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Various betting markets currently have "will Trump tweet" at 70-80%.
Interesting.
I'd put it above 99%. Unless Trump dies or Twitter disappeared, it's a near certainty.
From where I sit, the media has been boycotting Trump since he lost the election. I rarely hear anything about him, other than about indictments and charges I don't think will ever come to fruition.
Now that he's running for POTUS in 2024, his return to Twitter will force the same non-stop media coverage shitstorm that happened in 2016-2020. He feeds on that, as a person and as a candidate, and I don't know how he turns it down.
I actually Elon will be the big winner here. The traffic will be off the charts & I'm skeptical advertisers will stay away for long.
Agreed, but the odds are whether he'll tweet before 2023 (except the 80% one, which is by March 2023). I think these are pretty reasonable numbers for the next month and a half.
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he will negotiate some sort of exit from truth social well before the election, resume tweeting again
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This is one of those sentences that would confuse the hell out of people if it was sent back in time to the year 2005 through a timewarp.
Or 2020.
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