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PaperclipPerfector  10mo ago (text post)   4079 thread views

Small-Scale Question Sunday for January 7, 2024

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Re ru-ua war: Anatoly Karlin tweeted "The war is substantially enabled by couch observers who fantasize about 10:1 ratios and believe the last pigger/orc is about to croak any any day now."

https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1742557887472316916#m what do you think about this? Looks like kill ratio is not far from 1:1

Honestly they’ve been that way the entire time. There’s really no one with real, practical experience fighting a war like this in which the side they’re on is fighting an invading army with significant firepower. We’ve generally been the initiators and the conquest phase has been very very quick — rarely over 3-4 months. That isn’t what will happen in Ukraine even if they eventually win (which is in doubt I think).

This means that most people making the decisions are operating on the cultural assumption about invasion, which is that right means victory. It’s a weird thing to me that so many seem to just assume that because Ukraine was invaded, that it is destined to win and take back all the territory it lost and that since Putin invaded he’s destined to lose.

Karlin is a hyperpartisan and I would put as much stock into his takes as NAFO posters claiming 1:10 and that "Russia will collapse any day now".

What do you mean by "hyperpartisan"? He has changed his political id from Russian nationalist to something other... thing? EHC, woke symphatizer? I'm asking about this specific take, not his other takes.

I used to like some of his unz archive posts. Remember spending reading his blogs for a whole day at some point when I was forced to sit with my smartphone unable to do anything else. But the guy is essentially an unserious alienated twitter brained weirdo. His attachment to Russian nationalism was cringe and fake. His current attachment to gay AI apocalypse is even worse. He must be taken as a prime example of why introvert smart guys need to eventually cut off parasocial interactions, find a woman and make some kids.

He must be taken as a prime example of why introvert smart guys

??? Karlin is extrovert extraordinaire, of the hustler/preacher subtype. Introvert would not chose life of digital nomad, introvert would not relocate to the other side of the world on a whim, introvert would definitely not volunteer to evangelize his (exteme and unpopular) political ideology (or ideologies).

Karlin was always transhumanist, he supported Russia because he believed it is beginning of new supertechnological supercivilization. Once it was obvious that Russia is not aspiring Atomic Space Empire, but another Eastern European shithole, he dropped it like hot potato.

It was never about any Russian historical legacy or care of actual Russian people (remember how he was gloating how elderly vatniks and sovoks from the villages refused to be vaxed and died of COVID.)

As someone with UK passport, US green card and big stash of crypto, AK was one of these people who genuinely could be what they want to be and he picked "Russian" identity for a while.

Now AK is safely out of Russia, he is back to his previous self.

For someone like AK, it was never anything than game.

Imagine new, long awaited and bigly hyped game comes out. You download it and start playing.

You start playing as Orc, because orcs are cool.

First you notice that orcs and whole orc land are hideously ugly. Then you find that gameplay is unbalanced and story line makes no sense at all. Finally, when you turn things and start winning, and the stupid orcs start fighting each other once again, you give up and begin new game.

Start again as Elf. At the beginning, you pick your gender from 72 options and eagerly start playing. It couldn't be worse than Orc game!

If you look at the tone of his posts for the last year or so he's writing less to shed light (which was his former goal) and more to anger the people who formerly followed him. He's a troll and deserves no sincere interaction, regardless of one's stance.

He has changed

Come on man.

I'm asking about this specific take, not his other takes.

They are not independent. Especially not in this kind of gray area.

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