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Culture War Roundup for the week of September 9, 2024

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You completely dodged the question. You made an explicit assertion that if the police had assessed Hill as a threat they would have shot multiple rounds into his window. How actually likely do you assess the probability of this outcome? Or are you just idly talking out of your ass, venting unspecified frustration about police, with no attempt to engage with the underlying statistical reality?

Yes, I say if some ordinary person rolls up the tinted windows between them and a cop at a stop that's already contentious, the cop is going to put a few rounds into the window and say he was afraid the driver was using the tinted window as cover to get out their own gun. And one "Hoffmeister25" would be among the first to defend said cop. There's no statistical question here -- most people don't do what Hill did, after all.

So what percentage of contentious traffic stops in which the driver disobeys police instructions do you think have the police open fire first?

Because there are a lot of dashcam and bodycam vids which show, undeniably, that the vast majority of police do not do what you are claiming they do. How many do you think you'd need to see to think differently?

Of course there’s a statistical question; there is some number of drivers who do, in fact, roll up their tinted windows, and of that subset of police interactions, there is a percentage in which this resulted in the discharge of a firearm by police. I’m asking you to estimate what that percentage is.

What I can tell you is that I have personally watched probably over a hundred police videos in which the specific scenario you’re describing - a driver rolls up the window on a police officer during a traffic stop - takes place, and I cannot recall a single one in which that alone has resulted in the officer firing a weapon. Furthermore, it would not be difficult - although it would be prohibitively time-consuming - for me to comb through the thousands of hours of police bodycam videos posted by the dozens of YouTube channels I follow which are dedicated to compiling just such videos, and to find you copious counterexamples to your claim.

Flatly, you just do not know what you’re talking about. The use of deadly force during traffic stops is infinitesimally rare in this country; police pull over more than 500,000 drivers every day in this country - more than 20 million motorists every year - and yet less than 1000 individuals are killed by police each year. (Apparently the current tally for 2024 is 836.) Traffic stops comprise only 7% of police uses of deadly force each year. There’s just no plausible reading of the data to support your assertion regarding how common the scenario you’re imagining actually takes place.