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naraburns  nihil supernum  18d ago (text post)   26897 thread views

U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread

With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.

If you're a U.S. citizen with voting rights, your polling place can reportedly be located here.

If you're still researching issues, Ballotpedia is usually reasonably helpful.

Any other reasonably neutral election resources you'd like me to add to this notification, I'm happy to add.

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There goes my 'sure thing' Polymarket bet. But at least I'll make enough in crypto to be up overall.

Do you mean you made a crypto bet, or you just expect crypto markets to respond positively to a Trump win?

https://coin360.com/

It's a sea of green out here. Trump promised to help out with crypto (even launched his own shitty memecoin). Elon's influence should also be helpful here.

And stocks are green too, especially NVIDIA. Something underappreciated IMO is that someone got the Aschenbrenner Thesis into his hands and converted him, he was talking about how the US needs all this power for AI - he seemed enthusiastic about it. Elon and Thiel should definitely be in the inner circle, the e/acc Silicon Valley echelon is advancing at great speed.

imo btc and others will puke and retrace, but real lift off comes soon after that

They already are responding positively to a Trump win. Bitcoin just hit a new all-time high.

The expectation is Trump will enact pro-crypto policy. I think the probability of this happening is very low though.

Is there a reason, or just enthusiasm? Were the Dems considered more likely to increase taxes and regulation on crypto?

Absolutely. Republicans can be anti-crypto in power and Democrats can be pro-crypto in power, but it's still certainly a polarized issue.

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