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FiveHourMarathon

Wawa Nationalist

17 followers   follows 6 users  
joined 2022 September 04 22:02:26 UTC

And every gimmick hungry yob

Digging gold from rock n roll

Grabs the mic to tell us

he'll die before he's sold

But I believe in this

And it's been tested by research

He who fucks nuns

Will later join the church


				

User ID: 195

FiveHourMarathon

Wawa Nationalist

17 followers   follows 6 users   joined 2022 September 04 22:02:26 UTC

					

And every gimmick hungry yob

Digging gold from rock n roll

Grabs the mic to tell us

he'll die before he's sold

But I believe in this

And it's been tested by research

He who fucks nuns

Will later join the church


					

User ID: 195

That’s kind of like blaming South Carolina for the Civil War.

So, basically accurate.

My prediction going into COVID in March 2020, which might have been on here but I'm not sure, was that 500,000 was my over/under number. Fewer dead than that and Trump would win, more dead than that and Trump would lose.

You also have a lot of old people who didn't vote at all for various reasons. Fear of getting sick, inability to get to the polls, etc. This didn't cross over perfectly with politics as most people think, probably closer to 70-80%, which is a vast supermajority but not 100%, there were also a lot of Republicans or Dale Gribble covidiots out there.

It was a weird year where everyone and everything was weird, so it's easy to write off the result as not terribly indicative of what's going on. Like a baseball game with multiple rain stoppages.

x to doubt. He eats a lot of McDonald's and thinks that cardio is actively bad for you.

And much like Joe Biden, he might be alive but he will not be 100% of himself throughout his sunset years.

So why amid generalized disaster is Trump scoring so many primary victories?

My on the ground experience of Republican primaries locally is this: Hardcore MAGA controls the Republican party in a holding company structure. Hardcore MAGA voters make up too much of the primary electorate to make any other path practically possible, if the MAGA vote is against you even where they don't make up a majority you'd have to run the table on the remaining electorate to possibly win, and you're not going to do that.

So even if the electorate as a whole turns against Trump, or the Republican primary electorate does, it doesn't matter if the 35% approval floor he still has is an insurmountable challenge to defeat in the primary.

This feels like the male Feminist version of They Very Much Did Kill Jesus.

There's never been a draft in recorded history that wasn't opposed, protested, dodged, avoided, manipulated. People very much did bat some eyes during the Civil War in NYC, lynching some unfortunate blacks who happened to be on hand because they didn't want to fight for them. In WWI, gangster Lucky Luciano famously intentionally contracted gonorrhea to fail his draft board. Others overate to come into the exam obese, or paid off local doctors to diagnose bone spurs which kept them out of the army but didn't affect their athletic careers. Politicians sons who supported the war joined the National Guard to avoid service in Vietnam, and in more serious wars there is of course a long history of politicians and their friends landing desk jobs that mostly avoided combat while still getting a pretty uniform to pose in.

History is full of people who flee the country, change their name, desert the army, fake injuries, malinger, goldbrick to get out of military service. We can find evidence of it going back thousands of years. If they didn't, the draft wouldn't be necessary. The whole point of a draft is because sending men to die for their country, in that particular war, is not popular enough to draw volunteers.

Donc, continuing our parallel for a second, the key ingredient to convincing men and women to sacrifice their lives for your civilization is making sure your civilization has a good enough story to make it worthwhile. You aren't getting a million zoomer boys into Iran without a draft, you aren't getting millions of babies out of zoomer girls without explaining to them a positive vision of what they are having those babies for.

He’s not leaving.

The man is 80 years old, he's leaving at some point.

Did you forget Biden winning in 2020?

Terrible candidate but just a weird year all around. Trump probably wins if Covid doesn't kill so many old people a year or two early, they might not be many QALY but they were sure important for Republican electoral chances.

The most obvious parallel to Chastity is Violence, both in the sense that these are the two highest stakes human activities that can be done for fun or profit, and in the sense that engaging in them or not is both a huge sign of your character and totally ambiguous absent context.

A man who tells you he never gets in fights is telling you something about himself, but it's not clear what he's telling you. A man who tells you he does get into fights is telling you something about himself, but it's not clear what he's telling you.

A man who never gets into fights might be telling you that he's a peaceful man who values non-violence, that he stoically accepts and avoids situations where he would have to engage in violence, because he considers it a sin. Or he might be telling you that he is a weakling, a coward, a frightened pipsqueak who flees rather that confront an insult, that he has no sense of honor or right and wrong. Or he might be so manifestly large and intimidating that no one starts a fight with him because, seriously, look at the guy, he has no need to get into fights because his mere commanding presence intimidates wrongdoers.

A man who gets into fights might have heroic characteristics, he might have a highly developed sense of honor and right and wrong, he might be strong and brave enough to fight for those values. He might seek out "good trouble" rather than flee. Or he might be a violent psychopath who starts fights for no reason, constantly, who goes off the rails at the slightest imagined provocation. He might appear so small and weak that he is constantly being picked on and forced into fights. He might be a bitch who is constantly starting shit and saying insulting things to people to the point that they punch him.

Similarly, a chaste woman and a promiscuous woman are telling you things about their character, but it's not clear what.

A chaste woman might be a normal sexual woman with a highly developed sense of religious values and a strong will. Or she might have something medically wrong with her, have no sex drive. In the context of a religious community, she might very well be gay.

Similarly, a promiscuous woman might have a high sex drive. Or she might be of average or below average libido, but intensely submissive to her partners' desires.

Throw in that, lacking community and reputation to work off of, in an atomized urban community people only have the one decision to work off of: does he/she want to sleep with me? And that adds the possibility: if she doesn't sleep with me, it's because she isn't that attracted to me. If she does sleep with me, it might mean she's the town bicycle, or it might mean that she's super attracted to me. These are probably the worst/best outcomes possible, the worst thing that can happen to you is marrying a horny woman who doesn't like you, and the best thing that can happen to you is marrying a normal woman who thinks you're so hot she turns into a porn star with you. So it makes sense that men overweight them in the sample.

Context is key. We can draw a lot of this from social reputation in a community, we know the circumstances around what happened a little better, whether it's a fight or a fuck. But we don't really have that anymore.

When stimulants (coffee, energy drinks, etc) kick in, I can do x3-4 times speed if the speaker is clear enough in their pronounciation and I'm already somewhat familiar with the topic.

See, I can listen to something at increased speed and get the gist of what is being discussed, I just don't believe that one can listen to something at an increased playback speed and not lose some ability to reflect on and construct the meaning of the content in the process. I don't think this process is compromise free. Could I listen to the Iliad at 5x speed and comprehend the words? Sure. But I wouldn't want to because when I listen to the Iliad being read to me I want to reflect on the meaning, to experience it, to enjoy it. I guess my question for people is if you find the content so light on meaning that you have to listen to it at 5x not to get bored, why not find better content to listen to?

But anyway I was thinking about your point about video games when i was playing WoW, the only real video gaming I've ever done, and it's the same game revived 20 years later. And for some reason, there's an overabundance of Healers in all the dungeons. Used to be, tanks were easy to find, but Healers were hard to find. Tank is the masculine active dominant role in the group, the protector, the leader. Healer is the feminine, submissive, supportive role, the passenger princess. Tank means making all the decisions for the group, leading from the front, pulling, telling everyone what to do, telling the mage to slow down so they don't pull aggro. Healer means hanging around in the back, if the group goes well you barely have much to do, at most you tap out and tell everyone to slow down you can't handle that much.

20 years ago everyone wanted to tank and no one wanted to heal, so guys would get their GFs to start playing so they could find a healer. Now the queue is full of healers, and no tanks. I made a Paladin to try healing, and instead I tank all the time.

That seems like a change.

For a counter example; the accusation of the IDF blowing up that school in Iran. Not a blood libel, just a plain old accusation of atrocities.

And here's the Free Press:

It was unsettling to watch California governor Gavin Newsom on Monday spouting off a rejiggered blood libel this week, and not simply because Democrats have mostly succumbed to a fashionable Jew hate.

The term Blood Libel is used constantly in the Pro-Israel press to refer to anything that anyone accuses the Jews of having done wrong. Accusations of Antisemitism have become the new thought terminating cliche.

it's not trolling, but rather their genuine belief,

distinction without a difference. Having strong half-informed opinions and arguing about them is fun.

I don't like that we're describing every accusation as a blood libel now. I'm not a fan of creeping woke rhetorical norms.

The doctor above objected that while they had seen cases of dogs anally penetrating humans, it was always consensual. This is an absurd assertion: the dog has no concept of consent.

I remain blissfully ignorant on the practicality of this entire episode.

The answer: because it's fun.

Empirically, shitposting is proven to be one of life's great joys. The richest man in the world and the most powerful man in the world have both purchased their own social media networks specifically to feed their massive shitposting habit. Kevin Durant is an all time great basketball player, the night after the USA beat Serbia he was an olympic medalist, immensely rich, in Paris with thousands of other super hot athletes, and what did he choose to do that night, exhausted from his effort on the floor? Shitpost on Twitter.

People who can do anything they want still choose shitposting on twitter all night.

Having half-informed opinions about things is one of the great joys of life. Whether you're in a dive bar in Reading, PA; you're a weirdo autist on themotte, or you're on your iphone on your private jet.

I love the argument that dogs have sex with humans, yes, but they can't rape humans because they have an instinctual understanding of the Oberlin model of consent.

The AI investment boom is not based on fundamentals or on logical projections of existing technologies, there is an irreducible element of immanentizing the eschaton that underlies the story here.

Some portion of those working in AI believe in some form of the Singularity built around building the first AGI. This can range from "whichever company invents AGI first wins" to "fully automated everything" to a full on Singularity where technological progress goes vertical. Motivations range from the pseudo altruistic "We, the responsible and noble and freedom loving, must achieve AGI before They, the evil and oppressive and cruel, achieve it first" to the desire to become an all powerful feudal lord empowered by their newly created machine god. This doesn't matter to the analysis, the common aspect is the belief that after AGI is achieved, things like capital allocation and debt ratios won't matter.

They're not analyzing this along the lines of "based on our current services on offer and revenues this might be too much capital..." They're analyzing it along the lines of "what gets us closer to AGI before anyone else."

Life imitates art, first as farce, second as tragedy.

This feels like when I was watching Entourage and realized that all the awful absurd fake movies that they fake as a satire of bad Hollywood projects, have actually been made now, unironically. Narcos, Aquaman, Fire Country, these were all failed Vince and Ari projects before they were real movies and shows.

I have this theory that the government shakes the "ALIENS" coins in a coffee can every time that conspiracy theorists start to get popular, knowing that conspiracy theorists can't resist talking about aliens and will start going off about it and scare the hos. Right now, conspiracy theorists are getting increasing headway on right and left as a result of some of Trump's apparent policy reversals in office, so it's time to shake the coins at them and distract them.

Thank you! I've had a lot of thoughts about the process but haven't yet reduced them to an effort post.

Oh man are you missing out.

Quick rundown: Russini is a sports reporter, national profile but Philly football focused. Mike Vrabel is an NFL head coach, formerly of the Tennessee Titans currently of the New England Patriots. They were photographed together at a romantic resort in Arizona, and as a result evidence has emerged of a long running affair. When Vrabels team was on a losing streak she made a Spotify playlist called "keep your head up" or something like that, and shared it with someone named Mike on Spotify, it contains songs that Vrabel is known from interviews to love. They've been seen together all over, the joke is if everyone checks their camera roll they might find them in the background. They rented a boat together while she was pregnant.

And the kicker: her son is named Michael, and she was covering Vrabels game on site nine months before the birth.

Russini hasn't spoken publicly on the topic to my knowledge, while Vrabel has soft-confessed by publicly skipping day 3 of the NFL draft (arguably the most important day between March and August for an NFL head coach) to go to marriage counseling with his wife.

This is the gamergate of sports, because while it's mostly sordid gossip, but there's an inescapable element of journalism ethics here. Was Russini planting stories to help Vrabel? ((In Philly this is about Russini reporting on wide receiver AJ Brown being dissatisfied, possibly reducing his trade cost for Vrabels Patriots)) Was Mike leaking inside team information to Russini? If she was sucking dick for stories, is her career more or less ethical than Stephen A Smiths?

Bro science answer:

-- Do I know how I hurt it? If the answer is yes (Dave cranked on that armbar/I shouldn't have gone for that deadlift), then I'm more likely to know how it will recover

-- Is it getting better over time or worse?

-- Is it getting in the way of day to day life significantly?

If the answers to those questions are bad, then going to seek treatment is a good idea.

Yes. Due in October. A daughter.

I have NEVER seen translation abbreviated as TL, and I was very confused until you mentioned Emily Wilson.

Fagles is the one that comes most commonly recommended as accurate and well done. I enjoyed Wilson's Odyssey, but I see where people didn't like it, I think Wilson is an interesting pairing with the War Nerd Iliad.

My favorite translation though, is Pope's

Achilles’ wrath, to Greece the direful spring
Of woes unnumber’d, heavenly goddess, sing!
That wrath which hurl’d to Pluto’s gloomy reign
The souls of mighty chiefs untimely slain;
Whose limbs unburied on the naked shore,
Devouring dogs and hungry vultures tore.[41]
Since great Achilles and Atrides strove,
Such was the sovereign doom, and such the will of Jove![42

Even with a low in group preference you would think that men would organize jointly on matters that impact all men, like with the evolutionary disadvantage men have when it comes to ensuring paternity.

The most masculine way to organize a solution is "may the best man win." Which is the core issue with most male solutions to problems.

I just want to know if this is a Mike Vrabel -- Diana Russini post.

Somehow, as I approach fatherhood, the whole world is back to my teenage years. I'm playing WoW and sucking at martial arts, we're in a confusing and ill-planned war in the middle east, and the New England Patriots are ontologically evil.

There's also the guy who can't get a gun because he can't find three unrelated people who would vouch for him.

As we should be.

And unless a miracle occurs, either the SPLC will be back in the drivers seat or its principals will simply spin up an SPLD which will magically inherit all the resources and goodwill of the SPLC but none of the crimes.

I don't think this is likely. The SPLC had a long history of goodwill, running back to the legitimate civil rights era sainted by so many in the American mainstream. A new organization will not have that long anchor of sanity, it will be a woke organization from the opening shot.

Moreover, I don't really have a valuable opinion on the charges themselves as law, I have a simple layman's opinion on them: they're weird. If I donated to the SPLC, I would expect my money to be used on normal things, not non-profit cloak-and-dagger nonsense.