Probably increasing OSHA’s ability to levy greater financial fines.
I'll caution that a lot of the claims among advocates and activists start at misleading for their very best, here. For example:
I'm not entirely sure where this quote's coming from -- it's not present in Mendeloff's better-known "Regulatory Reform and OSHA Policy" nor his current RAND page -- but Mendeloff has spent decades making a variants of it, that OSHA's hands are tied to extremely narrow scopes of allowed regulation. Yet looking at the caselaw makes it obvious this isn't the case: OSHA has explicitly been delegated the power to make any cost-benefit tradeoff, so long as OSHA can provide evidence from a "credible source" of significant risk and can show that the regulations are at all feasible, even if the technology to implement them does not currently exist. You can go back to Hodgson and clearly see the courts unwilling and unable to require OSHA to issue more strenuous standards because someone claimed they were possible.
The only serious restriction on OSHA regulations are that they can not be impossible to implement nor can they set thresholds on what is possible rather than what is dangerous. And it's that last bit that's driven OSHA's plodding pace post-1980. Not that OSHA must regulate to the hilt, but that its employees and administrators want to -- and because so much voluntary and other-regulatory standards already cover other exposures, are only relevant when -- regulate to the hilt, and that's the place where it's hardest to prove anything. In the benzene case, OSHA had been trying to drop the maximum allowed exposure limit by and order of magnitude with zero studies showing significant health risks in between those levels but instead a rather unclear understanding of what safety factors mean.
Mendeloff repeatedly points to the far-greater count of exposure limit changes from the American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists, who to be fair are very much in favor of setting thresholds very quickly to extremely low values! But that doesn't tell us terribly much about what the correct exposure limits are, or even good policy.
It's... probably worth pointing out that a little over a dozen states have separately-funded OSHA-approved State Plans doing their enforcement.
Thanks for your reply, sorry for the delay, I've been pretty wrapped up
All the quotes are from that Environmental Law Institute piece, I didn't want to keep citing it because I honestly hadn't realized we didn't have character limits anymore.
Thanks for the added legal context on where OSHA's restrictions really are/aren't. IANAL but my one quibble is that the ruling that they don't have to do cost/benefit analysis is from 1981, and since then we had Clinton's EO in 1993 that I think does require them to do that. At least, it's a thing they're clearly spending time doing, whether or not it guides their regulatory decisions the way it should.
More importantly, does any of this refute the broader argument about all the added layers of procedural and analytic requirements that all three of the people interviewed cited? This seems like a separate measure from where their authority actually ends that would add a time burden rather than a legal burden. Even the feasibility studies, whether or not their actual threshold is reasonable, presumably signify months of mandated paperwork. From OSHA's quick overview on the website:
It certainly sounds pretty time consuming. In 2012 the GAO also wrote a report that seems to find the same thing titled "Multiple Challenges Lengthen OSHA’s Standard Setting". The exerpt below is probably unnecessarily long but just to give a flavor of all the mud they have to wade through:
Yadda yadda.
Very good point tbh.
Ugh, and of course he doesn't actually have citations for his claims there. Thanks for at least pointing the direction out.
EO 12866 isn't externally enforceable, and to the extent it 'requires' agencies to evaluate costs, that ends up being just that :
This is interesting, but it's a very far cry from Mendeloff's insistence that only the "lowest feasible level" is allowed, and indeed at its time it was supposed to be about reducing the often-steep overregulation that other agencies had invoked. (It also sets a fairly speedy timeline that agencies are supposed to meet, and if you want to have a laugh some day compare it to their actual movement rate.)
My objection is less that Mendeloff claims that there is some increased time burden from review, and more that he claims that there's a process that only allows a very narrow band of regulation such that this time burden must be exceedingly long, outside the scope of a single OSHA director's run, and (implicitly) that it requires such resources and focus that OSHA can not do these things in parallel. And that's not really the case, in no small part because that first step falters.
((And his own piece makes clear that he's really just after harsher limits than can be demonstrated in evidence: "What changes might help? For health standards, change the law to allow lower exposure limits based on lesser evidence when the reduction is moderate." Which is just open season for OSHA to make up numbers.))
Mendeloff, in other works, often points to benzene regulations, and that's not unreasonable given that OSHA spent nearly twenty years on it. But if you look at the timeline, the overwhelming majority of this was not the regulatory overhead side, nor the OSHA-specific work of coordinating with industry to determine feasibility, but trying to gather data to support their new and stringent standard being so low. Almost all of the long lead time occurs because OSHA wants to set standards at the bleeding edge where data was not yet present.
And that might not even be wrong as a policy decision, since at least ideally clear risks would be handled by industry practices or by other regulations. But it drastically changes both the calculus of what revisions would be necessary, and what Mendeloff is asking for.
I certainly believe you that Mendeloff is exagerrating his claims, his line about the lowest feasible level just seemed minor to me compared to his + the other interviewed subjects' main argument about ever-increasing procedural requirements.
Definitely interested in the idea that the procedural requirements are less of a time burden than the data digging required by overambitious regulatory targets - though can those really be separated? It seems like a ton of the procedural load is specifically around data collection and review.
Where do you access the timeline / breakdown of how the time was used for the Benzene process? I couldn't seem to find it in the EHP writeup.
At least for the data collection side, my argument's that they're doing a lot of stuff that's very time-consuming and difficult specifically so they can promote very low targets and limited thresholds of economic feasibility, and they don't have to do that and still be useful as a regulatory agency. It's still a time burden to prove, even for low standards of certainty, obvious signals and straightforward risks, but it's a lot easier to go "Professor, Fire Hot" than it is to isolate a one-in-a-million risk that only a thousand people got exposed to.
I'm afraid the best approach is to look through the procedural history for court cases and the sources used to promote the final rules: Industrial Union Department v. American Petroleum Institute makes clear that OSHA had requested a study in "spring of 1976", received a preliminary result in April, 1977. While they had diddled the figures to make them match what OSHA wanted (by incorrectly assuming that the historic leukemia deaths were from <25 ppm exposures, when at least some of the exposures were probably much higher), the data was strong for exposures around 100 ppm. OSHA just didn't want to push that or even a reasonable safety factor from that because it had begun accepting a zero-threshold model for most carcinogenic materials, and because there wasn't much space below the (then-voluntary) 10 ppm threshold already present.
Getting numbers that precise with any accuracy required a lot of work and a lot of time, simply because the signal was so tiny. OSHA maintained (and afaik, has not been stopped by courts) from treating one-in-a-million risks as 'significant' for regulatory purposes, but you can look at the analysis and watch the studies walk toward the eventual threshold OSHA wanted. That wasn't really done until the mid-1980s, though, arguably the earliest with Crump 1984 but OSHA looked to depend more on Rinsky 1987.
By contrast, again pointing to IFU v API, OSHA asked a consultant to evaluate and estimate the costs of a 1 ppm threshold in October 1976, and that consultant finished the entire economic impact study by May 1977.
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I once had a brief foray as an OSHA consultant in a Western government department. By the time I got there it was thinly concealed sinecure. The workload was laughable and the majority of the job was evaluating complaints from employees that were angling towards some sort of compensation graft. Actual safety in an office environment did not require the large team we had. I didn't last too long before the lack of meaning in the job led me back to the private sector.
I remember in one case, a 'partially blind' person's
emotional supportguide dog was causing a genuinely severe allergic reaction in a nearby seated work colleague (whereby 'nearby' I mean on the opposite side of the floor). All the other consultants basically ran and hid from the job because the blind person had a history of 'requesting'danegeldsupport items to make them more comfortable at work. I was flabbergasted at their workstation on an open floor plan which was fully surrounded by 6ft high partitions togive them their own private officeprotect them from sunlight due to their light sensitivity. After a brief investigation I figured out it was the dog bed in their pod that someone had authorised that had not been cleaned for years. Getting it regularly cleaned along with a HEPA air conditioner sorted it out, but the cost of maintaining the kayfabe disgusted me.You have any opinions on what could make it work better? Interesting to hear there were more staff than necessary rather than too few
It was mainly the entrenched 'not for profit' drive behind the organisational culture that led to inefficiency. There were no incentives to cut costs (staff) and in the process make the remaining staff more efficient.
Normally every few years a new party will get in power and appoint a taskforce to cut costs in the public sector, but as an outside force it would never be able to maintain a reasonable level of efficiency. With inefficient staff, more would be required to undertake the workload so staff bloat would increase again over time.
There would probably need to be a taskforce for efficiency embedded directly within the department(s). This would include management/organisational consultants (or more cheaply, an FTE role with those skills).
Government culture can complicate these issues in other ways. The public sector is left leaning in their politics and is unionised. Due to self-regulation it is very difficult to fire government employees for laziness and incompetence. It can require multiple admonishments and a performance management process that can last years. The process of firing an employee is so draining on middle management that they arrange for transfers to other departments to make it someone else's problem. Or wait for a wave of redundancies to effectively bribe people to leave.
The refusal to weaken employment regulations around firing people makes the public service collect some of the laziest people I have ever come across. I remember one 55year old man that had spent a career at just above the entry level rank for unskilled workers. He told me stories about how he would skip work to attend environmental protests. He regularly turned up late and left early. His work turnover was less than half of the average (and the average was not that high). He had managed to coast through his career and despite his workmates despising him for his laziness, he had never been fired. This man was a union representative which I saw him exploit multiple times in the short period I knew him.
It gets worse. Government deliberately aims to hire minorities. This includes people with a disability. A small fraction of people with a disability are for want of a better word, grifters. On top of the risk of hiring some of these people, they are created through filing a false workers compensation claim for a workplace injury, PTSD or the like. The OSHA consultants strongly suspected that grifters would tell their friends about techniques to file claims and get long periods of time off work or better yet a total and permanent disability determination for money indefinitely.
But I digress and you asked for solutions. Besides the efficiency taskforce I would look at weakening regulations around the grounds for firing staff. Also for the OSHA team, assign soft KPI's for caseload clearance with rewards for completion and performance management for those that fall way below expectation. I say soft KPI's because management discretion would be required as you would prefer to reward and not punish consultants for taking difficult (and time consuming) cases.
I've really only scratched the surface about government culture. Changing it is like trying to clean an oven with only warm water and a wash cloth.
Thanks for the thought out response, I'll definitely reflect on this information.
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This is one reason that I’m generally against ADA for most things. I don’t mind wheelchair ramps and the like, but the problem is more or less that there’s almost no limit either to the things that can be considered “disabilities” nor the requests (which have basically the force of law behind them) even at great cost to the rest of the company and the other people who work there. If I have a mental illness, I get essentially extra time off to deal with the anxiety or depression or whatever. The rest of the workforce not only doesn’t get the xtra time off, but has to then take up the slack I leave behind. And because a lot of mental illness has few physical tells it becomes an easy thing to fake. I go to the doctor and get a diagnosis of depression or anxiety or ADHD with little actual screening against cheating, go tell HR my
demandsaccommodations and get extra benefits to myself.I touch on this in in my other comment.
I have a friend who is a paraplegic. He tells me that the genuinely disabled despise these sorts of grifters as they drain resources and weaken the acceptance for making allowances for people with disabilities such as through the ADA.
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I knew that Mercatus Center graph looked familiar: Does Reality Drive Straight Lines On Graphs, Or Do Straight Lines On Graphs Drive Reality?
TL;DR: OSHA may be one of the steps which contributes to lowered workplace fatalities, much like laser photolithography may be one of the steps which enables smaller and smaller transistors in microchips.
Yeah! That's exactly the point I was trying to get across, however mangled.
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Its interesting to read through the OSHA fatality reports. Almost every fatality is either someone falling to their death (usually while working construction), or getting run over. There's also the occasional freak accident. Is there any reasonable standard that would have protected this guy from the literal bomb someone had put in the scrap metal bin?
It’s incredible that, in a country of 330 million souls, these documents are only 70 pages long.
Anecdotally, I did non-union, non-OSHA monitored construction work with basically no safety standards, and my boss still drilled in me like crazy to stand skewed when cutting & always make sure one end was free hanging to guard against that kind of kickback. Seems like an awful way to die.
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The effects of regulation are usually discreet, not continuous. The pre 1970 decline in fatalities is also discreet. This suggests regulation was not the cause.
There are also known mechanisms for the continuous improvements in worker safety in the market. These market safety improvements will be tied with the general price of labor.
I'd expect regulations to have noticeable and discreet effects within an industry. But it is unlikely to show up on the overall graph of workplace fatalities.
I'd expect new technology or self-initiated safety practices introduced from companies to have the same kind of discrete impact though. That's part of why I appreciate leaving the trendline (which can contain a lot we don't know) and looking more at their specific policies, where you do see discrete jumps in ex: bloodborne pathogen exposure.
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On the other hand, I have a strong prior that US agencies are going to do less, be less efficient, and generally have a much worse paperwork:results ratio compared to other countries. Giving them more money can’t fix that no matter what it’s earmarked for- OSHA safety inspectors will compensate for the added staffing and increased fines by focusing on doing the least productive parts of their jobs and possibly working fewer hours.
I imagine this is true, but less out of a love of paperwork on the part of OSHA and more because that's what our legislators mandate. In my experience bureaucrats hate bureaucracy more than anyone else. If you read the employee survey reports some of them release on how to improve the agency, there will always be people complaining that they can't do any real work because they have too many procedures to follow and compliance activities to report, too many levels of authority decisions need to move through, the OIG is always breathing right down their neck, etc.
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