The Case for Ignoring Race
There are two arguments I want to push forward. The first is about ignoring race in your personal life. Ignoring your own race, and ignoring the race of others around you. And the second argument is to ignore race in the policy space. Ignoring race in college admissions, immigration, crime, etc. I also don't want to make the case that only white people should ignore race. I think it is generally beneficial for everyone to ignore race, but I'm guessing that most of the racial identitarians (people who place great importance on racial identity) that are here on themotte are white racial identitarians.
Ignoring Race in Your Personal Life
This is perhaps the less culture war loaded argument so I'll start with it first. I consider this section mostly good advice, and none of the advice is what I'd call "original". Smarter people than me have provided free advice to the masses, and this just feels like a synthesis of that advice.
Taking Responsibility
There is a certain mindset that treats genetics like destiny. And the mindset does not just apply on matters of race, but on broad characteristics like intelligence, athleticism, and charisma. I think this kind of mindset is harmful for the individual and those around them. Genetics does have an impact on your life, you aren't gonna be in the NBA if you were born with some short genes. You are still human, you are going to be similar to your parents in many ways. But it is most helpful to think of genetics as creating a set of boundaries around a wide field of possibilities. Where you wind up within that wide field of possibilities is up to you, and the field is probably much wider than you realize. In any field you look at you can often find surprisingly examples of standout performers that violate the expected norms. Like Stephen Curry being not very tall for the NBA, but being a star player. Or professors that are not that smart/brilliant, but still having prolific writing outputs of interesting material. The advice here is to take personal responsibility for where you end up within a large field of possibilities, and to stop blaming the often distant fences of genetics.
The restrictions placed on people by race are mostly imaginary social constructs. Somewhat facetiously: Rachel Dolezal is the story of a white girl becoming a respected black professor and NAACP member. Race has a loose relation with some of the very real limitations imposed by genetics, but most of the limitations of race come from social constraint. A person of a given race is not expected to do x, y, or z, and the person internalizes those expectations and lives up to them. What is important to remember here is that like with traffic, you are not just in a society, you are society. You are a part of creating and accepting the limitations that are merely social constructs. My simple advice is to stop doing that.
Information and Stereotyping
Our racial makeup is often one of our most visible characteristics, with the most visible characteristics often being clothes, gender, and age. I'd suggest to everyone that race is a mostly useless piece of information about people, and almost all of the information people claim to get from race is actually information that they get from other sources.
There are many variations on a joke about a race blind man refusing to cross the street as a black youth is walking towards him, he then gets mugged by the black youth. In more recent times the joke is often subverted to turn the race expectations on their head. Anyways, it is a good example for my purposes. Let us break the situation down:
- Context - Walking down a dark street at night in a bad section of town.
- Age - young, teen to late twenties. A time when humans are often physically at their peak, and a time when males are more prone to violence.
- Gender - male, as mentioned above more prone to violence and physicality.
- Clothes - You are often left to paint the picture for yourself in the joke. But imagine a dark hoody and well worn jeans.
- Demeanor - fixated at you, arrogant walk, one hand holding something in their hoody pocket.
At this point, without race ever being a factor, you can make an informed decision that interacting with this person is a bad idea. If you can't tell their race, and then are suddenly able to see it at the last moment, no result should change the informed decision you already made.
I won't make the very strong claim that Race is never a useful deciding factor. But I am making the claim that it is rarely useful. It is rarely useful because as I mentioned above it is mostly only a limitation by being an imaginary social construct. The actual correlations between race and very real limiting genetic factors are not very strong. The usefulness of race as a piece of information is proportional to the degree to which race is a commonly accepted limitation. The less people accept race as a limitation on their behavior, the less useful it is in predicting their behavior.
In general if you want to get better at reading situations with other people I would never suggest doing an in-depth reading of all the various stereotypes associated with different races. Instead I would suggest:
- Learning some biology related to human aging and gender. (I do believe gender stereotypes are very useful)
- Learning about clothing and fashion. In the above mugging example if the person you see happens to be wearing a dark Taylor Swift concert hoodie, and the jeans appear artificially aged then you might significantly downgrade the threat they pose.
- Learning to read body language. In the mugging example, maybe they are holding a phone, and maybe they are fixated on something behind you.
- Being more aware of context. Maybe before you start walking at night in the bad neighborhood of town you should realize how the situation might end up, and try to find a way to avoid it altogether. Some young people can sort of have their head in the clouds, and I'd suggest they play a sport that requires better situational and contextual awareness.
Policy
This is the more culture war laden section of this argument. I'm not going to claim this section is exhaustive or comprehensive. I simply picked two policy topics that are heavily enmeshed with racial politics. The college section will probably not be controversial to anyone on themotte. The immigration section will probably be very controversial here on themotte.
Universities
Universities and Colleges have been using race as a criteria for admission for quite some time now. I believe this is a bad policy, and doesn't accomplish their goals. One of their stated goals in doing this is to promote diversity on campus, which makes for a more interesting learning environment, and a better college experience.
I think race is a lazy selection criteria for diversity. It continues to be used because it is easily legible on a college admission form, and has somewhat of a correlation with diversity.
It is helpful to see how this approach is lazy, by imagining a stark contrast: a college that wants diversity and what approach it would take while expending the most amount of effort.
This imaginary college admissions would want to know as much as possible about their prospective students, and they would not want the students themselves to be the sole providers of that information. The admissions process might look more like the security clearance process. The student would fill out an exhaustive set of forms about their past life circumstances. Every sport, social group, vacation, and major life event would all be fair game. The university would assign a case worker for each student, who would then go interview the family and friends of that student to build an exhaustive profile of who they are. Then the students would be evaluated for their personalities, political beliefs, and viewpoints. With tens of thousands of profiles in hand the university would then run an exhaustive set of statistics and winnowing on the student profiles. Any prospective students with rare experiences or backgrounds would get additional weight. In this imaginary admissions process race would be almost a useless criteria, because there would be multiple other criteria that would make it obsolete or redundant.
Back to the real world. There are obvious problems with race based admissions when it comes to producing a diverse campus. As I said in the personal section, race is not actually a hard and fast genetic restriction, it is only loosely correlated with those genetic restrictions. So it is quite easily possible that you could have two suburban candidates that are next door neighbors and nearly identical in every category except race. Taking both of these students would not make the campus more diverse, except in the most superficial and meaningless sense of a skin color diversity. Imagine the opposite scenario of two identical twins separated at birth. One into a rich family of doctors in a big city, and another into a poor farming family in a small town. Admitting both of these students would not alter the racial diversity of campus at all, but it would make for a more interesting and diverse student body.
A lazy solution for colleges that want diversity and don't want to use race: create categories that you want to fill. For example, "person that has lived in a different country", or "person from a rough neighborhood", or "person from a big city", or "person from a small town", or "person that has lived in both". Then get students to fill in which categories they fit into. Then try to fill out the incoming class with a range of diverse experiences and backgrounds. This would be a slightly superficial take on 'diversity', but it would still be way better than a race based admission criteria. (some universities already do minor versions of this for other purposes, like asking if they are alumni / military child / etc.)
Immigration
If you have read the rest of my post some of what I'm about to say will be unsurprising. Race is generally an indirect sorting mechanism for the things we care about from immigrants, and more direct sorting mechanisms exist. I'd claim that the main things we care about in immigrants are: Intelligence, hard-work, cultural fit, criminality, and "buy in". Most of those are self-explanatory. I'd consider language skills under cultural fit. The "buy in" is how willing any immigrant is willing to engage in joining a country.
I think the easiest way to determine an immigrant's fit is to just look at their country or citizenship of origin, and ask for their reason for immigrating. Which is generally what the US immigration policy already does. Certain countries are better fits, and though Race correlates highly with country of origin it is not the same thing. And although there could be potential gaming of the system by asking people why they want to come to the country, some reasons are transparently obvious. For example, marriage into the country is an obvious reason for immigration, as well as a decent signal of some degree of "buy in".
Some quick thought experiment that suggests Race is a bad proxy measurement:
Imagine two immigration candidates. From two hypothetical nations. Candidate 1 is of the green race, but coming from redstan. Candidate 2 is of the red race, but coming from greenstan. They have both been in their countries for a full generation. Redstan is a war torn mess it has a failed government and the streets are regularly the sight of sectarian violence. Redstan is also ideological enemies with your country, Tealstan. Greenstan is your country's fatherland. Tealstan used to be a colony of Greenstan, but they peacefully split apart. They share a people, a culture, and are on friendly terms with one another. I would think Candidate 2 from Greenstan is clearly the better candidate.
Imagine two other immigration candidates. One is of your exact race. In fact they are your distant ancestor frozen in ice and revived in the modern era, but they have a cultural mindset from 200 years ago, they hate what the nation has become, and their lack of modern skills makes them highly likely to resort to crime. The other candidate is your neighbor, but a race very different from yours. They have been living next to you for five years, they had planned to just stay here a bit for work and then leave to their home country. But they fell in love and the prospect of marriage and starting a family has made them want to stay. I would think the second candidate is clearly the better choice.
Summary
Race is clearly a thing that exists. Genetic differences exist across races. The simplest proof is in people's skin pigmentation. However, genetics doesn't have to dictate anyone's destiny. Genetics can be barriers to unlimited possibilities, but your final place within a large set of possibilities is up to you.
And because race and genetics do not fully dictate who a person is, those characteristics do not provide good information about an individual that isn't obtainable in a myriad of other more reliable ways.
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Notes -
I think you're using motivated reasoning here to work backwards from a position you wish were true, and selectively looking for evidence that supports your view. It's extremely unfashionable in high society to notice racial differences in any negative way (at least towards blacks), and the fact that your position ends up agreeing with this is a bit too convenient. It would be one thing if your arguments were convincing, but it's pretty easy to see the cracks.
Your "guy walking down the street" example doesn't explicitly say why stereotyping based on race is bad, but you heavily hint at either one of two conclusions: You believe either that stereotyping is bad because race adds no new relevant information, or that it's just morally repugnant in and of itself and we usually have enough other data to make predictions from. But you don't actually do any work to justify either of these. The former is blatantly untrue with how massively inflated the violent black crime rate is compared to other races. The latter is a problem when someone simply asks "why"? Why is it so terrible to stereotype based on race, but not gender, or age, or body language, or clothing, or anything else? In either case, walking in a bad part of down will always be risky, but I'd feel pretty different if I knew the guy was, say, Asian instead of Black. Asians do commit violent crimes, but at vastly lower rates than blacks, so I'd automatically feel a bit less threatened by an Asian. I'd think he was maybe delivering food or perhaps coming home late from studying at the library or something along those lines.
I think you are right on the statistical level and practical level as it comes to specific context like walking on the street - the looks - which include race, but not only - would convey you a lot of useful information, the looks + location + other context clues would convey even more.
The bad part comes when you isolate the racial component from the rest of the context. If you are statistically likely to be right that a black young man in shabby clothing walking up to you in an arrogant way at night in the middle of "bad neighborhood" may be dangerous, are you also justified to say a well-dressed middle-aged black man that you are interviewing for a position of financial analyst is likely to be dangerous? Should you be more concerned about a black guy in this context than about a white guy or an Asian guy? I'd say probably not, and in any case the context is completely different, and the heuristics should be different. And that illustrates the difference between using race as an input for certain heuristic model, or making the race determine the whole model. For some models, race may not be a significant input and there are likely much better ones (I'd say most hiring contexts and also university admissions are likely to be such contexts), for other models it may be a good one (like being at bad neighborhood in America at night - if you're at a bad neighborhood in Russia, for example, a black man is likely to be a foreign student or a businessman and likely won't do you any harm).
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Please cutout the attempts to psycho-analyze my position. It is annoying to defend against, because it just invites more psycho-analyses from you, or requires that you take my word on something, which you have already demonstrated you are unwilling to do if you are psycho-analysing me.
I don't believe race adds a ton of information over other available pieces of information.
Consider two scenarios:
My suggestion is that the race of the man in either case barely adds any additional useful information. You are fine in the first scenario, and you are in more danger in the second scenario.
In America, I agree seeing an Asian guy instead of a black guy would add some useful information in the second scenario. But I wouldn't say this is true in all areas of America (asian neighborhoods are not devoid of gangs or criminals), and certainly not all areas of the world (asian countries certainly aren't devoid of crime). The US has been able to engage in selective immigration with Asian countries for over a century and a half, and we can see the results. We did a form of anti-selective immigration with Africa, the losers in internal conflicts were sold as slaves.
I think it is a minor bad to impose unnecessary social expectations on others. Mostly I feel this way as a sort of "golden rule" guidance. I don't want tons of expectations imposed on me because of my race, so I'm not willing to do it to others.
Genetics is not destiny. If you believe that who your parents are dictates who you are going to be then that is a fundamentally unhelpful mindset.
I think p(crime|black) > 2p(crime|white) in the second scenario?
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What's your response to FBI crime statistics like these? There are about twice as many Blacks in the US compared to Asians, yet Blacks commit over 50x the amount of murders that Asians do. That is absolutely a relevant datapoint.
In your examples there's enough info to make a decision regardless, but the real world isn't cleanly split into perfect examples like the ones you listed.
Ah, so you're agreeing with me then? Race is a useful proxy, at least in general terms in the USA. If it's useful there, then why can't it be useful in other contexts? No reasonable person says race should be the only proxy for behavior; it's just one of many including the ones you listed (like which part of town you're in, the person's body language, their sex, etc.).
If you're agreeing with me, it seems like the central premise of your post ("The Case for Ignoring Race") is turned on its head.
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Right, but this is assuming your conclusion. As far as I can see, you've made no attempt to prove this. You have made a principled argument that you don't necessarily need this information, because you can get it in other ways, and that it is unwise to use this information because it leads to a world where everyone (including you yourself) judges you by your skin colour.
We know that crime rates vary hugely by race (8x in London*). There is a spectrum along which that can manifest described by two extremes:
In Scenario 1, the race of the young man technically gives you no extra information that you couldn't get otherwise. However, it strongly suggests that your first mistake was going to an area with lots of poor black people late at night.
In Scenario 2, the race of the young man is the only useful data.
The reality is likely to be somewhere in between, but I don't think that either scenario supports your contention that race is rarely useful for making decisions.
*https://www.theguardian.com/law/2020/jul/08/one-in-10-of-londons-young-black-males-stopped-by-police-in-may. Black people are eight times more likely to commit homicide, says Cressida Dick, chief of the Metropolitan Police.
The reason they stand out is because they're so rare. I was hothoused as a child, so I have strong feelings about this, but it's very cruel to expect people to jump bars they probably can't jump. First world countries would be a much happier place if most people accepted that (by definition) they're normies, they're going to live a normie life and die a normie death. Outsized potential is usually pretty obvious. Telling 300 million people that they could be president one day is setting 2,999,990 of them up for heartbreak.
He/she and I would get on famously. My dearest wish is that we import as many of these people as humanly possible.
I should say that I'm grateful you took the time to make a long-form effort post. I'm just irritated by the blind refusal of society to admit that there could be anything different about a group of people, who, again, murder at 8x the rate of everybody else.
I can respect a principled desire to avoid judging by group characteristics, provided that principle isn't forced on me. But peoples' eyes-shut fingers-in-ears insistence on making an 'is' from an 'ought' and destroying anyone who points out otherwise infuriates me.
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