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Wouldn't it still be the case that justices need to retire before their replacements take their places? And that Alito/Roberts/Thomas would not retire before the courts determined whether or not the law was constitutional?
Constitutionally, there's nothing specifying 9 seats. That's only by statute and convention. In the senior justice model, they don't actually lose their seat, just the ability to do anything useful with it. There wouldn't be anything stopping Congress from appointing more justices except norms.
I imagine there would be a constitutional challenge—no idea how Alito, Roberts, Thomas would be treated in the mean time. I'll assume the court rules it's unconstitutional, though I'm not sure whether they would. It would still be the case that any new justices appointed would remain. The main advantage that any swift challenge would bring would be to make it obvious to everyone that they'd be court-packing, making it politically harder to appoint more justices.
I think there is a solid separation of powers argument due to long standing practice. With that said, who has standing?
I guess anyone who loses before the new court? But if that’s the case, why would the new court rule for the loser?
The fifth circuit will invent standing.
That being said, democrats’ past tinkering with the rules of American democracy has not tended to work in their favor. Pretty good chance this backfires and democrats skeet shot the functioning of the constitutional government over abortion for nothing.
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Sure, I get that. But you guys have the whole thing where new statutes get stayed when they are challenged in court. So in this scenario where the Democrats pass a bill allowing them to appoint new justices, that new law gets challenged and reviewed before it goes into operation, right? So there wouldn't be any new appointments prior to the bill being found unconstitutional, unless I've misunderstood something.
Besides which, the law as it stands says it's 9 justices. So even if appointments get made, if the new law is overturned then you go back to that. So in a scenario where Alito/Roberts/Thomas were given "senior status" and new appointments were made, then the law gets found unconstitutional... then you have 12 justices and the law says there can only be 9. So the first most obvious thing is not to allow that circumstance to occur in the first place, and the second most obvious thing is to invalidate the new appointments made under an unconstitutional law.
True, these are relevant details. My gut is that since appointments are a constitutionally provided thing, and the statute is merely federal law, they couldn't be stopped from appointing people, nor would their appointments be dependent on the validity of the statute. But I really don't know; good point about a stay.
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Generally, when striking down laws, SCOTUS only strikes down the part that's unconstitutional. The hypothesized law would look something like this:
The point Felagund is making is that #2 would be struck down but #1 is not unconstitutional and would thus stay.
I guess that's possible, but it would depend on the technical language of the bill, which we don't have. It could also end up being written in a way where that potential outcome doesn't occur. And by the time it made its way through the judicial process it could end up being the President after next who first gets to use it. Seems a bit early to be declaring it an end-run around court-packing norms just yet.
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Standing would be an issue
Surely Thomas, Alito, and Roberts would have standing.
Though of course they would need to recuse themselves from the case if it got to SCOTUS which creates its own complications.
The ones who would inherit the power vacuum caused by recusal would, by the same logic, need to recuse themselves, leaving nobody.
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