The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
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User ID: 174
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
9d ago
yet I'm increasingly falling in the delenda est camp just because the Israelis have proven time and time again that they are unwilling to compromise on their monomanic obsession to capture and subjugate
The Israelis withdrew from the Sinai; they withdrew from Gaza as well.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
Counterpoint: two really huge bombs on Japan made them surrender unconditionally
Almost unconditionally; they insisted on keeping Emperor Hirohito, although this was not couched as a condition. Fair enough since it was Hirohito's personal intervention which resulted in the surrender.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
A nuke detonated anywhere on earth would kill millions.
Certainly not. Hiroshima and Nagasaki together killed maybe a quarter-million. Bigger bombs' damage doesn't linearly scale with kilotonnage (which is one reason many small bombs became more fashionable). Tel Aviv and Haifa together have less than a million people, and while nukes are big, nothing Iran would be likely to build could wipe out an entire metro area.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
They didn't have a grassroots Wahhabist movement because Wahhabism is Sunni and they're Shiite. They did have a popular Islamic revolution which resulted in the current regime.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
They can close it with their navy, which would have a lifetime measured in days if not hours I expect. They can fire on ships from shore, but any fixed installations won't last long so they'll be left basically being the Houthis of the Straits... except facing a lot more opposition. They could mine the straits, but minesweepers exist. And it's quite possible any minelaying will be met with active opposition. But if they really want to do it and are willing to take a lot of damage, they probably can -- it wasn't possible to remove the Houthi capability without invasion. So if Iran is determined I think they could make this end up with boots on the ground, which would definitely be a loss for the US, though a bigger one for them.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
There is always possibility that iran has backup facility and some sort of top secret clandestine protocol that they will pull all of the enriched stuff to it with first signs if danger. And they already did it two weeks ago
It seems unlikely that they could do this without being seen by Israeli or US assets. You can hide stuff underground but when you start moving it, it's visible.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
Has the USG directly confirmed the use of MOP?
Yes. 14 MOPs from 7 B-2s. I don't think any bomb damage imagery has been released, however.
The X community seems to doubt they were used.
Watching the DR apply the same "America worst" logic formerly typically used by the antiwar left is certainly amusing.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
I find it very hard to believe that the consequence of a not-even-third-tier power nuking Paris would be Gaddafi being allowed to stay in power.
The consequence of Gaddafi nuking Paris is "no more Gaddafi", but also no more Paris. The consequence of Gaddafi being able to nuke Paris if the alternative is going to be "no more Gaddafi" anyway is quite a different matter.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
is your claim the organization which controls syria's only connection to al qaeda is it's controlled by the emir of al queda branch and that this means they're not al qeada?
I mean it is not al-Qaeda itself, though it is affiliated. And I don't think al-Sharaa answers to al Qaeda.
bombing and killing al qaeda leaders didn't beat al qaeda and it's not the reason they're not longer a threat to the US
So you say.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
I'm saying the only way you "know" COVID vaccines work is through information provided by the same institutions which were involved in the lying and censorship.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
Wishcasting, as has been going on with respect to Iran since the waning days of the Reagan administration. Most likely they're reaching a non-representative set, with religious Iranians being more likely to eschew their survey. Islam tends to the more strict, not less, from the bottom up; any moderating influence comes from a "degenerate" (or Westernized) elite, which Iran lacks (largely because they killed them or drove them out in the Revolution)
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
alqueda controls syria
Well, an organization controlled by a guy who was once part of al-Qaeda in Iraq controls Syria. The terrorist-to-statesmen pipeline isn't such a bad thing; with some notable exceptions (like another AQI successor, ISIS), it usually calms them down. Ask the Sons of Liberty.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
Who would Gaddafi have nuked? France?
He could have, and that might well have been enough to keep NATO out of it.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
The Houthis haven't attacked commercial shipping since December and haven't attacked US ships since the bombing campaign.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
It did work on Al Queda; they're no longer a threat to the United States. It won't work on Hamas because Israel would have to kill basically every Palestinian before they got to a point where the remaining ones won't re-form something like Hamas, but I don't think Iran's enmity of the US, while deep, is quite that deep. Iran's enmity with Israel might be, though.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
Start the war during the Lunar New Year when Seoul is nigh-deserted, problem solved.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
And supplying the Houthis with weapons to attack shipping in the Red Sea.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
AOC has concluded that a president ordering an airstrike without congressional approval is grounds for impeachment. Fetterman thinks it was the right move. Both are, I suppose, on brand.
I suppose AOC would be (tautologically) right if she had the votes, but she doesn't. As I read it, the War Powers Act only requires notification after the fact in this case.
On the one hand I don't think Iran has provided the US sufficient reason to attack them (at least not one that's recent and public). On the other... eh, Iran's government sucks and I'm not going to lose sleep over it.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
11d ago
Eventually, either Iran ruling committee #133 decides to surrender or the central government looks like a pathetic clown show and the nation disintegrates.
"The nation disintegrates" isn't necessarily a desirable outcome.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
11d ago
If you don't know who they are, why do you believe them?
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
11d ago
A libertarian believes in freedoms other than just unrestricted abortion rights.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
11d ago
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
11d ago
If you separate the pro-vaccine people from the prestige of their institutions -- the ones which were doing the censoring -- for what reason is there to give them any credibility?
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
12d ago
Ah, I had not realized (or remembered) that Lord Kelvin wasn't born that.
Serfs these were not, but no one in this forum could be said as being of "serf stock,"
Oddly, some people in my family talk about us being "good peasant stock", but it isn't actually true; they were shopkeepers and skilled laborers in the old country.
No, this was the bill that made it a Federal legal requirement that women could get credit in their own name without the signature of a husband or male relative. The idea that the opposite was universally the case before 1974 is a recent fabrication.
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