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Notes -
US is turning into Brazil demographically along with the population aging, that's not great either.
The U.S. is still slightly whiter than Brazil, but the core white population appears to have much more stable fertility rates than any secular white population elsewhere in the world, and Brazil’s human capital isn’t that low anyways, it’s suffering from Latin America syndrome. There’s more than enough doctors and engineers to maintain a functional civilization there, it isn’t Africa.
Brazil has the human capital to be much richer than it is, you can imagine a Brazil where the largest cities and the whole of the south are essentially first world (Brazilians will tell you places like Florianopolis are like this; they aren’t) and only the north is kind of poor and violent.
I can imagine a Brazil which is a first world country over the entire place, albeit with welfare transfers to the north and a high crime rate. Brazil easily has the human capital for (south)Western European standards. Corruption, socialism, and neighborhood are the things holding it back.
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