Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
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User ID: 551
One set of people got the non-transitory nature right without using any sophisticated modeling or "genuinely trying to figure out what's going on". The other set got it wrong while using sophisticated modeling and "genuinely trying to figure out what's going on". This did not lead me to conclude that causes of inflation post-2020 were hopelessly complex, but that people exercised motivated reasoning and recruited a bunch of pointless complexity rather than just acknowledge the obvious conclusion in front of them.
The whole thing feels like the midwit meme brought to life.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
The retort doesn't work on people that aren't already sold. If you buy into general left-leaning positions, the relevant dynamic isn't about how long someone's been there, it's about the oppressor-oppressed axis, and you're the oppressor even if you're residing in the homeland of your ancestors.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Justice Jackson has already shown herself to be an unsophisticated jurist who simply votes for whatever seems Wokest, and Harris would appoint more of the same.
I don't think this is true. The only time I genuinely couldn't comprehend where she was trying to go in terms of jurisprudence was her questioning in Murthy v Missouri. Aside from that case, she seems fine to me in oral arguments and writes opinions that I just disagree with. She's not stupid or unsophisticated, she's just wrong. Do you have an example of what you're referring to?
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Longer than you can stay solvent, as they say.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Man, this thread is an advertisement for the utility of the concept of infohazard. All I can think is that you would have been much, much happier if you'd simply absorbed the completely false polite fictions around intelligence and heredity that so many people believe.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
My guess is that the myth started the way that @cjet79 mentioned below - the majority of alcoholic drinks that have been consumed do have quite a bit of sugar (or simple carbs that are readily converted to sugar in the case of beers). If you're drinking cran-vodka or wine or beer in any appreciable quantity, you're getting quite a bit of sugar with it. The calories from the ethanol itself are obviously not going to help either.
If someone doesn't want to change their total EtOH intake but does want to cut the sugars and even maintain a keto diet, they can switch over to sipping neat whiskeys instead of pounding beers. I would also say that for anyone that isn't into alcoholism territory, this will tend to downregulate the amount of alcohol consumed pretty naturally. It's so, so easy to just sit there and drink 4 IPAs over the course of 4 hours watching TV shows and doing nothing. Pouring up four whiskeys feels weird in a completely different way. The high alcohol content makes the whole thing seem much more clear and intentional rather than it blending into the background and feeling the same as just drinking some tasty soda that happens to have alcohol. So, yeah, this one weird trick will tend to cut a lot of drink calories out of people's diet - just drink hard booze neat.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Yep, it was a new Gen 2 when it first came out. Had a corporate discount, so it was $800. So cheap I couldn't afford not to buy it! That and a buddy got one, so I had to keep up.
I like the data, but I mostly got it for the actual running features. The GPS accuracy is superb, the battery life is long, and the running dynamics provide some cool data (e.g. stride length, cadence, estimated power including wind, elevation of stride). The AMOLED screen was the nicest they were likely to have for quite some time, so on something that I wear all the time I valued that a fair bit.
Overall, not something I would recommend dollar for dollar unless running or another sport where GPS data is important. A huge amount of what you're paying for is Garmin's high-quality GPS. Their software used to suck, but it's now excellent as well and allows really nice integration with other platforms.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
A Garmin epix watch. I would say the scores generally match my felt experience pretty closely. It's neat to see how quick you drop down to deep sleep when you're healthy but physically exhausted from the day.
It also gives HRV data and a stress score that's largely HRV derived. The data over the weekend was wild in general. On the flip side, it was actually nice to see some objective measurement of just how bad off I was dropping to help reassure me that I don't really need to do anything other than lie there, drink fluids, and get better when I get better.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
I'd always figured that if our Jewish friends can't figure out how to get along with the Mormons than I will change my mind about the neighborly qualities of Arab Muslims.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Not really. The main potential culprit I can think of was some deli ham, but I cooked it, so it's not the most likely offender. If there was some obviously sketchy choice made, I'd probably be rethinking that approach! All I can think is that I must have screwed up and contaminated something.
I have previously commented that I am sloppy about food safety and have never experienced anything that I would consider a meaningful bout of food poisoning. I am here to report that this is no longer the case! As of last Friday, I have become acquainted with the joys of severe gastroenteritis. The vomiting and diarrhea, those I expected to be the case from the reports and I wouldn't surprised. A fever, sure, that's to be expected. The other stuff shouldn't be a surprise if you reason through it, but wow, much worse than I thought! Other adverse effects:
- Sleep deprivation, with my watch recording my lowest Sleep Score ever with only 3 hours of sleep and no deep sleep or REM.
- Absolute exhaustion, owing to that lack of sleep.
- Loss of equilibrium, sketchy balance on the occasions that I did activities as challenging as moving from the bed to the couch.
- Being absolutely disgusted by almost any food or beverage idea for a solid two days and almost every food and beverage option for a third day.
- More exhaustion, this time from not being able to consume a meaningful amount of calories.
I still have the lingering effects from the general gut health damage and lack of nutrition. Weighing myself this morning (well rehydrated at this point, so not at the worst of things) I'm about 8 pounds lighter than I was on Friday. Very bad, actually! On the bright side, this morning was also the first time I felt my strength starting to return and I was able to just do a normal walk with the dog. After days of being unable to summon the strength to go downstairs, that's good progress!
On the whole, I'm not sure that it's quite sufficient to make me rethink my approach to food safety, but I'll say that it was a bad enough bout that it resets how I think about food poisoning and level sets just how unpleasant I would expect it to be.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
I used to listen to Carolla's podcast damned near daily when I worked in lab, it one of the first podcasts I'd ever really listened to. At some point, it got a little repetitive, and I started to feel like he inserted too many right-wing talking points and was kind of a hack about it. A decade later, it turns out that as a California guy a couple decades older than me, he'd just had more time and opportunity to get sick of the bullshit and that in due time I would be every bit sick of people like Gavin Newsom and Antonio ViaRetardo as Carolla was.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Alas, my half serious suggestion of settling the Zionists near Zion National Park and having them share the American Zion state with the Mormons was never considered a real option.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
I actually previously associated it with Green communists. I was amused to find that there is probably a lot of overlap between these people and the Hamas enthusiasts among the Western crowd.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
I suppose in this case I would say that it seems like the political symbol in question "deliberately skirts the border of comprehensibility."
Do you think so? I would say that the meaning is pretty comprehensible to both his allies and enemies even if it's obscure to neutral bystanders that aren't obsessive weirdos about things happening thousands of miles away. As one of the obsessive weirdos, I would certainly interpret the natural meaning as "this whole thing belongs to Palestine".
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Yeah, on average.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Anecdote, but I absolutely despise her. I think she's a genuinely terrible person, combining vacuousness and disinterest in personal conviction with a thirst for power. The only thing she truly believes is that she should be in charge. I would be surprised to find that others with my general inclination think differently.
The one caveat would be that I think I would probably get along with her just fine in person, but that's true of many terrible and destructive people.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
As some anecdata from someone that drinks more than I should often enough to have some data, four of five drinks causes me no noticeable ill effect the next day provided that I cease drinking at a reasonably early hour. The negative effects either kick in at higher levels of drinking or from drinking closer to bedtime. I wear a good sports watch that tracks heart rate, stress level, heart rate variability, and sleep quality, and it confirms that basic understanding. Stress and heart rate spike in the timeframe immediately after drinking, drop back to baseline after a few hours, and the impact on sleep quality only occurs if I go to bed when stress and heart rate are still elevated.
This isn't a claim about organ or metabolic health, of course, just relaying some anecdata on short-run effects.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
The N/A stuff is dramatically better than it was even just a few years ago, which should really help.
Another in between option worth a mention is just cutting down to things like All Day IPA that are still pretty enjoyable at 4% ABV. This obviously isn't actual sobriety, but it's a meaningful reduction in alcohol and calories if the norm is heavier beers.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Trajectories aren't actually inevitable and the outcome here is underdetermined. Many people just drink a bit too much and never really go beyond just drinking a bit too much.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
I noticed this yesterday as well. My wife was working from home, so we grabbed lunch together, and I just could not shut the fuck up about the Kremlinology of what exactly Nancy meant by the "easy way or the hard way" and the third shooter in Butler, and all sorts of other esoteric bullshit. All of this is interesting, but at some point, I need to just drop it and talk about what toy we're going to get the dog instead. My wife's patience for my babbling is near infinite, but I must be testing it at this point.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Relatedly, whatever the legal guilt or innocence of Arbery and his killers, I do feel worse for a crazy lady that got gunned down in her own home than a guy that was likely casing a neighborhood. If we're ranking relative badness of shoots, the legal distinction between the shooters being police or clumsily constructed posses isn't going to change my mind much about which victim is more sympathetic.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
Sure, "threaten" might only imply some future condition. Pulling a gun on someone and screaming that you will shoot them in the fucking face goes considerably beyond a mere threat.
Walterodim
Only equals speak the truth, that’s my thought on’t
3mo ago
I’m not clear how that makes advancing seem tactically sensible.
Contra @Amadan and @100ProofTollBooth, I'll say that I pretty much agree with the core of this post and I don't think it's content-free. The invective is obviously way too far over the top for this forum, but yeah, there really is a serious problem with the HRization of everything under the sun from people that have absolutely no experience with ever building anything, leading anything, or even producing anything that people would purchase of their own free will. We can see this everywhere from politics to corporations, where people earnestly believe that the relevant criteria for rising ranks is checking a bunch of boxes for titles held, HR style, rather than having actually accomplished anything of note. Having people that have never risked a penny of their own money rise to the top of the power structure isn't just accepted, it's outright lauded by people that see their own personal failures as indications of good moral character.
Sohrab Ahmari, a guy that a lot of people on the right respect as an intellectual, believes things like this:
The absolute conceit that people who have accomplished so much less than a guy like Musk to just blithely refer to building empires of productivity and innovation as "a few good financial bets" demonstrates to me that these guys have absolutely no concept of what it takes to build a company. They're pampered, spoiled brats that truly believe that their academic credentials and journalistic output aren't just as good as actually creating value, they're better. They have fastidiously avoided taking any meaningful personal risks and have managed to imbue that cowardice with an air of smug superiority because they didn't make their money doing something as vulgar as making "a few good financial bets".
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