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Culture War Roundup for the week of October 2, 2023

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But does overturning the ban on domestic abusers getting guns really do a lot to aid that original purpose?

What percentage of the revolutionary militia were we expecting to be habitual wife beaters, exactly? I think we'll be ok without them.

That's my position, if someone proposed a bill that would actually decrease gun ownership a significant amount - say, 10% - then I'd be onboard with saying 'this is a threat to the ability of 2A to protect us against tyranny'.

But AFAICT, most of the skirmishes are over very limited laws that make it harder for criminals to get guns, or impose inconveniences that annoy gun owners but don't stop them from being gun owners.

What percentage of the revolutionary militia were we expecting to be habitual wife beaters, exactly? I think we'll be ok without them.

Approximately all of them, based on current standards of domestic violence. Minor physical punishments (slaps, spanking etc.) were common for men to apply to their wives if they misbehaved, just as they were applied to children. You'll have to cast aside more than just the militiamen.

I think the issue is more about being able to ban firearms from some people without having to convict them of a specific crime and thus having a trial. If I don’t like you, I can file for a restraining order, and if I’m successful, then I can essentially get the government to take your guns and forbid you from purchasing more. And thus you lose your rights but don’t get a defense.

I’m especially concerned where it concerns mental health simply because there’s no real process to remove that designation once you have it. Worse, it’s a very strong incentive to avoid contact with mental health services if you think you might need them but also don’t want to give up the guns for various reasons.

But AFAICT, most of the skirmishes are over very limited laws that make it harder for criminals to get guns, or impose inconveniences that annoy gun owners but don't stop them from being gun owners.

The biggest skirmish is over assault weapons bans, whatever those are. Others are over things which, as you note, impose inconveniences that annoy gun owners and do nothing else. I can’t think of anything the gun controllers have proposed which would make it harder for criminals to get guns, however.

That is the big thing for me. I’ve never seen a proposal that would get guns out of the hands of those who commit the vast majority of gun crimes. Even moreso a lot of the lefties are anti-gun and against putting black people in jail. And to cut the murder rate you would be putting a lot of black people in jail for gun possession. Some of them are probably honest that they would get rid of the entire second amendment. Anything that is proposed might cut down on one crazy mass shooting a year but be a huge annoyance to legitimate gun owners.

But AFAICT, most of the skirmishes are over very limited laws that make it harder for criminals to get guns, or impose inconveniences that annoy gun owners but don't stop them from being gun owners.

I think this is a bad model, dependent on either reframing the 2nd Amendment such that owning a muzzleloader and five rounds, without the ability to carry them anywhere but one specified range and gunsmith, counts. Just of matters currently under consideration before the Supreme Court:

  • NRA v. Vullo (prev here, background here) is about a dedicated effort to use regulatory systems against the speech of a private organization.

  • Gazolla v. United States has a state that bans carry so broadly that its own politicians said people might be able to carry on some sidewalks, requires a permit that didn't exist for semiautomatic rifles, and does 'background checks' for ammunition that don't work (and probably violates federal law doing so) -- which it is not the only one doing.

  • Nichols v Newsom is a complete ban on open carry, at the same time that the state has many jurisdictions ponderously slow or simply nonresponsive for concealed carry permits, as well as a 1000 ft buffer zone for any carry near any school.

  • KCL v. Eighth Judicial is a product liability case that threatens any ammunition, firearm accessory, or related material business.

Even for cases that look like they're about convenience or criminals often are concerned about broader impact:

  • Garland v. VanDerStock, Garland v. Cargill, Guedes v. ATF, and Garland v. Hardin all involve Scary Guns That Aren't Popular, but they also involve the federal government retroactively banning guns or firearm accessories that have been legal (and authorized by the ATF!) for decades, without compensation, and with no limiting principle.

  • Rahimi involves the sort of dangerous criminal that people expect to be a big issue (and is notably brought by public defenders rather than gun orgs), but Garland v. Range is about making it harder for a food stamp criminal to get guns. Previous cases have disqualified a person for a 33-year-old conviction for selling counterfeit cassettes; some state laws have tried to provide increasingly restrict background checks to such a level that New York's current system does not even have a full list of disqualifying traits.

And when you go broader there are far more concerns.

But does overturning the ban on domestic abusers getting guns really do a lot to aid that original purpose?

Unless I'm misremembering, the actual ruling was regarding domestic violence restraining orders. (PDF WARNING). Which is to say, people who have not been tried for or convicted of the crime of domestic abuse/battery, but rather where there's someone who can convince a judge that they are in danger of violence from this person, and thus an injunction to keep that person away is a necessary remedy.

So a person against whom such an injunction is granted is NOT a convicted criminal just because the injunction was granted.

I think this is an important distinction, as it also brings up the need for due process protections. The standards for proving a domestic violence injunction are much lower than for obtaining a criminal conviction, and they're usually considered a civil matter (i.e. it is the person acting on their own behalf, not the state acting on behalf of society, no prosecutor is even involved). An individual can request that a given person be forced to stay away from them if they're a threat, but it makes much less sense for a person to demand that that someone else must sacrifice additional rights in their entirety.

So a law which removes ALL of a person's firearm rights on the sayso of a single person is a pretty serious restriction to impose on somebody who has not been arrested, much less convicted of a crime.

In terms of protecting people's rights from infringement without some proven criminal conduct I think it does help that original purpose, yes.

Indeed, an injunction that takes away a person's gun rights doesn't provide much extra protection to the alleged victim. If that person wants to ignore that restriction and hurt someone, doubtful that piece of paper will stop them. So I don't think victims' safety is hampered much by the firearm ban.

If the state can convict the person of domestic violence crimes, then we're in the world of violent criminals, and all kinds of punishments, including prison and removal of gun rights are on the table.

I accept all of that as good critiques of the law, and perhaps sufficient reason to overturn it if it can't be reformed to meet those objections.

But I don't think it addresses my point, which was that these laws don't affect enough people to meaningfully interfere with the 'state should fear its people' value of 2A.

The whole thing about "fundamental rights" as an ideal is they are supposed to protect every person in an individual level, and not make it so the state can get away with passing unconstitutional laws so long as most of the population will never run afoul of them.

If you were SCOTUS you surely could promulgate a standard setting some threshold. "Unless this law interferes with 5% of the populations exercise of their rights, it is presumptively non-infringing."

I, for one am concerned about the gamesmanship by the states this might encourage (worse than they do already!) And other possible second-order effects.

That's a rather Borkian view. The 2nd Amendment says "..shall not be infringed", not "..shall not be removed completely". While punishing a Klan leader for saying "it's possible that there might have to be some revengeance taken" probably doesn't materially restrict the range of political discourse in the United States, it's still an abridgement of freedom of speech; by the same token some gun law which prevents some people from having arms but doesn't wholesale remove the right is still an infringement of the right to keep and bear arms.

Sure, I was replying to a specific comment making that specific argument.

While yes Rahimi is about a conviction under 922(g)(8) for possession while under a DVRO, it's complicated by Rahimi being an exceptionally unsympathetic individual which makes it politically very easy to paint his defense as a bad thing. The firearms that he is being charged with possessing in violation of the order were discovered while his premises were searched under warrant for other crimes.

DOJ said he has been accused of taking part in at least five different shootings over the course of six weeks between December 2020 and January 2021. Those incidents ranged from Rahimi shooting at someone he’s also accused of selling Percocet to, shooting at another person he cut off in traffic, and firing a gun into the air at a Whataburger because his friend’s credit card had been declined.

The DVRO was issued Feb 2020 for context.

Why is this an argument for disarming him through a DRVO, rather than an argument for jailing him pending inescapable felony conviction and a decade or more in prison?

You have your timeline confused. He was already under the DVRO before those other crimes occurred. While doing the needful in investigating those other crimes they found evidence for an easy conviction of possession of a firearm while under a court restraining order. His defense attorney is using Bruen to dispute that charge specifically. The case before SCOTUS doesn't actually touch those other charges at all.

To clarify the actual argument is whether or not the federal crime of possessing/acquiring a firearm (that interacts with interstate commerce but that's basically a fig leaf) while under a court issued restraining order is constitutional. This gets abbreviated to whether or not a restraining order with its lower standards of proof and potential one-sided issuance is sufficient and constitutional to deny someone their constitutionally guaranteed right to keep and bear arms. Shorter: restraining orders disarming gun owners constitutional yea/nay?

And his record was clean before the DVRO?

I appreciate the correction, and I guess the argument is that under the proposed system, they could have disarmed him when the DVRO went through? But if his record was not clean prior, that just pushes the question back: the sort of person who fires warning shots over a credit card declined at Whataburger is the sort of person who should not be on the streets at all, and this is probably knowable before he shoots up a Whataburger. Disarming him (How? By who? What if he arms himself again?) but leaving him free is an entirely insufficient response.

And his record was clean before the DVRO?

As far the record exists in the case yes. Notionally he should have been disarmed when the DVRO was issued. The practical application of that would require the court/police to be aware of existing firearms (the person asking for the order might be aware, the person accused is not exactly incentivized to bring up their ownership) and then proactively disarm (expensive, dangerous) rather than simply ordering it be done. Keeping in mind that the DVRO was under state court and the possession is a federal offence. In some jurisdictions compliance can also be done by storing firearms at a club/FFL rather than having to sell off/surrender them to the police so even verifying compliance with the order has friction.

It shall be unlawful for any person[] who is subject to a court order that[:] (A) was issued after a hearing of which such person received actual notice, and at which such person had an opportunity to participate; (B) restrains such person from harassing, stalking, or threatening an intimate partner of such person or child of such intimate partner or person, or engaging in other conduct that would place an intimate partner in reasonable fear of bodily injury to the partner or child; and (C)(i) includes a finding that such person represents a credible threat to the physical safety of such intimate partner or child; or (ii) by its terms explicitly prohibits the use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical force against such intimate partner or child that would reasonably be expected to cause bodily injury . . . to . . . possess in or affecting commerce, any firearm or ammunition . . . .

As for acquiring, the only thing stopping a 4473 from going through after the order is in effect is if the court that issued the order is tied into the state background check system or the national one to catch someone lying on question 21.i or the person under the restraining order answering that question truthfully. (All of question 21 on that form is basically an IQ check or cya documentation used to prosecute if you lie on it and then publicly admit to doing things that conflict with your answers on that form as in the recent case of a rather famous failson.) And of course it's entirely possible to acquire a firearm without a 4473 and in those circumstances the ability to verify that someone is not restricted is rather limited.

To get around that second problem some states have made it illegal to transfer a firearm without a 4473. And the way they enforce that has been... catching someone after the fact with incontrovertible proof they violated that law. That proof being rather difficult because most of those universal background check states still have various exemptions for gifts/inheritance/loans to avoid awkward things like having to stop at an FFL to let your friend "possess" your firearm during a day at the range. Yesterday's reasonable exception is today's loophole.

Excellent overview. DVROs can also be imposed as part of a standard practice whenever someone is charged with a DV crime. Defendants are then placed in an awkward position if they're asked whether they're following the court's order. There was court in Washington state that issued a ridiculously long and thorough decision on this issue, ruling that this type of practice was a clear violation of the defendant's right not to testify against themselves.

I'm in a state with universal background checks, and virtually all the guns that get recovered from crime scenes had been reported stolen eons ago. If the cops find a non-stolen gun, they nominally have the ability to retrace its journey by using the serial number to look up the FFL paperwork. In practice, they tend to find absurdly long gaps in the record. The guy with the gun can just say his uncle gave him the gun years ago, and it's near impossible for a prosecutor to refute that. The "family member" transfer exceptions are a huge loophole since a cousin can gift a gun to their cousin who gives it to their cousin etc. and even if that happened 100 times it would still be perfectly legal. Also, most states don't have universal background checks! So someone potentially could just say "I acquired this through a private sale when I was driving through Ohio" [Edit: woops, I was wrong about this h/t @The_Nybbler] and good luck refuting that.

So someone potentially could just say "I acquired this through a private sale when I was driving through Ohio" and good luck refuting that.

By Federal law, you can't legally buy a gun privately in a state you don't reside in. (This law should be overturned by Bruen but of course it will not be.)

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Haha yeah that is about the platonic ideal of the "violent criminal" type who really should not be trusted with firearms and is without a doubt a danger to society in general and the subject of the DVRO in particular.

But there's a quote from Supreme Court Justice Felix Frankfurter that I often recall when reading these decisions:

"It is a fair summary of constitutional history that the landmarks of our liberties have often been forged in cases involving not very nice people."

And that's fundamentally because the common law is forged out of conflict. Someone ran afoul of and challenged a given law's restrictions. And nice, peaceable citizens are far less likely to find themselves in conflicts with the state than... that guy.

So while strategically you want to mount an appeal using the most sympathetic parties possible, in practice the proof that "the law applies to everyone" is to bring up those unappealing miscreants and, holding your nose all the way, defend against the violations of their rights the same as anyone else's.

That the Supreme Court doesn't decide cases based on their empathy for the parties or their victims is a good sign that they're doing their best to be 'impartial.'

Far have we strayed from the origins of LW. Inconveniences are hardly trivial and many of them just coincidentally happen to most inconvenience the point of entry into the funnel of gun culture. Good faith at this point has to be proven and compromise has to involve give and take, not compromising on only taking 50% instead of 100% of the original ask.

I mean, I agree that a priori you can expect systemic inconveniences to have large downstream effects, sure, that's something you should always check for.

But the best way to check for that is to actually look at the data, and as far as I can tell, gun ownership rates haven't dropped in the last 20 years, despite all the measures passed in that timeframe.

It just doesn't look like any of these recent measures have actually decreased gun ownership, so I don't think the argument that they are disarming the citizenry and making them weak to tyrants holds water.

There are lots of other good arguments against these measures, just not that one, AFAICT.

This is a weird metric to focus on. Gun control measures tend to cause gun sales to spike, even as they restrict the citizen's ability to wage war.

Prior to our magazine ban going into effect I bought a bunch of magazines for guns I didn't even own, but might want to in the future.

This is not my area of expertise, but 'People buy more guns and become less able to wage war' seems inherently self-contradictory to me. Could you explain what you mean in a bit more detail?

You’re going to have a much harder time achieving fire superiority with a fixed magazine bolt action rifle than with a detachable magazine semiautomatic.

With inferior firepower, you’ll need far more men to keep the enemy ducking instead of returning fire.

Not the individual you replied to but making things illegal and successfully restricting them neuters what people have access to, even if more people decide to pursue that thing.. Californians can own guns, but some of their options end up being rather pitiful.

Even if a gun law encourages more people to buy guns- the guns they can buy are suddenly rendered more impotent. As an extreme example, if everyone were given a musket a day before guns became impossible to buy legally from then on, more people would have guns, but people's ability to wage war would be hampered quite severely.

The data is garbage. Most of the restrictions are going to be state level and most data is national. Most of the data is self reported surveys about a politically charged topic where people have had a strong incentive to lie since the 90s and unlike an election where you can validate something like the shy-tory effect in polling, there is no ground truth data point to calibrate against. Sales cannot distinguish a new owner from an existing owner buying their 30th firearm. (That first versus 30th is a classic example against waiting periods as implemented since they rarely/never allow someone who has already purchased a firearm previously to opt out which is nonsensical given the justifications for them.) Keep in mind also twenty years ago the AWB was still in effect, while forty years ago it didn't exist and sixty years ago the GCA didn't even exist so firearms could be mail ordered and there were no background checks then. Never mind the demographic changes over decades from urbanization and the downstream cultural effects. I'd wager that relative to sixty years ago there are far fewer gun owners per capita.