birb_cromble
No bio...
User ID: 3236
birb_cromble
1hr ago
I've been learning about the double top formation recently just to try and understand it better. That said, it really doesn't have much bearing on my investment strategies, since I'm not trading individual stocks, or even really selling them.
birb_cromble
2hr ago
I continue to find myself puzzled by the economic fallout from the current situation in the strait of Hormuz.
Gas and diesel prices have spiked in the last few months, but not as much as I would expect, given the current level of transit out of the middle east. I understand that multiple governments are tapping their strategic reserves to mitigate the shock, but strategic reserves are a finite resource that must be refilled at a future date. An acquaintance in the industry has suggested to me that October is going to be an interesting time for diesel, and I don't understand why that possible future isn't priced in more.
What am I missing here?
birb_cromble
20hr ago
My extended family has a lifted pickup that we all sort of pass around. I think it's in my cousin's name. Literally the only thing we use it for is to go up on the Land. Other than a few bike trails that I've cut, it's completely unimproved. It wasn't lifted until the stream washed out - at that point it was either a build a bridge, lift the truck, or add a snorkel.
The use case for something like that is very small, and the brand new lifted trucks confuse the hell out of me.
birb_cromble
3d ago
Thank you for actually taking time to elaborate on the ambiguity there. I thought I was nuts the first time I read it.
birb_cromble
3d ago
Spending is $3,033.98 lower than the same day last year. The weather continues to delay the expensive home repair.
birb_cromble
4d ago
That's wild. I work at a few venues where weapons are banned for basic common sense reasons (trip hazards, flammable gas, etc), and even there I clock at least a dozen people with poorly concealed pistols each night. Knives are so common we literally have the equivalent of a coat check at one place.
birb_cromble
4d ago
I cannot fathom why anyone would carry a knife with them to a social occasion.
My good man, all I can say to that is don't set foot in the United States. I can't remember the last time I attended a social occasion where somebody didn't have a blade on them. That's not even getting into guns.
birb_cromble
4d ago
Do you know what's driving it up? Last I looked at it, there was some concern about market saturation.
birb_cromble
6d ago
I'm going to immediately suggest a few "gold standard" games, since you missed them the first time around. They're all older, but either have staying power or inform a lot of newer games.
- Portal 2
- Divinity original sin 2 (or baldurs gate 3 if you prefer dungeons and dragons)
- Spec Ops: The Line
- Fallout: New Vegas
- Skyrim
- Deep Rock Galactic
- Terraria
birb_cromble
6d ago
Honest question - what's your number to retire today? Because for me a least, $4 million is fuck you money. Do you really need more?
birb_cromble
6d ago
I think the specific issue is that the DTFs are stiff, hexagonal core strings. It makes it hard to get the intonation right. I'm wondering if the round core flats would help with that, since they tend to be more flexible.
birb_cromble
6d ago
Any bass players here?
I'm making some progress on a project bass and I'm about to put some new strings on. I've always used Labella Deep Talkin' Flats, but for this bass, I'm going to do a BEAD tuning and the DTF B string is terrible.
I've been looking at some of the more exotic options like TIs or Dunlops, but I'm not sure if I want to drop $100 on an experiment. If anybody has tried them, I'd like to know your opinions.
birb_cromble
6d ago
Do any of you have any side jobs or gigs that you do? Do they earn any positive income?
I play in a band, and just for giggles I did the math on today's take. I think that after travel costs, I probably made about $3 an hour. It's still a fun hobby that basically funds itself, but I won't be quitting my day job anytime soon.
birb_cromble
7d ago
I refuse to believe that LinkedIn posts were ever anything but a weird kind of avant garde performance art, so I'm going to say LinkedIn posts.
birb_cromble
7d ago
alleging that my friend was a hack and that the novel was completely AI written for absolutely inane reasons
I kinda get it.
Starting around January 2025, AI writing hit publishing like an atomic bomb. Publishers got deluged with generated submissions, and their entire system collapsed under the strain. Major publishers stopped taking open submissions for months while they were trying to figure it out.
At the same time, the publishers started seeing various court cases around ownership and copywrite of generated works, and now they're scared shitless about what happens if they publish one. (@ToaKraka recently had some links about this)
On the author side, a lot of writers are pissed about it. I mean fucking incandescent. For a long time, it's been a joke that everybody thinks they could be a brilliant author if they just sat down and applied themselves, because they gave such fantastic ideas. The thing is, those ideas are usually half baked, and actually fleshing them out takes a level of bloody-minded effort that few people possess. We call that small group of people "authors". Everybody's gangsta until it's time to do gangsta shit, and everybody's an author until it's time to do author shit. Generative AI let a disturbing number of people play-act at being authors without actually having to put in the time. The thing is, generating passable text with an LLM takes effort too, and it's rare that somebody who won't put in the work to be a human author will put in the work to be a robot herder. They sure will say they're an author though. Good God, they will fucking say it.
At the same time, the publishing industry has swallowed so much of their own bullshit that they're stuck. Publishing has pretty much been captured by what people call "woke" around here. Getting published is wildly easier if you are some form of favored minority. It's reached the point where I have taken to publishing under my partner's name, because it has quintupled my acceptance rate. This is not bullshit. I track it in submission grinder and the numbers are ugly.
The reason this matters is because a lot of the LLM writers are custom tailoring identities and prompt outputs to be "too good to check".
https://www.bona-books.com/news/we-bought-an-ai-story
One chosen story was a steampunk, anti-colonial fantasy, titled “The Machine-Breaker of Aba”. It hit our brief with a perfect intensity that felt difficult to resist. A queer woman, building a machine from scrap metal and rage to destroy her colonial oppressors? Of course we loved it. The author was an emerging Nigerian writer named Bella Chacha.
It's a perfect storm. The industry has backed itself into a corner. The technology is literally designed to barf out content faster than any human can process it. A significant population thinks they can get away with throwing generated content over the wall for money and adulation, and in the short term they're probably right.
The entire community is jumping at shadows and seeing secret robots everywhere. I've gotten it a few times myself because I tend to have a lot of discursive sentences with a shitload of nested clauses. (1)
It sucks for your friend. It sucks for you. It sucks for me. It sucks for the industry. All I can suggest for now is that she develop a thick skin until new norms sort themselves out. I hope it doesn't hurt her too much in the meantime.
- It turns out a few slurs can convince an editor that you're human real quick, if you're willing to take the risk.
birb_cromble
7d ago
I have two acquaintances who have worked at think tanks.
Using those two data points, I think you should work on being a female minority who has really strong opinions about Queering the Narrative In Education.
Once you've done that, maybe get a master's in public policy or something?
birb_cromble
7d ago
Does the Vice President of the United States really not have the power to discover and communicate concrete specifics about something like this?
I hate to be gauche, but he probably enjoys having a non-dead wife.
birb_cromble
7d ago
yet somehow you still need to feed slop to extremely inefficient biological machines to mine minerals for you?
I've always assumed that any species that evolves in the context of a hierarchical social structure is going to go to insane lengths to preserve their status as "not at the bottom of the social hierarchy" when that species goes post scarcity.
It may be inefficient to have bigfoot mine your coal, but at least you can sneer at him for being low humanoid capital while you watch him do it. That has to be worth something.
birb_cromble
8d ago
Where I am, the sun is no longer a disk. It's pretty wild to see if you're not used to it.
birb_cromble
8d ago
I'm staying the hell inside.
birb_cromble
8d ago
How is the Canadian forest fire smoke affecting you?
I feel like I'm in my own personal version of silent hill right now. The sun is almost fully obscured.
birb_cromble
10d ago
Spending is $2,807.93 less than the same time last year. The home repairs got delayed a week due to weather. I assume that this will get worse in the next week or two.
birb_cromble
12d ago
What is your rationale for keeping 2/3rds of it? Do you see more upside?
birb_cromble
12d ago
What would you recommend for a situation like mine? I'm making a fairly large purchase at some unknown future point. The fuzzy timeline means I can handle some volatility, but not "I can ignore it for a decade until things pick up again" volatility. I've been using ultra short term treasuries and other bonds to beat HYSA yields at the cost of some risk, but not so much as equities. This money is very explicitly in its own sleeve - my emergency fund, retirement, and general investments iny taxable account are all set up differently.
I love beans, but I live in an area with incredibly hard water. So far the only option I've found is to use water from the store if I don't want leather-skinned beans. Baking soda works, but it messes with the flavor and texture.
Does anybody here have a better solution?
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