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Culture War Roundup for the week of May 8, 2023

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You're all fucked, some just about to be fucked before the others.

Aren't you Indian?

Don't you have a ridiculous civil service which people kill to get into because once you're there, some quirk of iron rice bowls and pork barrels and constituency building has basically made Indian civil service jobs a sinecure where you never have to do any work but also you can't be fired, and this situation has persisted for 70 years despite the grinding poverty of all other sections of the Indian economy, because it's politically impossible to untangle this snarl?

And you think people are going to lose their jobs... because new labour saving tools become available?

Most jobs don't exist to fulfil tasks. Most jobs exist to fulfil government kayfabe. That an AI can perform a task is therefore completely irrelevant to the question of who has a job.

I've been pushing the meme of 'Government jobs are mostly middle class welfare' for years and people mostly just shrug and go about their day.

The Civil Service employs a tiny fraction of the population, and is incredibly hard to break into. It is by no means representative of the typical profession, which lacks said moats.

Idk about you, but my job is very much not bullshit, which at least helps me sleep better tonight except for when I'm lying sleepless knowing that that implies that some entity doing a better job at it than I can can actually replace me.

Also, there's a distinction between bullshit jobs that are de-facto jobs programs, and those that arise as a necessary consequence of poor regulation and incentives. The latter can be done by an AI no problem.

Also, there's a distinction between bullshit jobs that are de-facto jobs programs, and those that arise as a necessary consequence of poor regulation and incentives.

Do please elaborate how you make this distinction.

Digging a hole and filling it up again, pointless infrastructure projects such as in China = The former.

Title IX regulations (for a specific, albeit terrible reason, not intended simply as a jobs program), prompting the appointment of administrators to handle the demands = The latter.

I doubt either the government or the colleges wanted to simply create more jobs.

There is an economy outside of the bureaucracy, even in India. Furthermore, government patronage and kayfabe can be manipulated by using political power and wealth. If you have an AI that can get you power and wealth, you can then influence the government to do what you want.

Most jobs do exist to fill tasks. Some of them are surely bullshit, existing out of inertia or perhaps competition with a counterpart, and produce nothing. I think this is relatively rare. It’s much more common for a job to be marginally useful, generating value that would not have otherwise existed. Capitalism has a noise floor, but it’s not completely forgiving.