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I believe that Christine Blasey Ford was not lying about Judge Kavanagh sexually assaulting her. I believe she has extremely vague memories of being grabbed and groped by a drunk guy 40+ years ago and believes Kavanagh did it.
My best estimation is that she is factually wrong, but indeed not a liar.
I’m not even sure the incident happened as Ford imagined. I can imagine some guy joshing around and Ford believing X happened (ie a misinterpretation). Doesn’t make her a liar. But a woman her age should have the perspective that maybe my memory isn’t perfect and maybe the situation was a bit different than even I thought.
Yeah. The year and location of the incident is quite slippery in her memory. She barely recalls any details and they change from one memory recall to the next.
A drunk guy grabbed her once. I believe that happened in some manner at some point in her life. I don't trust her for any other detail or fact from recalling 40+ year old memories.
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Having reread the story as she told it, I think there’s some evidence that she was changing the story to fit things he provided.
The number of people in the room changes. There were four, then five (one female). She couldn’t name them.
The location of the house moves once it’s made clear that the party he went to was miles away from the location she describes.
The geometry of the house changes (the stairs go from short to narrow, the living room and family room were initially separated allowing her to escape; until it became one bigger room).
The timing changes. She was older in the original story, which changed once she realized he would be at Yale at the time.
I think there was a real rape, and she was raped by someone. But it always seemed odd that she’s constantly trying to fit her memory to the details he provided. And to my knowledge she never really stuck to her guns and said he’s wrong, this is what happened. So my best guess is that she’s describing a different party at a different time, one that she knows Kavanagh had nothing to do with, but she’s trying to put him and herself in the same room in the same house even though none of the details actually fit.
To go one step further: she wasn't raped by anyone in any circumstance. She was grabbed and groped. Which is scary and bad, but not rape.
She was never raped and the man who didn't rape her was probably not Kavanagh.
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