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Culture War Roundup for the week of February 24, 2025

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Of all the examples you list when "we were mistaken", the only one that isnt simply leftwing is sports gambling

The examples listed are progressive, which is related to but not the same as "left wing" (which is more particularly about democracy, or at least republicanism, though at one time this was properly "progressive"). In some sense, conservatives are shielded from mistake theory because they are focused on doing what has already been proven to work. The failure modes for progressivism and conservatism are different. Progressive politicians make mistakes; conservative politicians ossify. It can be a mistake to ossify, but people who are overcautious miss out on rewards (and may thus be outcompeted), while people who are undercautious fail more spectacularly (but may reap more substantial rewards when they succeed).

I don't think it's evidence of political bias to notice that progressives are more prone to costly mistakes; it's baked right into the cake. If they didn't take more risks, they'd just be a different flavor of conservative.

(EDIT: On reflection, this may help to explain the ethos of the "Grey Tribe" somewhat... people in the ratsphere tend to be progressives, sometimes to the point of being accelerationists, but are often not "left wing." The Grey Tribe may be specifically sensitive to ossification in left wing spaces that other left wing people regard as "progressive" but which are actually just re-litigating yesterday's battles, today.)

Progressive politicians make mistakes; conservative politicians ossify. It can be a mistake to ossify, but people who are overcautious miss out on rewards (and may thus be outcompeted), while people who are undercautious fail more spectacularly (but may reap more substantial rewards when they succeed).

If this theory were true, we would notice progressive politicians changing direction when their mistakes were revealed. They do not; they double down, until they start losing as a result. Then they quiet down in whatever area made them lose (they may still DO it, they just talk about it less -- thus less promoting of Drag Queen Story Hour, just as much funding for transgender Colombian opera).

TBF, They sometimes claim that whatever mistake was made by some minor part of the coalition somewhere over there.

They of course never answer why no one checked this minor and irrelevant faction despite their enemies constantly warning them and promising consequences for not doing so.

Do you think these examples dont have a direction in common, besides being changes?