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Culture War Roundup for the week of September 30, 2024

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I think I have at least a vague idea of what the usual so-called “far right” accusations were against Biden, Obama or Clinton and I’m rather certain they never included that “he’ll accelerate the decline of the US empire and cause political instability/collapse due to failed reform attempts”. I can think of a dozen other accusations regarding abortion, gun laws, overreach of federal power, BLM etc. but not this one.

Also, I think the notion that Trump has a 50% chance of winning the upcoming election is, in light of what happened the last time he tried, is rather far-fetched.

“he’ll accelerate the decline of the US empire and cause political instability/collapse due to failed reform attempts”

If you haven't heard this from the right, you haven't been paying attention. Stuff like "Obama is ruining the country" was common back in 2009-2017, especially in regards to stuff like TARP and Obamacare. Lots of breathless exclamations that a Kenyan was turning us into a Communist nation, with a leader who was definitely going to pursue a third (and fourth, fifth, etc.) term subverting the constitution.

think the notion that Trump has a 50% chance of winning the upcoming election is, in light of what happened the last time he tried, is rather far-fetched.

Put your money where your mouth is then.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

No, thanks.

I don't get it. If you think Trump has lower chances of winning because of fraud, bet against him?

I don't want to bet on what three news organizations decide.

Do you expect them to announce Trump, but make a switcheroo for Kamala at a later date?

I expect them to do the same thing as last time, jump the gun to declare first, then follow whoever went first out of pressure.

Fox may have jumped the gun on calling Arizona, but nobody called the national race overall until 3 days later when it was clear that Biden did indeed win.