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The Teamsters have never been a reliable left-wing force - per Wikipedia they endorsed Nixon, Reagan and Bush Sr.
For a shift that large in internal polling within a union that isn't consistent with nationwide trends (which show a very small shift in favour of Dems after the obviously senile candidate is switched out), I would assume that there is a Teamsters-specific issue that the rest of us are not aware of - probably related to how trucking is regulated. Some of it will be youth sex polarisation, but not much given the average age of the Teamsters membership.
The teamsters have most of their membership in warehouses IIRC. I think a lot of it is just working class voters favoring Trump even when they’re making good money.
But "working class voters" in general haven't shifted to Trump by 35 points since April - they have supported him ever since 2016.
Sure, I think but don't have evidence for that Kamala's gains vs Trump have been overwhelmingly among professional-class voters. I think Biden as an old-school democrat had some ability to hold onto traditionally democrat constituencies that most are losing and that without Biden(and the huge backlash against Biden in the early-mid summer can't have helped) the DNC is probably just up a creek with these voters.
My mental image of the story is that the teamsters shifted from mildly favoring Biden, to way favoring Trump when his evident late stage dementia became impossible to ignore, and just haven't shifted back towards Kamala.
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Probably a combination of some of them preferring Biden to Trump, but Trump to Harris, and the earlier poll being subject to social pressure.
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Makes sense, why would you want a flood of competitors to lower your wages?
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