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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 10, 2025

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Maybe with the advent of high-quality cameras being at hand for every civilian and soldier, the reduction of the 'fog of war' would permit the use of tactical nuclear weapons insomuch is that it is clear that the target is military formations and not indiscriminately nuking enemy cities.

Still, probably the grimmest prospect imaginable.

And if you go to war again, who is it going to be against? Your "ability to fight a Two-ocean War" against who? Sweden and Togo? Who you sitting here to Go To War Against? That time has passed. It's passed. It's over. The war of the future is nuclear terrorism. It is and it will be against a small group of dissidents who, unbeknownst, perhaps, to their own governments, have blah blah blah.

It is interesting that even pre-9/11 but after 1991 a huge proportion of geopolitical and nuclear risk analysts / researchers considered it pretty much 100% inevitable that terrorists would get their hands on some lost Soviet nukes by 2000 at the latest.

Spooks at the time took the threat seriously and special groups, task forces and laws were setup to make sure that the Soviet Collapse didn't see the legit attempts by various terrorist organizations to get nuclear capabilities succeed.

But the whole idea of a ragtag group getting access to the ultimate weapon was so fascinating that basically any work of fiction relating to espionnage of the time features it from Rogue Spear to Metal Gear Solid to Wag the Dog.

I'm not sure what to make of the fact that it didn't happen. Did the spooks just do their job well or was the threat exaggerated? It's hard to know.

Also The Peacemaker and Sum Of All Fears.

I think the answer was ‘nukes are doable with 1940’s tech and state level resources, but you need to have the resources to remanufacture the bombs and terrorists don’t’.

It’s like the Y2K bug, there will forever be a controversy over whether the threat was overstated or if it was real and just avoided through the hard work of many. That said, I think it’s still a serious issue given that more and more rogue states are acquiring nuclear weapons and more states that have them are approaching political instability.

military formations

Give such warfare three days, and "formations" will cease to be identifiable as squaky clean targets no matter how many cameras are nearby. If the limiting factor on what you can do to the enemy is how many civilians they strap to their tanks or force to live in their camps...