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The trans issue is not as controversial or divisive as he's making it out to be. I don't think the opposition is as strong as he imagines it to be or that people are anti-trans in his comments. He gets way more pushback about Zionism and Israel than he does about trans. If he made a post advocating for a wealth tax or higher income taxes, again i'm sure he'd get way more pushback than the trans issues. The trans issue comes down to sports and if children can consent to irreversible medical procedures. Otherwise, most people do not care that much, including even conservatives and rightists. His argument about trans people taking hormones being similar or analogous to men who take steroids to attain some idealization of masculinity, is actually shared by libertarians and some on the right . I don't even see where the disagreement is that some people do not feel like their sex matches with their gender or wish to have certain reasonable provisions made.
I think you're going to find more areas in conflict than that. You're right in some libertarians and a few on the right willing to go for full morphological freedom, but even within that framework there's an absolute abomination of serious legal and financial questions on things like who can (must) pay for things, or what extent the government can (should) enforce politeness on these matters in certain (or all) spheres.
But there's also a lot of conservatives who oppose it at more fundamental levels. A lot of people, not all social conservatives, see legal or social recognition of anything less than magical girl transformations as demanding they deny reality. And social conservatives often see trivial behaviors from trans people as perverse. I'd like to think that they'd get not care as much without the obvious points of contention, since there was a time like that. I'm not convinced that it's anything more than just awareness, though, and that cat's not going back in that bag.
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I think my beliefs are pretty typical in the sense that I really only care a trans issues in three situations: rape prevention, minor transition, and sports scholarships.
As a woman of middling size, I’m absolutely opposed to allowing males access to women’s restrooms, changing rooms, and most especially shelters. It’s not about trans people per se, but about skeevy men using a trans pretense to gain access to a place where women are undressed and at their most vulnerable. This is simply enabling bad things as the social solution to the problem is now broken — that solution being the rest of society not allowing males into women’s spaces. Now, until this person gets caught doing something (by which point it will be too late) no one is allowed to object.
Minor transition has been covered to death. Suffice it to say my opposition rests on two ideas: social contagion and kids’ innate desire to please adults. Kids have trouble quitting activities their parents are proud of them for. How hard is it going to be, after months of their trans phase being stunning and brave, for a 12-15 year old kid to say they aren’t into it anymore?
Sports, for the most part isn’t an issue, except when it comes to NCAA scholarships. Pro leagues have been cesspits of PEDs for decades, and I think only the naive don’t know that. Duffer leagues where people just play for fun don’t matter much either. The issue for me is scholarships, simply because so many working class women rely upon those scholarships to get into college. Without access to those scholarships, a lot of those women simply won’t go, or will go to community college or trade schools.
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