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The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

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joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

				

User ID: 174

The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

8 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

					

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User ID: 174

Your position denies agency to the "psycho", and in doing so makes hostage-taking a perfectly reasonable strategy.

No, they were not. That's kinda the point; Iran fired at those who were and those who were not.

The "it" that didn't happen is flattening the curve.

Russia had supposedly been shipping (Iranian-design) drones to Iran, at least before Israel sank their (Iran's) Caspian Sea fleet.

If the GCC acted at all like the Europeans, the Iranian strategy of "if we're attacked, we'll shoot at anyone we can reach" probably would have worked a lot better. The Gulf states would be expelling us, embargoing oil, cozying up to Iran, etc.

Russia of course is happy because less oil through the strait = more oil sales for them.

I shoot at you. In retaliation, you throw a grenade into a crowd. I knew you had the grenade... who is responsible for the grenade damage?

In other words, yes, this is still American hyper-agency syndrome.

Nothing will create a global multilateral coalition faster than Iran indiscriminately making the strait of Hormuz impassible.

You would think. But they did, and the global response was "fuck you, US, for doing this". Then Europe backed off a little and sent a strongly worded statement asking the strait to be reopened and nothing more.

The shadow fleet, of course, has no such restrictions. The West may just be too risk-averse to win a war, because while a war is happening, you do need to continue to do things despite risk imposed by the enemy.

The WSJ published an article yesterday handwringing about the Dubai Airport remaining open. Yeah, like the country should grind to a halt because risks have unavoidably increased. It's that kind of thinking that got us COVID lockdowns, too.

They have the same attitude as Iran -- that America is the Great Satan and the source of all evil, and so anything that weakens it is good.

There aren't any smoking guns around from either side. The smoking guns would be in China, and the Chinese government would have very good reasons to cover up lab-leak smoking guns, but none at all to cover up natural-origin smoking guns (and in fact they've tried to fabricate a few of those).

Initial flattening the curve was a real thing that actually helped

No, it didn't.

Acting like COVID didn't happen? ...tis nonsense.

It happened. We had an extremely nasty (by cold virus standards) cold virus going around. The lockdowns, however, were nonsense, and if we'd done none of them, we'd have had basically the same medical outcome.

how the hell can a sea mine collect a toll?

You mine the area except for a narrow safe passage that you can control with your military -- currently that means passing between Qeshm and Larak Island and then hugging the Iranian coast near Bandar Abbas. Anyone who doesn't pay the toll either hits a mine or gets boarded and/or blown up by your military.

This doesn't work so well for Iran if they lose control of the coastline and islands, however, which I suspect is going to happen in the next few weeks.

It's old news. I'm not sure why it's being re-reported now. It's obviously in Iran's interests to have people believe it mined the straits and the only way through is the safe corridor hugging the Iranian coastline.

If it's true, I suspect it won't be much of a problem once the Marines arrive. The US and Israel have almost certainly had continuous observation of the strait since the war began, and likely know the locations of any potential mines.

Again? This "news" from unnamed sources came out a week ago.

I knew damn well the namesake of my car make was a Nazi when I bought it. If it's OK for Nazis to make moon rockets for Americans, it's OK for them to make cars too.

You're off by one.

Certainly the bottleneck governments impose on medical training has a pile of skulls associated with it, unless you think doctors are utterly useless.

But like I said to KMC above, if you actually want to win the argument and prevent lockdowns next time, you need to stop very easy wins for the other side like being tied to extremely dumb conspiracy theories.

That's not your choice. It's the enemy's. (Or, equivalently, the media's)

Also, quarantines were NOT an effective measure to mitigate infectious disease outbreaks for a thousand years. The original quarantine was a measure against the Black Death. It failed.

No, despite the memes, COVID wasn't the Boomer Doomer; it was the Silent Killer. And the Silent Generation is both too old and too small to have much effect on the inverted population pyramid. COVID did essentially spread unchecked; it didn't "help".

"Common sense" doesn't work. "Common sense" gets you to Darwin's argument -- that the disease can't spread if people aren't near each other, so lockdowns are good.

Could you imagine any post including "...before driving off in his Hyundai." No?

Well, maybe. There was the Rodney King chase, which involved King and two buddies going well over 100mph in his 1988 Hyundai Excel.

What you post was the pravda. The claims that the Very Smart People made to support lockdowns.

They were patent nonsense, and they were always patent nonsense. The hammer and anvil didn't work and could not have, if they disease had followed the models the epidemiologists were using. In fact, it did not, and the epidemiologists continued to use those models (with more and more bizarre parameters, as shown by the Canadian COVID people constantly showing hockey sticks which never materialized). The lockdowns were not a good faith mistake. They were something some people wanted and were willing to manufacture theories and evidence to support, and to stick to long after it was clear none of that was true.

Diamond Princess had 3,711 on board and 14 deaths, a rate of 0.38%. The 0.44% I gave was mortality due to COVID (36 million divided by 8.1 billion), not case fatality.

Hospitals were overwhelmed.... in villages in Italy where the average age was over 80. Some of those images were later recycled and falsely claimed to be hospitals in the US.