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PaperclipPerfector  8d ago (text post)   30194 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of December 9, 2024

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I feel like there's something else going one... or he did go crazy and just got lucky that the first half (the assassination) came off as competent. I'm seeing he still had the gun on him, fake ID, and manifesto hundreds of miles away. That's not just lacking a plan to vanish, that's something else.

Yeah, I think he went crazy. Bayes theorem and all.

Just because it came off as competent based on initial reporting doesn't mean it was competent. He committed murder in one of the most heavily surveilled parts of the country. His entire stay in New York was known and public within 48 hours of the murder, and he was caught within 4 days. The only thing competent about this murder was that he wore a mask and nondescript clothing and left the area fairly quickly. Just because he wasn't a complete moron doesn't make him a criminal mastermind.

But if he wanted to be caught - why didn't he just stay in place.

Assuming infinite competence, didn't this result produce much more press than getting caught at the scene? Isn't there an argument for exactly this scenario as an ideal outcome?

I think if you shot someone where he did you’d 95% expect to be caught within 20 minutes. Nevertheless, he had some kind of vague plan in case he could escape, and once he committed the murder, instinct kicked in and he successfully fled Manhattan.

I will say, having this information, that it IS actually possible to commit a daylight murder in Manhattan and manage to escape before being tracked down has made some of my more fanciful assassination schemes seem more plausible.

Surely it was just before daylight?

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