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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 3, 2025

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I think you have to be pretty credulous and/or clueless to take this talk of Trump being a Russian asset remotely seriously.

However, If I was a US President who was also secretly rooting for/in the pocket of Vladimir Putin here are some of the things i would be doing.

  • I would pursue a policy of rapprochement with Russia and its allies such as Iran, and instruct the State Department and US government-aligned NGOs to find excuses to ship them pallets of money and materiel.
  • I would work to curtail energy production and export by the US and other western powers to increase Russian revenue and negotiating leverage.
  • If Russia were to suddenly invade or annex the territory of one of its nieghbors I would be hesitant to condemn them and if possible avoid taking any action until it was clear which way the wind was blowing.
  • If pressured by congress and allies to provide support for the invaded I would slow-walk the deliveries, and put onerous restrictions on when/where US/NATO aid is allowed to be used, and against what targets.

In short, I would be following the example set by Barack Obama in 2014

Ding ding ding.

If Trump is the Russian Asset, it'd be strange that Putin made his territory grabs in Obama and Biden's terms, was relatively well behaved during Trump 1, and is actually demonstrating willingness to make peace during Trump 2.

You even forgot the classic "I'll have more flexibility after the election" moment.

Why do you think Putin is demonstrating willingness to make peace in a way which goes beyond the default? He has always been happy to discuss terms on which Ukraine might surrender - and neither Putin nor Trump has made any public statements that suggest Putin would accept a reasonable peace deal, even a temporary ceasefire on the current front line.

One of the reasons why I am suspicious of Trump's motives here is that he is generally acting as if the key fact about the path to peace is that there is already an offer of a deal from the Russian side which preserves Ukrainian sovereignty in the territory Ukraine currently controls, and the reason why the war continues is that Zelensky is unwilling to accept it. This simply isn't true. Someone needs to bring Russia to the table as well as Ukraine, and Trump consistently talks and acts as if this is not the case. The model of Trump where his words and actions make sense given his goals is one where he thinks the best achievable outcome is a Ukrainian surrender with minimal additional bloodshed.

Now add alienating allies into the mix.

Obama was soft on Putin. Trump is another level.