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Not if the entire FBI says "no he's not" and keeps taking orders from him, while ignoring any "replacement," and whoever at Treasury or wherever prints government paychecks keeps paying him on schedule.
There are over two million civilian Federal employees. If all of those two million plus collectively decide that they are not going to obey, enforce, or even acknowledge any orders or appointments from Trump, what can he do himself, as one mere mortal, to compel them to obey?
If the FBI refuses to take orders from him, he declares the entire FBI fired for insubordination.
If they refuse to leave their physical buildings, he declares them to be trespassing on government property and calls up the DC Police to evict them.
If the DC Police refuse to comply and/or are unable to defeat the FBI (which I admit is quite likely), he declares martial law and sends in the troops to retake the rebel-controlled buildings.
All of this is TTBOMK perfectly within his legal authority as President.
I'm not saying Trump would have an easy time of things, but open defiance won't work (at least not without military buy-in, at which point, well, yes, a coup can override "ink on a page"). It's the cases where things just mysteriously don't happen and there's no clear culprit that are the really-hard ones.
On one hand, I agree that it would take other forms than "nah, we're not doing it", on the other even the first response you list would trigger a wave of international hysteria about the rise of fascism.
Also, you do know that US generals were outright lying to Trump about the number of troops deployed to Syria? Does that count as open defiance?
I presume they didn't tell Trump/the public that they were lying to him - at least, not at the time - so that's not "open" defiance. That's more like the sort of thing that I called "really-hard".
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Right but that's not going to happen. You're actually crazy if you think that's going to happen.
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So at that point you’re talking about a coup?
And if they do that, do you think the military will simply
Yes.
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In practice, perhaps, but far enough from the traditional picture that too many people probably wouldn't see it as such. (And even if they did, there wouldn't be anything they could do about it.)
And then the question becomes “what does the military do.”
The U.S. military is, historically, committedly apolitical and stays out of civilian political matters. A "a very long 240-year tradition of an apolitical military that does not get involved in domestic politics," even.
Where there is an in your face coup? What if the president calls up the national guard?
No, a heroic resistance by dedicated civil service to defend Our Democracy against Trump's authoritarian auto-coup via his illegitimate and undemocratic attempt to replace functional government with corrupt, incompetent lickspittles so he can turn America into a Christo-fascist hellscape.
And then they take a page from Gen. Milley and refuse to assist Orange Man in his attempt to become dictator-for-life of Gilead.
There’s a large national guard deployment at odds with the blue tribe controlled federal government on the Texas-Mexico border right now, it is probably technically illegal, and the federal government doesn’t have the stones to do anything about it.
I am not saying that some kind of American version of the auspicious incident obviously ends with a trump as Caesar. I am saying that the red tribe can make enough of a fight out of it to take the blues down with them at the very least, and it’s an open question whether it works that way in the other direction.
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