FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
And every gimmick hungry yob
Digging gold from rock n roll
Grabs the mic to tell us
he'll die before he's sold
But I believe in this
And it's been tested by research
He who fucks nuns
Will later join the church
User ID: 195
There's two different kinds of fraud. You have a fake election: there are no votes you just make it up. That can be done quickly. Then there's a real election where you insert enough fake votes to make up the difference at the end, that has to be done slowly.
The incentives are mixed, they want high circulation of their articles and they want people to pay for them, price discrimination not total lockout.
Ok and?
Women criticize ex boyfriends constantly and absurdly. I was confused by this, when I was in high school. Melodramatic nonsense.
You're probably reaching back to something like LBJ's Texas Senate race, where the candidates and their machines would hold counties in reserve to play against each other like trap cards, with each county having the margin needed to counter your opponent's reveal until they ran out.
Vote blue no matter who was only ever a hammer used to convince leftists to moderate, never a tool used to make moderates move left.
What does "real" even mean when you're asking someone's ex-gf questions about them?
The baseline expectation should be that if you ask a woman about her ex-bf, she'll describe him as some mix of narcissist/manchild/abusive/idiot/loser. Anything positive is actively surprising.
This is the level of attack ad the anti-Platner team is running: ex-gfs interpreting bad jokes in the most aggressive way possible.
He's the real life Almost Politically Correct Redneck:
Rape is about power, therefore I want to rape another man if he fucked with me, for the power.
Considering he easily has the resources to make this move more surreptitiously if he wishes, I would say that him making it so public belies it being a move motivated by fear.
Certainly, which means that by making it publicly and stating that part of the reason has to do with the state of the US vs the state of Argentina, he's making a deliberate action to make that statement.
I feel like there's a certain tone that attacks on candidates take, you saw it with Trump and with Mamdani, that goes something like "You aren't allowed to like this guy." We'll see if the pattern holds with Platner.
Why is Peter Thiel Moving to Argentina?
Some Irresponsible Speculation
Billionaire Investor and ideologue Peter Thiel has publicly announced that he is moving to Argentina. Among a grab bag of explanations that included nuclear war and AI risk, along with the obvious implications of the California wealth tax on his residency, Thiel reportedly was concerned about the political direction of the United States. Given Thiel's ties to much of the American political right, what does this tell us? What should our Bayesian update be from this information?
Some possibilities:
-- Get the obvious out of the way: Nothing ever happens. This is a non-event, Thiel is moving for publicity or tax reasons, and the announcements are just him engaging in punditry.
-- Alternatively, none of this may indicate anything because Thiel himself might be stupid/mistaken/prejudiced/insane.
-- Thiel is in deep with MAGA, but thinks that the wind is changing direction, the MAGA project has failed, and he doesn't want to be left holding the bag in America when the left comes back into power. This seems like a sub implication of the action even if he doesn't believe it, because his very act of fleeing and blaming the political climate will tend to reinforce the idea that MAGA has failed and increase the odds of it failing.
-- Alternatively, Thiel thinks MAGA will be triumphant, but Thiel is on the outs with The Donald, and he is concerned about being targeted after Trump turns on him. Moving to Argentina is an attempt to hedge risk.
-- Thiel is a true believer in the Argentine project, and thinks Millei-ism will succeed beyond all our wildest dreams.
It feels like something big for Thiel, who is intelligent and well informed if perhaps nuts, to make this move and publicly announce it is motivated by the state of the union.
I mean who cares? The annoying thing about this is getting dragged into a Trump discussion when it's a "$100 bills aren't big enough" discussion we need.
@FiveHourMarathon Did you ever end up tackling your 100-miler?
I have not. I'm still hoping on doing a 100k this spring, but my pregnant wife has been much less tolerant of hobbies that involve me leaving for hours during time I could be spending with her. Which is, yeah, totally reasonable. But complicated by her disjointed sleep patterns, which no longer allow me to easily sneak out at 5am and lose nothing.
The thing that broke the timeline was the Cubs winning the world series and Leicester winning the EPL. After the writers paid off those storylines, it was clear the series had jumped the shark.
The past is a foreign country, they do things differently there, and like any foreign country Symbols of wealth aren't necessarily easily translated. The great Agatha Christie quote applies:
I never thought I would be so rich as to afford an automobile, or so poor as to be unable to afford a maid.
I think we're overdue for a $250 bill. From 1969 when the $100 became the largest banknote, we've seen inflation to where the $100 in 1969 was worth about $800 today.
Large cash transactions are becoming difficult. If you sell an old car for $5,000 cash, just the act of accurately counting to 50 is difficult and introduces easy honest errors, which are impossible to distinguish from easy dishonest errors. Counting to 20 is much more reliably accurate.
A $100 bill in an inside jacket pocket or folded up in a cubby in your car were enough to get gas dinner and a cheap motel room in an emergency when I was a kid, now it's barely enough for the gas depending on your vehicle. A single $250 bill would serve a similar purpose today.
So it should be a Donald. After he's dead.
That’s kind of like blaming South Carolina for the Civil War.
So, basically accurate.
My prediction going into COVID in March 2020, which might have been on here but I'm not sure, was that 500,000 was my over/under number. Fewer dead than that and Trump would win, more dead than that and Trump would lose.
You also have a lot of old people who didn't vote at all for various reasons. Fear of getting sick, inability to get to the polls, etc. This didn't cross over perfectly with politics as most people think, probably closer to 70-80%, which is a vast supermajority but not 100%, there were also a lot of Republicans or Dale Gribble covidiots out there.
It was a weird year where everyone and everything was weird, so it's easy to write off the result as not terribly indicative of what's going on. Like a baseball game with multiple rain stoppages.
x to doubt. He eats a lot of McDonald's and thinks that cardio is actively bad for you.
And much like Joe Biden, he might be alive but he will not be 100% of himself throughout his sunset years.
So why amid generalized disaster is Trump scoring so many primary victories?
My on the ground experience of Republican primaries locally is this: Hardcore MAGA controls the Republican party in a holding company structure. Hardcore MAGA voters make up too much of the primary electorate to make any other path practically possible, if the MAGA vote is against you even where they don't make up a majority you'd have to run the table on the remaining electorate to possibly win, and you're not going to do that.
So even if the electorate as a whole turns against Trump, or the Republican primary electorate does, it doesn't matter if the 35% approval floor he still has is an insurmountable challenge to defeat in the primary.
This feels like the male Feminist version of They Very Much Did Kill Jesus.
There's never been a draft in recorded history that wasn't opposed, protested, dodged, avoided, manipulated. People very much did bat some eyes during the Civil War in NYC, lynching some unfortunate blacks who happened to be on hand because they didn't want to fight for them. In WWI, gangster Lucky Luciano famously intentionally contracted gonorrhea to fail his draft board. Others overate to come into the exam obese, or paid off local doctors to diagnose bone spurs which kept them out of the army but didn't affect their athletic careers. Politicians sons who supported the war joined the National Guard to avoid service in Vietnam, and in more serious wars there is of course a long history of politicians and their friends landing desk jobs that mostly avoided combat while still getting a pretty uniform to pose in.
History is full of people who flee the country, change their name, desert the army, fake injuries, malinger, goldbrick to get out of military service. We can find evidence of it going back thousands of years. If they didn't, the draft wouldn't be necessary. The whole point of a draft is because sending men to die for their country, in that particular war, is not popular enough to draw volunteers.
Donc, continuing our parallel for a second, the key ingredient to convincing men and women to sacrifice their lives for your civilization is making sure your civilization has a good enough story to make it worthwhile. You aren't getting a million zoomer boys into Iran without a draft, you aren't getting millions of babies out of zoomer girls without explaining to them a positive vision of what they are having those babies for.
He’s not leaving.
The man is 80 years old, he's leaving at some point.
Did you forget Biden winning in 2020?
Terrible candidate but just a weird year all around. Trump probably wins if Covid doesn't kill so many old people a year or two early, they might not be many QALY but they were sure important for Republican electoral chances.
The most obvious parallel to Chastity is Violence, both in the sense that these are the two highest stakes human activities that can be done for fun or profit, and in the sense that engaging in them or not is both a huge sign of your character and totally ambiguous absent context.
A man who tells you he never gets in fights is telling you something about himself, but it's not clear what he's telling you. A man who tells you he does get into fights is telling you something about himself, but it's not clear what he's telling you.
A man who never gets into fights might be telling you that he's a peaceful man who values non-violence, that he stoically accepts and avoids situations where he would have to engage in violence, because he considers it a sin. Or he might be telling you that he is a weakling, a coward, a frightened pipsqueak who flees rather that confront an insult, that he has no sense of honor or right and wrong. Or he might be so manifestly large and intimidating that no one starts a fight with him because, seriously, look at the guy, he has no need to get into fights because his mere commanding presence intimidates wrongdoers.
A man who gets into fights might have heroic characteristics, he might have a highly developed sense of honor and right and wrong, he might be strong and brave enough to fight for those values. He might seek out "good trouble" rather than flee. Or he might be a violent psychopath who starts fights for no reason, constantly, who goes off the rails at the slightest imagined provocation. He might appear so small and weak that he is constantly being picked on and forced into fights. He might be a bitch who is constantly starting shit and saying insulting things to people to the point that they punch him.
Similarly, a chaste woman and a promiscuous woman are telling you things about their character, but it's not clear what.
A chaste woman might be a normal sexual woman with a highly developed sense of religious values and a strong will. Or she might have something medically wrong with her, have no sex drive. In the context of a religious community, she might very well be gay.
Similarly, a promiscuous woman might have a high sex drive. Or she might be of average or below average libido, but intensely submissive to her partners' desires.
Throw in that, lacking community and reputation to work off of, in an atomized urban community people only have the one decision to work off of: does he/she want to sleep with me? And that adds the possibility: if she doesn't sleep with me, it's because she isn't that attracted to me. If she does sleep with me, it might mean she's the town bicycle, or it might mean that she's super attracted to me. These are probably the worst/best outcomes possible, the worst thing that can happen to you is marrying a horny woman who doesn't like you, and the best thing that can happen to you is marrying a normal woman who thinks you're so hot she turns into a porn star with you. So it makes sense that men overweight them in the sample.
Context is key. We can draw a lot of this from social reputation in a community, we know the circumstances around what happened a little better, whether it's a fight or a fuck. But we don't really have that anymore.
When stimulants (coffee, energy drinks, etc) kick in, I can do x3-4 times speed if the speaker is clear enough in their pronounciation and I'm already somewhat familiar with the topic.
See, I can listen to something at increased speed and get the gist of what is being discussed, I just don't believe that one can listen to something at an increased playback speed and not lose some ability to reflect on and construct the meaning of the content in the process. I don't think this process is compromise free. Could I listen to the Iliad at 5x speed and comprehend the words? Sure. But I wouldn't want to because when I listen to the Iliad being read to me I want to reflect on the meaning, to experience it, to enjoy it. I guess my question for people is if you find the content so light on meaning that you have to listen to it at 5x not to get bored, why not find better content to listen to?
But anyway I was thinking about your point about video games when i was playing WoW, the only real video gaming I've ever done, and it's the same game revived 20 years later. And for some reason, there's an overabundance of Healers in all the dungeons. Used to be, tanks were easy to find, but Healers were hard to find. Tank is the masculine active dominant role in the group, the protector, the leader. Healer is the feminine, submissive, supportive role, the passenger princess. Tank means making all the decisions for the group, leading from the front, pulling, telling everyone what to do, telling the mage to slow down so they don't pull aggro. Healer means hanging around in the back, if the group goes well you barely have much to do, at most you tap out and tell everyone to slow down you can't handle that much.
20 years ago everyone wanted to tank and no one wanted to heal, so guys would get their GFs to start playing so they could find a healer. Now the queue is full of healers, and no tanks. I made a Paladin to try healing, and instead I tank all the time.
That seems like a change.
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I guess I wasn't clear in my meaning, because I didn't think the point needed to be explicated at length.
People are not objective when talking about former, or current, lovers. There is no "real" and no "truth" to be found in their accounts of their former lovers. I don't know if she's lying in the sense of knowingly telling a falsehood, or telling the truth as she experienced/remembers it, and I have no way of knowing. The testimony of ex-gfs is useless, because they are in most cases incapable of objective truth, it's too close to their self.
This is not an area of human experience that can be explained through litigating facts and evidence.
This is Brett Kavanaugh all over again. Some things just shouldn't be talked about, because it's pointless to talk about them.
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