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Culture War Roundup for the week of September 2, 2024

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I broadly agree with your points, but I think you fail to take into account just how much your perception of Trump's changes are already "through the goose" by the time you form them. You're trying to form opinions of how Trump is acting, but you're really forming opinions about how Trump's actions are being reported and presented to you. This is true regardless of where you get your information from, unless you are basing it purely on personally attending Trump rallies.

-- Trump "leaks" are still a constant feature of the more TRS themed accounts I see on Twitter, and on the rare occasion I wander onto Slate or listen to a libtard podcast. The "leaks" have always been low quality information, frequently entirely falsified and often stretched beyond recognition. "Trump reportedly 'furious' about JD Vance pick foisted on him by sons." Without even lying, that anonymous source can be exaggerating a single sarcastic comment about Vance, exaggerating the role the sons played in choosing Vance, etc. Which the writer again exaggerates to the limit of journalistic integrity. The leaks haven't stopped, but they're being reported less in mainstream press.

-- While they backslide (see the recent Arlington kerfuffle) the Cathedral seems to have realized collectively that there is no new scandal that can really harm Trump or help Harris. The public has been immunized from Trump scandal, he's been accused of so much and proven to do so much that there's no new act of crassness, tastelessness, selfishness, that can move the needle. Trump's frequent outbursts would have been reported as Scandals in 2016, like when he seemed like he was cheering on the guy who tried to break into the press-box at a rally and then went into a bizarre soliloquy about two flags forming angels wings as he was shot at. That didn't really make the news for long this year, but he's still doing it. The scandals and bizarre behavior haven't stopped, they're just being deemphasized in reporting on the topic.

-- Trump fans seem grimmer. In 2016 Trump fans were having fun, in 2020 they were angry, in 2024 they mostly seem grimly determined. In 2016 they were playing, in 2024 it's a death march. Where in 2016 bizarre Trump comments were memed to the moon, in 2024 there's a half-hearted effort to defend it followed by a shrug and "I'm voting for him anyway because something-something groomers." So you're not hearing the bizarre sayings get amplified by his fans.

All of those points are notable in themselves, and point to a changing environment, but it's not all down to a rate-change in Trump's behavior. He is still perfectly capable of everything he did in 2016 and 2020.

and on the rare occasion I wander onto Slate or listen to a libtard podcast.

C'mon, man. You know better.

You're right, I should have specified the podast, in my mind I was referring specifically to Pod Save America or Political Gabfest, but as written it's too broad.

-- Trump fans seem grimmer.

This idea has crept into my mind over the last week. I think MAGA is limping on fumes (to mix some ambulatory metaphors). MAGA folks in 2016 had energy and vitality. Today, it feels like embattled victim mentality and a kind of Hold The Alamo grim determination.