naraburns nihil supernum
1yr ago
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Israel-Gaza Megathread #3
This is a refreshed megathread for any posts on the conflict between (so far, and so far as I know) Hamas and the Israeli government, as well as related geopolitics. Culture War thread rules apply.
This is fantastic. My previous view was that Hamas launched the attack out of pure evil or stupidity, but after reading this I think they have a real chance of permanently crippling Israel. There is an equilibrium where if most of Israel's neighbors turn against Israel, Israel doesn't have a chance and then, I suspect, the Jewish population of Israel moves to the US, Canada, and/or Australia.
Yes: unless Arab military culture has changed in the past 23 years, the key threat to Israel is not a conventional conflict with its neighbours. A success of Palestinian human shield/"hit while crying" tactics to shift opinion (especially in the US) is more likely and more of a threat, though not necessarily likely.
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Notes -
This is fantastic. My previous view was that Hamas launched the attack out of pure evil or stupidity, but after reading this I think they have a real chance of permanently crippling Israel. There is an equilibrium where if most of Israel's neighbors turn against Israel, Israel doesn't have a chance and then, I suspect, the Jewish population of Israel moves to the US, Canada, and/or Australia.
We've seen that twice before. Israel had a chance.
Yes: unless Arab military culture has changed in the past 23 years, the key threat to Israel is not a conventional conflict with its neighbours. A success of Palestinian human shield/"hit while crying" tactics to shift opinion (especially in the US) is more likely and more of a threat, though not necessarily likely.
https://ciaotest.cc.columbia.edu/olj/meria/meria00_den01.html
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