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As an aside, I find it amusing that Biden is now as tough - and perhaps tougher - than Trump ever was. All while promising to run a much more liberal immigration system during the campaign. For open borders supporters (all five of them), this must be a dark day.
On a more general note, I think the reason why people come is banally simple: money. Much of the third world has been either stagnant (Brazil) or actively declining (Venezuela). I've read that even many Indians and Chinese are now also increasing their numbers. Europe is seeing huge surges in illegal migration too. The 2015 refugee crisis is likely just a prelude of what's coming down the pike in this century.
The only really effective way to truly repel people at the border would probably be lethal violence in an organised way, which is obviously a non-starter for any liberal democracy. I'm not making any predictions, but I wouldn't be shocked if the Biden admin began to really ramp up construction of the border wall and upgrading it in older areas. Would be a funny troll in the event of Trump against Biden in 2024, which at this point seems almost certain.
I believe that this is the image that Biden and his handlers are trying to project but that it's also kind of obviously bullshit because automatic parole within the US is effectively de facto non-enforcment.
As others have pointed out the establishment wings of both parties do not want a secure border. I even would go so far as to claim that this issue is perhaps the one in which interests of both party's "base" is the most obviously and diametrically opposed with the interests of those who are ostensibly in charge. The cliche woke academic line is that
illegalundocumented immigrants do the jobs Americans won't do. But I think it's more accurate to say that they do the jobs that the establishment doesn't want to pay for, or at least not as much they really ought to. There's a lot of dubious nonsense out there about how the usual rules of supply and demand don't apply to labor but I am unconvinced. I think that despite the perceived chaos the current status quo is actually quite easy to understand and explain. Woke professional types want cheap avocados and an underclass of service workers who they can abuse, exploit, and threaten with deportation when they fuck up, Big Business™ types want to keep wages and costs down. By their powers combined we have the US's current immigration policy.I agree with this, there's a weird "alliance" between the proles of the third world and the elites of the first. That is also why, incidentally, the embrace of neoliberal economics by the conservative movement was a major historical error. At least conservatives in the US have stopped being braindead gung-ho war supporters of the kind we saw during the Bush era. Perhaps there could be a further evolution to a more organic skepticism of endless GDP growth, which is the underlying ideology justifying mass migration.
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At least European refugee situations are quite clearly, at least to some degree, the result of wars. During the 2015-2016 crisis the top countries for asylum applicants were Syria, Afghanistan and Iraq, and all of those were in the grip of a civil war at the time.
That's what they claimed. In reality, many just bought fake passports in Turkish bazaars. Others threw away their passports once they crossed the border and claimed they were from Syria. Under the rules that existed then, it wasn't possible to deport them.
Today countries like Tunisia, Pakistan and Bangladesh are much more numerous even if the old ones like Syria still dominate. It has morphed into a general economic migration. Of course, everyone will claim they are fleeing war because they know that will increase their chances.
That said, the wars in Syria and Afghanistan certainly made matters worse. Which is why Europe's enthusiasm for America's imperial wars is perplexing to me. The blowback often shows up on Europe's shores - literally.
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I mean, Poland managed to repel thousands of Iraqis from the border using non-lethal violence, and Texas is claiming to be doing the same thing.
On the other hand, Poland wasn’t running a campaign of bussing migrants that did make it across to major cities in Germany.
Also, it’s Poland. Big downside, by comparison.
As my Polish AF buddies keep pointing out, Poland is on track to be wealthier than the UK within a decade or so
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