With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.
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Notes -
I doubt you'd be able to find any signal like that, because inflation affects everyone similarly.
It really doesn't in this case. Inflation was very heavily tied to a handful of goods, particularly housing and briefly transportation along with services, while barely touching other goods like consumer electronics or clothing. And wage increases were very concentrated in a handful of jobs, rather than being spread evenly, with union jobs seeing 50% pay increases and non-union government jobs going unfilled or poorly filled because the salaries became uncompetitive.
Someone who worked in a field where pay scaled with inflation quickly, and who owned a house and car which they still own, did pretty well, even if groceries or McDonald's got more expensive. Someone in a similar social class who happened to work as an admin in a government department and needed to buy a house and a car in the last four years, got fucked.
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I somewhat doubt that most voters are looking at objective metrics of inflation rather than “how am I doing financially”. The inflation theory also doesn’t hold true across demographics, I don’t think? Why would elderly women, a demographic which is keenly aware of shifting prices at stores, shift even further toward Kamala? But a “social media environment” can explain this shift, because they aren’t on the new environments but stuck in the old news cycle + newspaper environment.
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