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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 25, 2024

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You could replace Biden with a rock that read "VETO ALL INCOMING BILLS", and I doubt his popularity among that fringe would shift. Not enough for a statistically significant change in the odds of, say, shooting up a post office.

I'm not talking about changing regulations, I'm talking about choosing to launch a no-knock raid on a guy who probably could have been picked up at work with a minimum of fuss. The Feds probably already have assets in a regional airport that could have arrested him! The feds aren't going to increase the odds of shooting up a post office, they're going to increase the odds of another Waco, by aggressively creating standoffs between such people and police.

This is the perennial complaint against many police raids on homes. "You could have just picked him up while he was driving to work or the store." David Koresh liked to jog around town. They could have grabbed him and stuffed him into a van whenever they wanted. But the ATF wanted a showy raid, and they sure as hell got one.

Alright, I muddled the issue re: post offices.

My point was that if Biden took absolutely no actions, there would still be a risk of a Waco. The anti-government fringe would still be roughly as powerful, and I expect anti-anti-government agencies would be just as likely to use a heavy hand. They’ve been doing so for decades, even when it has no route to influencing an election.

and I expect anti-anti-government agencies would be just as likely to use a heavy hand

I don’t think that’s actually true, I think they’re desperately trying to prove they’re doing something about the real terror threat- white guys with right wing views.

What makes you say that?

Here we have an example of the ATF killing someone for pushing the envelope on existing gun laws. He wasn't politicizing it, he wasn't wanted for hate crimes or funding a revolution or, I dunno, being in D.C. a couple Januaries back. This isn't the FBI. No one said anything about terror threats. Other commenters have argued that this fits cleanly into the same strategic ambiguity that the ATF has been abusing for decades.

So why is it evidence of a desperate push?