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Israel-Gaza Megathread #1

This is a megathread for any posts on the conflict between (so far, and so far as I know) Hamas and the Israeli government, as well as related geopolitics. Culture War thread rules apply.

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So you guys do know all these Palestinians will end up in Europe, right?

Yes, of course they eventually will. It's probably the best thing that could happen too. Europe deserves another few million low value humans based on their actions of continually subsidizing low value humans. Perhaps this time will be the one that finally teaches them that some people are better than others, end of story. I doubt it, and so the punishments will need to continue, but maybe at some point it will finally click.

So you guys do know all these Palestinians will end up in Europe, right?

So, nation states that want the EU to disintegrate will eagerly try to pick them up and put them on boats and send them to Europe, eh?

To be honest 100-200 billion would be cheap for the west to just settle this issue forever. 40-80k a head which is enough to build a cheap house plus some startup cash. The question is who would take them.

It’s sort of funny but Russia is depopulated and has handled these populations like Chechens well would be the most logical place to send them.

Hell, a trillion bucks wouldn't be a bad price to pay. For what it's worth it wouldn't be bad if the US took a bunch of 'em too.

This has the usual issues with some policies like this that might work (or at least help): getting enough political inertia to get it through, if it doesn't happen in the background, seems like it would probably just result in them sending more money over the next time there's issues (and then for more projects as well). That's not necessarily bad for some viewpoints, but I think is hard to avoid..

Israel can handle Palestinians the way Russia handled Chechens just fine on its own:

  • bomb Gaza Strip into oblivion
  • give the most amenable local warlord financial support
  • have the warlord recognize Israel within current borders and deal with the opposition together with the IDF
  • keep giving the warlord money, because he sucks at anything except repressions
  • keep a military base close to the warlord's palace, just in case

The current situation with the PA has already arguably been finding the most amenable local warlord and working with them. Nevertheless, whilst Russians cater to Kadyrov in a great variety of ways, the Israelis can't help but repeatedly teabag and humiliate their warlord, Abbas, and make him look like a scrub, which is a major reason as to why Hamas keeps being popular.

It took two Chechen Wars before "handling Chechens" became an attractive option, I recall. If you want to inflict that on Russia again, I'm taking your based trad right card away.

Money won't solve this. The EU tried building water pipes in Gaza and the pipes just ended up being repurposed as homemade missiles. You can't solve this by sending money to someone who cares more about killing you than they care about making a good life for themselves.

If it was that cheap even Israel could pay it over time. They don’t want to go though and Egypt and Jordan don’t want them, even for that money.

How? They can’t walk given the only land exit is to the south via Egypt. Egypt is unlikely to simply let them free into the interior. Gaza is blockaded by sea, and even if Israel allowed NGO migrant vessels to dock, they’d (a) have to abandon the existing locations, which they’d be reluctant to do, and (b) would have nowhere near the capacity. Unlike the regular migrants who are pretty much all young men, most of the Gazan survivors will be women and children, with a moderate number of elderly people too.

That means that irregular immigration is improbable and they’d have to come to Europe as pre-admitted refugees, like those the west admits from refugee camps and so on. European governments would have to charter ships to consciously bring 2 million people to their countries. I cant see governments that agree to that surviving - the AfD is on the verge of power in parts of Germany, the right is at least partially in power in Italy, even Macron is trying to seem tougher on immigration and integration, the Danes are now trying to be heavily restrictionist from the Islamic world, the Swedish conversation of migrants seem to be turning. Oh, and all of Europe saw the footage from Hamas’ atrocities.

How? They can’t walk

Like I said in the other comment, you rendezvous with an NGO rescue ship, drop them in the sea, the rescue ship picks them up, and now you can't turn them away, because what are you going to do, let them drown, you monster?

I cant see governments that agree to that surviving - the AfD is on the verge of power in parts of Germany, the right is at least partially in power in Italy

Yeah, and we had a lot of handwringing about what Italy's fascist PM is going to do with immigrants, and she ended up admitting just as many as past governments. Why would AfD be different?

With which boats will they rendezvous with the NGO ships? How will the NGOs 20x their capacity overnight? How will the NGOs feel about abandoning the present African migrants for Gazans? How do you think voters are going to react?

Of the issues you mentioned the only real one is capacity, yeah it won't happen overnight. Everything else doesn't seem relevant. Human traffickers will be the ones randezvouing with the NGOs, just like they do now. The NGOs will stop caring about the African refugees.

2.1 million is a lot of refugees. How does that measure up to previous crises, like Syria, etc? Is it effectively the same but all at once or a much bigger number?

Poland alone had more Ukrainian refugees, with about one million still staying right now (depending on how you count you will get different numbers).

Total count of Ukrainian refugees was about 5-6 million, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukrainian_refugee_crisis_(2022%E2%80%93present)

Obviously, refugee count is far from only impact. Palestinians are not going to Europe. Unless someone plays 7D chess and really wants right across Europe to win elections.

Unless someone plays 7D chess and really wants right across Europe to win elections.

Voting "right-wing" literally does not do anything in Western Europe. In Eastern-Europe "right-wing" voters still overwhelmingly support fighting Russia on behalf of the EU/NATO while simultaneously asking EU politely to stop sending migrants. The only way out of this endless All-Star loop Europe is stuck in is through violent revolution and rejection of democratic institutions.

In Eastern-Europe "right-wing" voters still overwhelmingly support fighting Russia on behalf of the EU/NATO

Why the heck they would prefer to live under Russia? Even if you would go with "USA and Russia are equally bad"[1] then still playing empire far away against close empire makes perfect sense.

Also, if you think that "fighting Russia on behalf of the EU/NATO" is happening you should discuss it with other contrarians who thing that USA supporting Ukraine is mistaken and should be isolating rather than helping Eastern Europe.

[1] they are not, unless you put high value on stuff like rampant homosexual rape in military

Voting "right-wing" literally does not do anything in Western Europe.

Even if true, then importing Palestinians is still going to boost them.

Why the heck they would prefer to live under Russia? Even if you would go with "USA and Russia are equally bad"[1] then still playing empire far away against close empire makes perfect sense.

Russia is not actively attempting to genocide the natives.

Also, if you think that "fighting Russia on behalf of the EU/NATO" is happening you should discuss it with other contrarians who thing that USA supporting Ukraine is mistaken and should be isolating rather than helping Eastern Europe.

USA should not be supporting the Ukraine government sending the average Ukrainian man who has not fled the country yet to his death.

Not sure what you mean by isolating. Foreign policy does not have to be a 2-position switch between Cuba-style blockade and CIA-led 'color revolution'. Perhaps the US could consider trading without meddling politically?

Even if true, then importing Palestinians is still going to boost them.

Boost what? It's certainly going to make european governments more authoritarian, but just because they police the migrants harder does not mean that they will stop oppressing the natives. If anything, the post-9/11 policies enacted by the West have mostly been used to send right-wingers to jail over facebook posts or mostly peaceful election results protests.

Russia is not actively attempting to genocide the natives.

No matter how you call it: what they did in Mariupol, Nova Kakhovka, Bucha, Odessa and so on is not conductive to human flourishing. (and yes, this time they are less murderous than previously, though it is fairly low bar given Holodomor death toll)

Also, "is not actively attempting to genocide the natives." is passed also by EU. And basically everyone else. Clearing "they do not want murder your nation" bar is not sufficient to answer "Why the heck they would prefer to live under Russia?".

And after https://www.themotte.org/post/705/israelgaza-megathread-1/148670?context=8#context I will limit myself to commenting that I am hopeful that your beloved Russia will fall on its face with their latest imperialism attempt and will stop such activity for few decades.

No matter how you call it: what they did in Mariupol, Nova Kakhovka, Bucha, Odessa and so on is not conductive to human flourishing. (and yes, this time they are less murderous than previously, though it is fairly low bar given Holodomor death toll)

What did they do?

What I remember from Mariupol was the Azov battalion taking civilian hostages underground into the metallurgy factory complex, much like what is claimed Hamas did, and the Russians waiting for them to come out or release the hostages.

Imo Russia has been far less destructive with Ukraine than the US with Iraq, or even previous wars in the area.

Also, "is not actively attempting to genocide the natives." is passed also by EU.

Encouraging invasion by millions of foreigners + discouraging native reproduction and sovereignty, branding right-wing nativist movements as 'nazi 2.0' etc counts as attempt at destroying European nations to me.

Perhaps the European population is broadly consenting to this destruction, and the intent is so diffuse and generalized that the finger cannot be pointed at any given group of people for this attempt, but the results are the same. What happened to the former countries that joined the EU should be a cautionary tale, not something a supposedly nationalist country should emulate.

What did they do?

Have you seen photos of Mariupol before Russian army arrived and after Ruski Mir?

(also, last time I checked it was less "hostages" and more "people hiding from rampaging russian army" - for typical and quite good reasons)

or even previous wars in the area.

They attack civilians less than USSR and Nazi Germany. Congrats, if they would get worse than this it would be pretty amazing.

Still, to get "less destructive than EU" level they are quite far away. And fortunately for Poland it is not Russia vs Nazi Germany, so Russia would improve a lot to be attractive.

attempt at destroying European nations to me.

Your goalposts are moving quite fast. And yes, it is still less destructive (in both deliberate destruction and stupid self-destruction) than Russian epic efforts. Though that bar is so low that I am not happy about EU either. Being better than Russia is not enough.

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Violent Revolution, so that Eastern Europe can do what? Bend over for Moscow? Balkanize into Rand-approved fiefdoms from sea to sea? You may not like the “right-wing” option, but I find it a more credible path to supporting your values than throwing your nation out the window.

Balkanize into Rand-approved fiefdoms from sea to sea?

Where do you think the verb 'balkanize' even come from?

but I find it a more credible path to supporting your values than throwing your nation out the window.

Good luck teaching half a billion Africans your 'values'. There is no European civilization without Europeans.

This is how 'right-wing' voting works.

current immigration level 100K/year

right-wing talking head: "The left wants to take in 500K immigrants per year, but we listen to the voters and will reduce immigration!"

immigration level becomes 200K/year

Rinse and repeat The people who control the media are the ones deciding what voters care about, and they will never give a platform to somebody further right than left-wingers 5 years ago.

I know exactly where “Balkanize” came from. I picked that to point out that a violent revolution in EE won’t create an ethnostate paradise. It’ll create a shithole, full of land mines and, if you’re lucky, NATO peacekeepers.

Balkan shitholes still look much better than what is probably in store for the future of Western Europe.

Fistulas are a kind of damage that is seldom seen in the developed world

In eastern Congo, however, the problem is practically an epidemic. When a truce was declared in the war there in 2003, so many cases began showing up that Western medical experts at first called it impossible—especially when local doctors declared that most of the fistulas they were seeing were the consequence of rapes. "No one wanted to believe it at first," says Lyn Lusi, manager of the HEAL Africa hospital (formerly called the Docs Hospital) in the eastern Congo city of Goma. "When our doctors first published their results, in 2003, this was unheard of."

More references to look up: necklacing;

documentary Africa Addio

Balkan shitholes

Are you even aware with current state of Balkan countries?

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Is there something inconsistent about being right-wing and supporting fighting Russia? You would simply be one link in potentially numerous generations of right-wing local nationalists who have supported the same.

Is there something inconsistent about being right-wing and supporting fighting Russia?

not at all (you can also be right-wing and support Russia)

From an ethno-nationalist point of view, rule by USSR had much better consequences than rule by EU/NATO-aligned globalists. See this convenient experiment in Germany.

On the other hand, if you're talking about some kind of authoritarianism/freedom axis, surely Europe is becoming more right-wing one migrant at a time. Sharia law soon brothers. Now that's trad.

See this convenient experiment in Germany.

That is 2011. Any more recent data? Also "no muslims" is only one axis, on many others like "people wishing to change something are not murdered on orders of Moscow/Washington" or ">100 000 dead due to catastrophic economy mismanagement, maybe deliberate murder via economy sabotage" Russia is less rosy.

And "due to USSR we are noticeably poorer so migrants want to migrate elsewhere" is hardly a great incentive to be occupied by Russia again.

That is 2011. Any more recent data?

USSR's control of Germany ended 20 years prior, I don't see why newer data would change anything. I don't expect East Germany to have diversified faster than West Germany in the last decade, and if it did, I'd expect a good explanation to blame it on the USSR, considering that the very agents responsible for mass immigration to Europe to this day are still waging war against the ghost of the USSR.

">100 000 dead due to catastrophic economy mismanagement, maybe deliberate murder via economy sabotage" Russia is less rosy.

People die all the time. Nations die when globalists simultaneously import millions of foreigners and discourage breeding among the natives.

And "due to USSR we are noticeably poorer so migrants want to migrate elsewhere" is hardly a great incentive to be occupied by Russia again.

European civilization was explicitly defined by its Christianity according to which poverty is a virtue and excessive wealth a sin, so it's a question of point-of-view. If you want to be more 'trad' and revert to older versions of culture and civilization then this might conflict with it, and higher levels of islamic immigration might actually further your values.

Nations die when globalists simultaneously import millions of foreigners and discourage breeding among the natives.

Take a look at Russian demographics, it does not look stellar either.

defined by its Christianity according to which poverty is a virtue and excessive wealth a sin

Starvation and drowning everything in rampant alcoholism is not highly prized by Christianity.

Why do you think the entire European right (apart from some very fringe groups) resisted USSR that strongly for its entire existence, then?

From an actual ethnonationalist point of view, people in Estonia, Latvia and to a lesser extent Lithuania certainly remember that rule by USSR meant a real, existing risk of their nationalities really, genuinely becoming minorities in their titular homelands, as temporarily already happened to the Kazakhs.

Why do you think the entire European right (apart from some very fringe groups) resisted USSR that strongly

Note that in areas closer to Russia also very large part of left opposed USSR.

Yes, certainly, but the point I was answering to specifically referred to the right, and made the strange and ahistorical claim that being opposed to Russia would somehow by itself rended these parties as "not right-wing".

It's hard to explain. The traditionalist right pretty much died out when the USSR and Americans allied to crush them. Then whatever fringe was left was crushed by a combination of consumerism (industrial society), chemical warfare (contraception), and massive amount of propaganda. Anyone with eyes can see that Western (American) media is a much bigger threat to native cultures than anything coming out of Russia or China. Perhaps because the West is the most effective vehicle of the Industrial Revolution. A less effective ruler can be a good thing, if the ruler's objectives are opposite to the survival of your people.

From an actual ethnonationalist point of view, people in Estonia, Latvia and to a lesser extent Lithuania certainly remember that rule by USSR meant a real, existing risk of their nationalities really, genuinely becoming minorities in their titular homelands

Yes or they could have been Belgians. I doubt Belgians will exist as an ethnic group in the next 50 years, after so charitably hosting the EU parasite. Meanwhile Poland is just as white as the Nazi ethnic cleansing left it.

Anyone with eyes can see that Western (American) media is a much bigger threat to native cultures than anything coming out of Russia or China.

That is quite wild claim, given outright attempts to destroy cultures run by both (see also "Ukrainians and Ukraine are fake and never really existed"). Chinese managed to run quite hard destruction attempt on themself and are busy speed running deliberately exploding population pyramid (recently they tried to reverse it, with poor results).

Still less terrible population pyramid than Poland, but we at least have not tried to achieve it deliberately.

And yes, Russia is corrupt and ineffective - but not so much to make them harmless. And Russification was repeatedly attempted by them with various degrees of success.

I doubt Belgians will exist as an ethnic group in the next 50 years

I am not sure whether they ever existed as ethnic group :)

Meanwhile Poland is just as white as the Nazi ethnic cleansing left it.

And that is both false and misleading (Nazis in Poland had very limited opportunity to murder non-white people on account of Poland having even less of them than nowadays - they murdered millions of white people). Hmm, now I wonder how many were murdered due to this.

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In the (by far) highest year of the migrant crisis so far, 2015, 1.1 million Syrian refugees supposedly arrived in Europe.

The total amount of displaced Syrians was much higher though. Over 5 million are still refugees abroad.

Most in Turkey though.

Richard Hanania has already suggested it would be less trouble for the Palestinians to be expelled to Europe, I certainly wouldn't rule it out. If a regional war breaks out then there is a 100% chance of Europe being forced to take mass refugees.

Richard Hanania is incompetent Twitterati with idiotic takes on all topics familiar to me.

(not specialist on everything, maybe coincidentally he is wrong only on topics familiar to me and correct on everything else)

there is a 100% chance of Europe being forced to take mass refugees.

How they would get there? Teleport? Who would accept them?

Isn’t Richard literally a Palestinian? Why is Keith accusing him of being a traitor by trying to secure his people passage to Europe?

I was surprised to find out he’s not Jewish, with that last name. Turns out he’s from a christian Arab family. In that case, his people were already cleansed from Gaza. The people still in Gaza are his people’s killers.

I’ve posted before about Indians being basically the biggest HBD type in the UK. White people aren’t able to express those opinions in the west. It’s the fringe white adjacent who get to (like Ramaswany too).

For Keith, supporting the ethnic cleansing of your people from your ancestral homeland is a betrayal on principle. i.e. if Ireland became overrun with Arabs and things came to a head, I don't think Keith would advocate for ethnically cleansing the Irish to the United States even if that had a higher standard of living and more political rights.

I don't care about Richard's betrayal of the Palestinians, I care about his betrayal of Europe, not that he necessarily owes any loyalty to Europeans. But it shows where his priorities lie when he talks about "less trouble."

For Keith, supporting the ethnic cleansing of your people from your ancestral homeland is a betrayal on principle. i.e. if Ireland was overrun

What if the Irish were by far the weaker party and were liable to being completely destroyed imminently? Does Keith think it better to die at home than live in diaspora? If he does, I don’t know that he can fault others too much for disagreeing with him - at least it’s a matter of debate.

If the Arabs completely blockaded and turned off the food and water to the Irish, I think Keith would consider it a betrayal to say "good idea on that blockade, that's going to force the Irish away from Ireland finally and that will cause less trouble." Even if they were the weaker party.

If the issue for Palestinians is that they want to be free of rule by jews, moving to Europe is not a solution. Most if not all European countries have anti-antisemitism laws and anti-islam laws. While Palestinians would necessarily be more materially comfortable in Europe or almost anywhere else, they could never obtain the weapons and training readily available at home if they aspire to fight jewish rule.