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I think it probably would have helped, actually. It's the moderate position. I assume you win more undecided independents by being pro-Israel than you lose far-left by being pro-Palestine.
And Shapiro's the governor in what's currently the most important state.
If Trump could get Kamala out of the basement, with Shapiro out of the picture, Israel and Harris's pro-Palestinian position would be a good line of attack. In addition to helping directly in the Philadelphia suburbs, it would force her to defend her flank in safe states. But this isn't that kind of election; Kamala need merely do nothing and she wins with the media just repeating "Kamala is great. She is much better than Orange Man. You should vote for her again and again".
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The fear of being too pro Israel isn't so much about votes as a first order effect, it's fear of protestors>>>confrontations>>>viral video of riot cops pepper spraying teenagers>>>losing votes.
Not that many Democrats are truly pro Palestine from the River to the Sea, though I think the Israelis have overshot just how much margin for brutality they have. But Democrats naturally identify with young antiwar protestors at an emotional level, in the same way Republicans identify with churchgoers or families. Protestors, even ones they don't approve of, getting pepper sprayed or beaten or shot with rubber bullets is going to cause problems for Harris.
It is about votes if you need to win Michigan.
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