domain:philippelemoine.com
ControlsFreak
5hr ago
Yeah, and like I said, before that, we were in the land of memes. I went on to talk about the research that you sort of kind of cited. You didn't actually cite it in enough detail to tell if you were just invoking the meme version of that research or the real version of that research.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5hr ago
Getting food from America might be the cheapest way to do so, but there's no shortage of countries they could import it from.
Dean
Flairless
5hr ago
#Resistance is over a decade old at this point, so more of 'already costed in.'
Dean
Flairless
5hr ago
I forget who said it at the Reddit, but the first-term Trump advice of 'wait a week before forming a strong opinion about anything Trump does or is alleged to have done' remains sound advice. It typically takes a few days to separate the statements from the coverage from the actions, if any, that were being claimed / insinuated.
anon_
6hr ago
Since we're doing followups, as a followup to Trump v JGG discussed below on the proper venue to challenge AEA deportations of alleged TdoA members. There is now a TRO in the correct circuit (5CA, not the DCC) restraining the administration from deporting anyone under the proclamation.
A few points:
- I had discussed with /u/Gillitrut on whether this means individual habeas actions, but it seems like this order applies to the entire class, which is interesting.
- The Supreme Court kicked it to the lower courts with guidance, and they seem to be following it
- The stunt in removing the first batch while the courts were still considering it has bitten the admin in the ass here, since the administration is itself arguing that removal is irreparable (where is suits them, I guess).
- This judge was appointed by Trump
anon_
6hr ago
God it's even more retarded than I imagined.
Coca Cola licenses their brand and recipe to Mexico. I buy a delicious Mexican Coke, but we only count it one way.
anon_
6hr ago
Surely something like "blatant lying on my immigration form" ought to be criminal right?
I think there's a problem here that violations of immigration law are quite varied and you never quite know what people are talking about.
anon_
6hr ago
The people actually responsible for the ideas that lead to vaccines, or to AI advancements, or to new machines, typically only capture a tiny fraction of the value they generate anyway. The rest goes to stockholders and to upper management.
Stockholders benefit because they provide the capital to actually realize the advancement. You can't actually do anything with an idea that leads to vaccines without massive capital investment -- the two are both necessary to gain any benefit.
And the upper management thing is just plain wrong -- executives are paid massively, but are so few in number that they constitute a tiny fraction of corporate spending. Satya Nadella makes $80M at Microsoft, an eye watering amount that pales next to the total HC cost of $10-20B. Even with all his C-suite and all the VPs and directors, it isn't more than a couple percent.
FistfullOfCrows
6hr ago
Piracy is easy to prevent if there really was a desire to stop it. Just start dropping thermobaric bombs willy nilly until you wipe out everyone having the temerity to float a dingy against you. For a less insane aproach just have soldiers with RPGs and Snipers with shoot on sight orders stationed on every ship.
UwU
6hr ago
I do not find this convincing. As mentioned below, Alfredo Orellana isn't an illegal immigrant; he's a permanent resident, and it seems like you already knew this. While permanent residents can be deported under certain circumstances, they possess a legal status that illegal immigrants do not. Conflating these two categories is muddying the waters when discussing immigration policies and deportation, to say the least.
I also don't find it to be good and necessary to deport him in this case. For Orellana, the offense cited is attempting to scam a store out of $200 eight years ago. This was a relatively minor crime, as it was not violent and I don't think it rose to the level of felony (but I could be wrong, not a lawyer). Also, if the only crime the government cited is from 8 years ago, then I think it's very likely that there are no serious more-recent crimes to levy on him, and, given his employment and (claimed) benefit to the community, he's probably rehabilitated. So, should an 8 year-old, minor, non-violent offense be sufficient grounds to deport a legal resident who has since rehabilitated and established a stable life? I say no.
Of course this is all just based on NYT's reporting, and I'm not able to find any other source of information to corroborate it. If it is discovered later that Orellana is actually a drug dealer with a very long wrap sheet, I'll change my mind.
anon_
6hr ago
This implies that the answer would be for everyone else to prohibit any product (imported or otherwise) to display a restriction geographic name.
After all, it's just a question of how it's marketed. Prohibiting French wine-makers from labeling it Champagne isn't a trade barrier?
After a while, those names will just be gone -- who in the US would know what Parmesan is if you can't actually name anything in the store it.
edmund-nelson
Filthy Anime Memester
6hr ago
You know I was going for currently airing shows but that and Redo of healer are much better at showing my point.
Interspecies reviewers had 1 episode of the dub it was extremely sad they didn't go with fully dubbing the anime. It got removed from funimation a company that hosts softcore porn like high school dxd (NSFW) otherwise we'd actually get the most cultured dub from a mainstream anime site.
There are some truly amazingly strange things in that show.
Temporarily becoming trans
BDSM Roleplays
Grandma's I'd like to fuck
Using a girl as a dinner plate
Making sex Golems
A girl making love to a bottle of Mayo
Semi Public sex
and that's just some of the episodes!
JarJarJedi
6hr ago
I've been in Vancouver about 10 years ago, and I remember it as a beautiful city with some pretty scary Methland downtown. Looks like nothing much changed since then.
But if they vote for decades for people who are doing this to them, isn't there a point where one should conclude they want it this way, and thus deserve it this way?
anon_
6hr ago
Standing on your feet for 7 hours a day is not a great job. Everyone I know that did it came home and immediately got drunk or high or both, every day.
I took a crack at answering here. Willingness to veto obviously depends quite a bit on the specific policy being vetoed, not just Trump's approval rating, but I'm guessing Trump's approval rating would have to fall to somewhere between 36% on the very upper end and 28% on the low end for the house republicans to start turning against him in those sorts of numbers.
anon_
6hr ago
An occupying army, outnumbered by its enemies, must resort to signal acts of violence and terror to impose its will on the subject population.
The next step then is that population organizing to frustrate the occupier. That seems bad.
faul_sname
Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.
6hr ago
I probably put the 50/50 around 35% rather than 37%, but it does seem like we're actually pretty close in our assessment of how things are likely to go in terms of approval rating.
That said, the actual number to watch is "how many reps can go against Trump without being voted out". If Trump's approval rating drops to 35% or 37%, that indicates that his enthusiastic approval rating is probably a fair bit lower, which means that at least some republican reps will be in districts where less than half of the republican voters are enthusiastic Trump supporters. I pulled down 10 representatives at random from the House website and then did a vibe check of how Trump-aligned they were and whether they could/would oppose him if he got unpopular.
- Rep. John Carter (R-TX-31): 90/100 Trump alignment, voted to challenge 2020 election results, deep-red district. VERY NO
- Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-IA-1): 65/100 Trump alignment, won by razor-thin margins in a swingy district. YES
- Rep. Brian Mast (R-FL-21): 90/100 Trump alignment, Trump campaign co-chair, voted with Trump positions 90.6% of time. NO
- Rep. Troy Downing (R-MT-2): 80/100 Trump alignment, Trump endorsee, deep-red district. NO
- Rep. Brian Jack (R-GA-3): 95/100 Trump alignment, former White House Political Director for Trump NO
- Rep. Tracey Mann (R-KS-1): 85/100 Trump alignment, election challenge supporter, fundraised for Trump's "election defense fund," VERY NO
- Rep. Sheri Biggs (R-SC-3): 75/100 Trump alignment, won despite opponent having Trump's endorsement. VERY YES
- Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL-7): 80/100 Trump alignment, Trump Defense Board appointee but also military connections, swingy district. POSSIBLY
- Rep. Zachary Nunn (R-IA-3): 70/100 Trump alignment, competitive district. YES
- Rep. Robert Wittman (R-VA-1): 85/100 Trump alignment, wanted to overturn 2020 election. VERY NO
So if Trump became deeply unpopular (and a 35% approval rating is pretty deeply unpopular, even end-of-term Biden only dropped to 38%), I think at least 3 and maybe 4 of these 10 reps would oppose Trump if he was pushing to do something deeply stupid and unpopular. With 218 democrats and 223 republicans in the house, you'd need about a third of republicans to flip... and it looks like about a third of republicans could flip if there was a compelling enough reason (and "compelling enough" is quite a bit short of "literally Hitler").
Even after the market didn't 'plummet' and just went sideways monday & tuesday, some basic news aggregators like yahoo news (don't ask, I'm masochistic and want to see what is being pushed to normie boomers) kept that Reuters article about futures from sunday on the front page for days, just because the headline was so juicy for them as anti-trump fuel, and it seemed like it was applicable at any point in time. People have given some reasonable pushback and alternative explanations, but you're also not wrong here.
SteveAgain
6hr ago
anon_
7hr ago
Their kids will probably make closer to the average, not quite for hereditary reasons but pretty solid.
anon_
7hr ago
Apparently call volumes spiked about 10m before the report.
Maybe this is Trump's plan to balance the deficit -- create massive economics swings and profit by whispering hints about it.
Interesting choice to make as a country then… do we want cheap goods from China but lose access to the American market? Or do we want to be able to sell to Americans?
I'm not sure I follow. A Vietnamese firm can import mostly-finished doo-dads from China, do the final step and then send them off to the US.
TowardsPanna
7hr ago
Why does it give psychological pleasure?
anon_
7hr ago
Fascinating. And I agree about the key at the end. In fact, I would say a key function of party leaders (esp the Speaker) is to insulate their members from having to go on the record with hard votes. Vulnerable members have nothing to gain from voting either way -- against it and they'll anger the MAGA base, for it, and they'll alienate everyone else.
There's as much to learn by what isn't being voted on. For example, no one is voting on a Federal abortion ban these days.
@Glassnoser are you referring to this section?
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