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magic9mushroom  If you're going to downvote me, and nobody's already voiced your objection, please reply and tell me  3mo ago (thezvi.wordpress.com)   1802 thread views

Danger, AI Scientist, Danger

thezvi.wordpress.com

Zvi Mowshowitz reporting on an LLM exhibiting unprompted instrumental convergence. Figured this might be an update to some Mottizens.

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I'd say a steelmanning of the Yuddite view is this: "Yes, we along with everyone else did not predict that LLMs could be so powerful. They do not fit our model of an agentic recursive neural net that runs on reward signals, and even a superintelligent LLM is likely to super-understand and do what its creator wants (which is still a risk, but of a different kind). However, it would be a mistake to extrapolate from these last few years where LLMs are ahead in the AI race and assume that this will continue indefinitely. It is still possible that agentic AIs will once again surpass predictive models in the short-to-mid-term future, so there is still risk of FOOM and we need to keep studying them."

I've spoken with some doomers who have this level of intellectual humility. I can't imagine seeing it from Yudkowsky himself, sadly.

I'm 100% on board with this. I have no problem with Yuddism provided that they are a bit more clear-sighted about when their theories do and don't apply, and that they stop trying to slow/prevent beneficial AI research.

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