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naraburns  nihil supernum  16d ago (text post)   26869 thread views

U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread

With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.

If you're a U.S. citizen with voting rights, your polling place can reportedly be located here.

If you're still researching issues, Ballotpedia is usually reasonably helpful.

Any other reasonably neutral election resources you'd like me to add to this notification, I'm happy to add.

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Will Trump survive his term? And if he does, will he hand pick his successor or let the 2028 primary happen without interference?

I predict he develops some kind of noticeable health issue in the last two years, but not one serious enough to incapacitate him (more like we'll slowly see him slowly reduce his working hours Biden-style but for more of a physical reason). Odds maybe 70%.

He will retire after 2026 midterms to give Vance the max opportunity for win and still leave him with 2 possible future terms if the economy is good and the world is ok.

Not a chance.

Unless he has some route to get Jr. into the line of succession, he’s not going anywhere.

Do you really think that’ll happen, or are you just throwing out a wild theory? To me, that seems about as likely as Joe Biden coming back as 48 in 2028. It would be entirely out of character for Trump (or any president) to resign in order to help his successor.

We live in timeline in which crazy things do happen. And I don't know - this Trump feels different. Somewhat more determined and responsible. I don't think it is out of question. Especially if he stumps for the 2026 midterms.

Could be wrong though.

The best possible outcome, but I don't believe Trump could set aside his ego.

I hope it's going to be Vance

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