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greyenlightenment

investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

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joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC

blog https://greyenlightenment.com/

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greyenlightenment


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

				
				
				

				

					2 followers  

					follows 0 users  

					joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC
				


				
					

					
blog https://greyenlightenment.com/



				

				

				

				

				

					

					

					
					
					

					
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	 Hot Bump Top Bottom Old Controversial Comments
	



		

	






	

		
		

		
		
	

	

  







		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 10, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


I know that Belisarius thinks I'm a far-leftist (lol), but I think that a fair reading my post history will show that I am what I present myself as, more or less a classical liberal who hates both the left and the right.




yeah being here and recent events pushed more towards the middle-right. otherwise, a decade+ ago I was often the most right-wing person in any social event




Accelerationists (the three or four actual ones for whom it's not just a funny pretense) must be rubbing their hands raw with glee right now. Things are moving very fast.




they aren't. the first 100 days are always hectic like this as the new admin  overtakes the departing one by hiring and firing staff, and so on. At some point,  the low-hanging DOGE cuts will be done, and Trump will have to legislate to enact any lasting change, which as his first term showed, is is major weakness and he risks spinning his wheels for the next 4 years. Also, people overestimate Trump's willingness or overturn the status quo; look how he punted on any decision regarding the Bitcoin reserve, delaying it by 180 days, which likely means it will not happen at all. Trump also is pro-business and wants to make inroads with tech; these are very much in keeping with the establishment.


The same people who in 2016-2017 predicted the demise of democracy were wrong then and I see little evidence they are right now. None of these criticisms are new. Trump is more competitive , which I think is misconstrued for wanting to subvert democracy for not accepting the 2020 results unhesitantly. Trump has visions of grandiosity but I don't see this crossing to fascism or other fears.


In terms of foreign policy, a case can be made Trumpism can make America safer. Under Biden, saw Russia invade Ukraine, China flexing its might against  Taiwan, Hamas attack Israel, Iran attack Israel,  etc. Foreign leaders perceive Biden as weak, compared to Trump. I feel safer under Trump compared to other administrations.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 10, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Of course it is ideologically motivated. is this a surprise?


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 3, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
This is part of the unforeseen/unintended risk of making cuts. it creates added costs from the inefficiencies having to deal with the acute disruption to the system.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 3, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I also don't care for that lifestyle, but "engaging in risky behavior argument" as justification to deny care can be used for almost  everything. Car accident while going too fast and not wearing a seatbelt? Snowboarding? Downhill skiing? Smoking? Football in high school? etcetera .


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 3, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I heard they are tested a lot. . ironically it is safer than sex with a stranger


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 3, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
because making a new account means having to deal with twitter's default restrictions on new accounts , which are very onerous


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Rule Change Discussion: AI produced content
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
A holistic  approach is better. does the person have a history of only ai-assisted posts or a mix of both?  A lot of people use AI to assist with writing when stuck. An account that only posts ai-like content should be banned though.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 3, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I support his rehiring  because it's the ultimate repudiation of cancel culture, and about time the  right grew a spine.  You don't win a culture war by accepting the opponent's moral framing or terms.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 3, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Elez’s account, @nullllptr—a misspelling of a keyword in the C++ programming language—was deleted in December, but hundreds of brash, sometimes-sophomoric posts have been archived.






The deleted @nullllptr account previously went by the username @marko_elez, a review of archived posts shows. The user behind the @nullllptr also described themselves as an employee at SpaceX and Starlink.




How is this possible? Twitter specifically does not allow offline viewing anymore or archiving since Elon's buyout. changing the username and deleting the posts should have made the posts permanently and instantly inaccessible. AFIK there is no way to read a deleted tweet.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 3, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
yeah but  many of these people who are fired/quit are going to find other wasteful jobs , and also the severance  $ by your same argument adds up to billions of dollars over a lifetime compounded compared  to putting the $ in an index fund or something. DOGE will not put a dent in the national debt, but it does not need to. it's an effective rhetorical tool. Trump's successor in 2028 can cite all the cuts under DOGE as progress even if the national debt is still much higher.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Wellness Wednesday for February 5, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
If a waiter or delivery I give something


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 27, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Ai models cannot pick up up the subtle but important details that distinguish it from human writing, like internal consistency. Imagine in 2010 writing that you like in "X" . Unless you moved, it must be remembered that you still live there. So it must store all this information  and take it into account in a contextual sense.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 27, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
AI-generated writing tends to overuse the passive voice. This gives it away


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 27, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The irony of renting  with a bad credit score, which is that you need to prove you have to means to not have to rent but choose to rent anyway.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 27, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
A common observation by economists is that America's budget is not analogous to personal finances. Credit scores, credit ratings, and deficits do not mean the same thing on a national level as they do on a personal  level. Credit worthiness means much more for smaller   economics than it does for the US. The US is in a privileged position of creating debt with near impunity.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 27, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think so. Tariffs  are not going to put much of a debt in America's liabilities. America spends too much on domestic programs, not that it  imports too much


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 27, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
It's already done. happened 2 hours ago


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Wellness Wednesday for January 22, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
https://x.com/Ed_Realist/status/1837975714622296202?


There is enormous individual variably of metabolism, about as much as IQ, controlling for height,.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 20, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Early Rockefeller was a very good steward of his fortune, and a very good spender of it. For example, he essentially cured hookworm in the U.S.




that is amazing. perfect example of low hanging fruit. small spending that can lead to huge gains


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 20, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Zuckerburg did a few things right, all more than a decade ago:




That is all you need to become super -successful. A good idea the execute near-perfectly on it, which he had from 2005-2015 or so.




Bought WhatsApp for $19 billion and promised to never advertise on the platform. Even though he has broken the promise, it's unclear how they will ever recoup this




He already has. Same for other purchases. The Metaverse is still a loss, but Wall St. has moved on.


All that other stuff works at boosting ad impressions and engagement. Evidently it semes to be working.




Bill Gates folllowed that model. Maybe Zuckerberg thinks the same way. But it's unlikely that anything he can do with his billions can undo the damage his social networks have done, and continue to do to the social fabric. The irony is that if he had just focused on making Facebook the best version of itself, he would probably be even richer today, and beloved for making the iconic product of the age.




At least Rockefeller's wealth and other Gilded Era wealth was fleeting, which quickly dwindled as the money was frittered away on dubious low-ROI philanthropy or wasteful spending. Today's tech-rich are much better at preserving their wealth and their industries less vulnerable to economic obsolescence or competition, unlike oil, ferries,  cars, mining, or railroads.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Wellness Wednesday for January 22, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Be charitable. You know what I meant. Appetite goes up, metabolic rate goes down, and then yes, people either eat more food and regain the weight, or their metabolism slows down so much that it doesn't make a difference how little they eat, they still regain the weight.




Yup. And where this plateau occurs controlling for height and sex is determined by genes. Some ppl have such crappy metabolism genes they are still fat cutting to 1500kcal/day and cannot lose more. many such cases. ironically, being a bigger glutton makes wight loss and leanness easier. A guy who maintains at 250 lbs eating 5kcal/day will find weight loss easier than the same guy at same height and weight who eats 3kcal/day.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Wellness Wednesday for January 22, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
what would that be? A  fitness model? A lot of those ppl either have superior genetics, take stims and steroids, or do tons of cardio. it's the same 'cut calories' advice seen everywhere else


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Wellness Wednesday for January 22, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Bryan Johnson's food guide/protocol?




it is found here: https://protocol.bryanjohnson.com/Step-1-Step-2-Step-3


He says he's a vegan. There is some truth to this as an effective weight loss diet. Cultures and societies that primarily subsist on starches  tend to be thin. Plant based foods have lower calorie density, save for nuts. When I lost weight, I found myself adhering to mostly a non-meat diet. Animal products limited to fish and some chicken.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 13, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
It is an acquired taste, I guess, or most people skim  rather than read his posts. Judging by his huge huge subscriber count and fame, evidently, this style worked for him.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Wellness Wednesday for January 22, 2025
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Yeah this is why dieting is hard, why most people who diet regain it, etc.