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Transnational Thursday for March 20, 2025

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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By freezing current boundaries, they give Russia full control over the Dniper river.

Huh? The Russians aren't controlling the bank of the Dnieper anywhere besides a small area in the vicinity of Kherson. Their forces aren't anywhere near the river.

They aren't anywhere near the city of Dnipro, but they control the other side of the bank for the last 400 kms leading to the mouth.

These are the control maps as they stand: [1] [2]. The 400 km stretch gives them plenty of bottlenecks to choke Ukraine's economy with plausible deniability and limited military intervention.

I guess I was a bit tired when I replied to your comment. Your argument seemed to me to be that Russia fully controls the left-bank Ukraine when in reality, as I can now see it, it is that Russians can interdict river transport on the Dnieper. I’ll not argue with that.