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Culture War Roundup for the week of October 28, 2024

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This was intended to hurt Joe Kent, where dozens or hundreds of ballots will absolutely matter.

They're intending to hurt the Republican candidate by setting fire to ballots in urban Portland? Do you think those ballots leaned R or leaned D?

Edit: there are two burnt mailboxes. One in the 1000 block of Southeast Morrison Street, Portland. This is not even in Washington so obviously it has nothing to do with Joe Kent. The other one was in the Fisher's Landing transit center in Vancouver. That is actually in WA-03 but Clark county, which contains Vancouver, has Kent lagging behind majorly, so I really don't see the connection at all.

That was the primary, not the general, and you'll notice that there are two Republicans splitting the vote. I expect a win by less than two points, but mayhaps I'll eat crow on that expectation.

I thought we were talking about the one in Clark County, and was unaware of the Portland one.

I would guess this is Antifa/black bloc types, because they are prevalent in both sides of the border.

That was the primary, not the general, and you'll notice that there are two Republicans splitting the vote.

Thanks for the correction. Clark county was still blue in the 2022 general.

https://archive.is/mZo7J

I expect a win by less than two points, but mayhaps I'll eat crow on that expectation.

Perhaps, but that doesn't prove that this was supposed to hurt Kent. I don't have sub-county numbers but I don't see why someone would target this mailbox to hurt the Republican candidate.

I thought we were talking about the one in Clark County, and was unaware of the Portland one.

The OP was about the Portland one.

I’m saying that, if the race is close enough, “someone burned two ballot boxes of votes” is fuel for a recount. Or whatever court remedy is allowed. It’s provable in a way that 2020 allegations weren’t.

You can’t count ballots that no longer exist. They’d have to hold the election all over again. Apparently this is a thing that happens.

Is the box located in an area that'd be expected to go for Joe Kent?